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Tønnesson, Stein
Alternative names
Publications (10 of 18) Show all publications
Tønnesson, S. & Baev, P. K. (2017). Stress-Test for Chinese Restraint: China Evaluates Russia's Use of Force. Strategic Analysis, 41(2), 139-151
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Stress-Test for Chinese Restraint: China Evaluates Russia's Use of Force
2017 (English)In: Strategic Analysis, ISSN 0970-0161, E-ISSN 1754-0054, Vol. 41, no 2, p. 139-151Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The article discusses if China will be inspired by its strategic partner Russia to use force as an instrument of its foreign policy. After a pro et con discussion the authors find that the disincentives created by the Russian example are likely to convince China that it should continue to show restraint under the 'peaceful development' formula, and avoid military adventures. The East Asian Peace is thus not seriously threatened, at least not by China-for now.

National Category
Political Science (excluding Public Administration Studies and Globalisation Studies)
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-376855 (URN)10.1080/09700161.2017.1278878 (DOI)000454022100001 ()
Available from: 2019-02-13 Created: 2019-02-13 Last updated: 2019-02-13Bibliographically approved
Kreutz, J., Bjarnegård, E., Eck, K., Guthrey, H. L., Melander, E., Svensson, I. & Tønnesson, S. (2017). The East Asian Peace: will it last?. In: Elin Bjarnegård, Joakim Kreutz (Ed.), Debating the East Asian Peace: What it is, How it came about, Will it last? (pp. 281-296). Copenhagen: NIAS Press
Open this publication in new window or tab >>The East Asian Peace: will it last?
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2017 (English)In: Debating the East Asian Peace: What it is, How it came about, Will it last? / [ed] Elin Bjarnegård, Joakim Kreutz, Copenhagen: NIAS Press, 2017, p. 281-296Chapter in book (Refereed)
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Copenhagen: NIAS Press, 2017
Series
NIAS Studies in Asian Topics
National Category
Other Social Sciences Other Social Sciences not elsewhere specified Political Science
Research subject
Peace and Conflict Research
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-337593 (URN)978-87-7694-219-9 (ISBN)
Available from: 2018-01-02 Created: 2018-01-02 Last updated: 2018-01-25Bibliographically approved
Baev, P. K. & Tønnesson, S. (2017). The Troubled Russia-China Partnership as a Challenge to the East Asian Peace. Fudan Journal of the Humanities and Social Sciences, 10(2), 209-225
Open this publication in new window or tab >>The Troubled Russia-China Partnership as a Challenge to the East Asian Peace
2017 (English)In: Fudan Journal of the Humanities and Social Sciences, ISSN 1674-0750, Vol. 10, no 2, p. 209-225Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

With the annexation of the Crimea and the engagement in confrontation with the West, Russia has embarked on a course of making the military force into a useful instrument of policy. Moscow has effectively sacrificed the goals of modernization and development for the sake of geopolitical ambitions. The question about the price of Russia's revisionist enterprise is relevant for many states that are not satisfied with the unfair and often discriminating rules of the world order, first of all China. Russia hopes to inspire other states dissatisfied with the "unipolar'' world order to challenge the West more boldly, but the result of its assault on the principles of nonintervention and territorial integrity might work in the opposite way. The states of East Asia could take a good measure of the risk inherent to embarking on the course of projecting power at the expense of modernization and become even more committed than before to upholding their unique prosperity-producing peace. China has a vested interest in Russian internal stability and must be worried by the prospect of a post-Putin crisis.

Keywords
East Asia, Peace, Russia, China, Conflict, Partnership
National Category
Political Science
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-340113 (URN)10.1007/s40647-017-0166-y (DOI)000413162100006 ()
Available from: 2018-01-31 Created: 2018-01-31 Last updated: 2018-01-31Bibliographically approved
Tønnesson, S. (2016). Will Nationalism Drive Conflict in Asia?. Paper presented at Nations and Nationalism. Nations and Nationalism, 22(2), 232-242
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Will Nationalism Drive Conflict in Asia?
2016 (English)In: Nations and Nationalism, ISSN 1354-5078, E-ISSN 1469-8129, Vol. 22, no 2, p. 232-242Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The article is part of a discussion of  why nationalism is surging in the world today, instead of  having run its course. It discusses this question in an Asian context with main focus on state nationalism in China, Japan and Taiwan, and on sub-state nationalism in Myanmar.  The article argues that the new nationalism is dangerous and could, in conjunction with other factors, lead to open conflict in a region that has long enjoyed relative peace.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
John Wiley & Sons, 2016
Keywords
Nationalism Asia, Conflict, War
National Category
Social Sciences
Research subject
Peace and Conflict Research
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-294912 (URN)10.1111/nana.12184 (DOI)000378141700004 ()
Conference
Nations and Nationalism
Projects
East Asian Peace
Funder
Riksbankens Jubileumsfond, M10-0100:1
Available from: 2016-05-30 Created: 2016-05-30 Last updated: 2018-05-09Bibliographically approved
Tønnesson, S. & Baev, P. (2015). Can Russia keep its special ties with Vietnam while moving closer and closer to China?. International Area Studies Review, 18(3), 312-325
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Can Russia keep its special ties with Vietnam while moving closer and closer to China?
2015 (English)In: International Area Studies Review, ISSN 2233-8659, E-ISSN 2049-1123, Vol. 18, no 3, p. 312-325Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

While entering into a deep confrontation with the West in the context of the Ukrainian crisis, Russia has sought to uphold its international profile by upgrading its strategic partnership with China and adding new economic content to it, first of all in energy deals. At the same time, Moscow is aware of the risks related to becoming a minor partner to powerful China and to diminishing its ability to make its own contributions to forming the global agenda. One way of avoiding too much dependence on Chinese patronage would be to retain and cultivate the traditional ties with Vietnam and perhaps even play a pacifying role in the oscillating Chinese-Vietnamese tensions. Russian energy companies are exploring opportunities for further advancing offshore oil and gas projects in the South China Sea, although the profitability of these projects remains rather low. Russia has delivered two out of six contracted Kilo class submarines to Vietnam, but its role as the main provider of weapons may now be challenged by the USA and Japan. The prospects for maintaining or expanding Russia’s security and energy connections with Vietnam is thus a demanding topic for analysis, which may throw light also on the all-important trilateral relationship between China, the USA and Japan.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Oslo: PRIO, 2015
Keywords
Russia, East Asia, Vietnam, China
National Category
Social Sciences
Research subject
Peace and Conflict Research
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-279614 (URN)0.1177/2233865915596709 (DOI)
Projects
East Asian Peace
Funder
Riksbankens Jubileumsfond
Available from: 2016-03-02 Created: 2016-03-02 Last updated: 2018-05-09Bibliographically approved
Tønnesson, S. (2015). Deterrence, inter-dependence, and Sino–US peace. International Area Studies Review, 18(3), 297-311
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Deterrence, inter-dependence, and Sino–US peace
2015 (English)In: International Area Studies Review, ISSN 2233-8659, E-ISSN 2049-1123, Vol. 18, no 3, p. 297-311Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Peace between China and the USA is likely to continue as long as the relationship is underpinned by mutual nuclear deterrence as well as economic interdependence

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Oslo: PRIO, 2015
Keywords
Peace Deterrence Trade Interdependence Security
National Category
Social Sciences
Research subject
Peace and Conflict Research
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-279611 (URN)10.1177/2233865915596660 (DOI)
Projects
East Asian Peace
Funder
Riksbankens Jubileumsfond
Available from: 2016-03-02 Created: 2016-03-02 Last updated: 2018-05-09Bibliographically approved
Tønnesson, S. (2015). The East Asian Peace: How it Came About and What Threats Lie Ahead: Explaining East Asia's Developmental Peace: The Dividends of Economic Growth. Global Asia, 10(4), 8-15
Open this publication in new window or tab >>The East Asian Peace: How it Came About and What Threats Lie Ahead: Explaining East Asia's Developmental Peace: The Dividends of Economic Growth
2015 (English)In: Global Asia, ISSN 1553-1392, E-ISSN 1976-068X, Vol. 10, no 4, p. 8-15Article in journal (Other academic) Published
Abstract [en]

One article among eight contributions from members of the East Asian Peace program's core group to present basic findings

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Seoul: East Asia Foundation, 2015
Keywords
East Asia; Peace; Development;
National Category
Social Sciences
Research subject
Peace and Conflict Research
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-279622 (URN)
Projects
East Asian Peace
Funder
Riksbankens Jubileumsfond
Available from: 2016-03-02 Created: 2016-03-02 Last updated: 2018-05-09Bibliographically approved
Tonnesson, S. (2015). The South China Sea Law Trumps Power. Asian Survey, 55(3), 455-477
Open this publication in new window or tab >>The South China Sea Law Trumps Power
2015 (English)In: Asian Survey, ISSN 0004-4687, E-ISSN 1533-838X, Vol. 55, no 3, p. 455-477Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The article looks at three ways in which international law has affected government behavior in the South China Sea. It has exacerbated disputes. It has probably curtailed the use of force. And it has made it difficult to imagine solutions that violate the law of the sea.

Keywords
South China Sea, China, Southeast Asia, international law, law of the sea, use of force
National Category
Other Social Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-262007 (URN)10.1525/AS.2015.55.3.455 (DOI)000359390500002 ()
Available from: 2015-09-07 Created: 2015-09-07 Last updated: 2017-12-04Bibliographically approved
Bjarnegård, E. & Tønnesson, S. (2015). Why So Much Conflict in Thailand?. Thammasat Review, 18(1), 132-161
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Why So Much Conflict in Thailand?
2015 (English)In: Thammasat Review, ISSN 0859-5747, Vol. 18, no 1, p. 132-161Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Thailand has since 2004 formed an exception to the general peace trend in East Asia. An insurgency in its deep south has cost several thousand lives. Thailand has also engaged in a deadly border conflict with Cambodia and there have been violent incidents in Bangkok, as part of a polarized struggle for power between bitterly opposed political factions. Why does Thailand go against the regional grain? We seek an explanation to the Thai exception by investigating to what extent the southern conflict, the border dispute and the struggle over government are causally interlinked. The latter, we suggest, has been the determining factor, and the main explanation for the upsurge of conflict in Thailand is the lack of civilian control with the military, which has weakened state capacity and made it possible to topple elected governments in coups, court decisions and street-based campaigns.

National Category
Political Science (excluding Public Administration Studies and Globalisation Studies)
Research subject
Political Science
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-264164 (URN)
Projects
East Asian Peace Programme
Funder
Riksbankens Jubileumsfond
Available from: 2015-10-06 Created: 2015-10-06 Last updated: 2018-01-11Bibliographically approved
Tønnesson, S. (2014). China’s national interests and the law of the sea: Are they reconcilable?. In: Wu Shicun and Nong Hong (Ed.), Recent Developments in the South China Sea: (pp. 199-227). London: Routledge
Open this publication in new window or tab >>China’s national interests and the law of the sea: Are they reconcilable?
2014 (English)In: Recent Developments in the South China Sea / [ed] Wu Shicun and Nong Hong, London: Routledge, 2014, p. 199-227Chapter in book (Other academic)
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
London: Routledge, 2014
Keywords
UNCLOS; international law; China; national interest
National Category
Social Sciences
Research subject
Peace and Conflict Research
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-279619 (URN)978-0-415-73505-6 (ISBN)
Projects
East Asian Peace
Funder
Riksbankens Jubileumsfond
Available from: 2016-03-02 Created: 2016-03-02 Last updated: 2018-05-09Bibliographically approved
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