During 2011-16, Professor Stein Tønnesson (PRIO and DPCR, Uppsala University), led a program with support from Riksbankens Jubileumsfond under the following heading: "The East Asian Peace Since 1979: How Deep? How Can It Be Explained?" Professor Erik Melander served as Deputy Program Leader.
The final report to the Riksbankens Jubileumsfond can be found on this page: https://www.rj.se/en/anslag/2010/the-east-asian-peace-since-1979-how-deep-how-can-it-be-explained/
In the first three decades after World War II, the world's worst civil and international wars occurred in East Asia (Japan, North and South Korea, Mongolia, Eastern Siberia, China with Hong Kong and Taiwan, Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, Thailand, Burma, Malaysia, Singapore, Indonesia, the Philippines, Brunei, and East Timor). More than three out of four people killed in war were killed in that region. Since 1980 it has been relatively peaceful. East Asia’s share of global battle deaths from 1980 to 2008 was less than five percent. This transition from widespread intensive warfare to relative regional peace has not yet been subject to any serious research effort, although the East Asian peace - and the question of its sustainability - are being more and more hotly discussed. The research program main goals were to, first, establish the depth of the East Asian peace since 1979 by mapping conflicts, peace processes and other factors: To what extent is peace just due to stalemates, conflict avoidance or government repression? To what extent has it been entrenched through trust, consensus-seeking culture, mutual dependencies, respect for the rule-of-law and legitimate governmental and inter-governmental institutions? Have political opposition movements perhaps shifted from armed to unarmed strategies of protest and rebellion? Second, the program set out to explore various possible explanations for the East Asian peace by testing realist, liberal and constructivist approaches, and developing hypotheses and theories of their own, with possible implications for general theory.
Program structure and participants
The program had a core group, which in addition to Tønnesson consisted of Erik Melander, Elin Bjarnegård, Isak Svensson, Kristine Eck, Holly Guthrey, and Joakim Kreutz (all Uppsala University). Timo Kivimäki (Copenhagen University) was part of the core group until 16 July 2012. Holly Guthrey also served as the program coordinator for EAP. The Advisory Board had the following members: Peter Wallensteen (Uppsala University), Bates Gill (SIPRI), Thommy Svensson (Stockholm China Alliance and Nordic Institute of Asian Studies, Copenhagen), Börje Ljunggren (former ambassador to Vietnam and China and co-ordinator, Stockholm China Forum), Moon Chung-in (Yonsei University), Robert S. Ross (Boston College), Wang Yizhou (Beijing University) and Kevin Clements (University of Otago, New Zealand). The following research associates worked on time-limited projects under the program: Miriam Coronel-Ferrer (Philippines), Allan Dafoe (US), Anders Engvall (Sweden), Benjamin E. Goldsmith (Australia), Linus Hagström (Sweden), Hoang Anh Tuan (Vietnam), Andreas Jarblad (Sweden), Jong Kun Choi (South Korea), Rex Li (United Kingdom), Liselotte Odgaard (Denmark), Paul Staniland (US), Ren Xiao (China), Song Yann-huei (Taiwan), Henrik Urdal (Norway), Wang Dong (China), Jessica Weiss (US), Mikael Weissmann (Sweden) and Zou Keyuan (United Kingdom).
Films about the East Asian Peace Program
The Swedish TV journalists Thomas Heldmark and Rolf Wrangnert have produced a film for Uppsala University about the East Asian Peace. It seeks to explain how a whole region with more than 30 per cent of mankind, could make a transition from widespread warfare to what some call a "surprising peace". The film features conflicting views as to how deep or sustainable the regional peace has become. The film is available on Youtube in English: https://youtu.be/PZLQ0vmxi68. In Chinese: https://youtu.be/k3w_fT5e9Ng. In Japanese: https://youtu.be/BIb5QYpLvqc. A shorter version is available in English: https://youtu.be/byjy0UR98nA and Chinese: https://youtu.be/9rglxq2V9Wg.
A film from the East Asian Peace Program's Conference in Singapore, November 2015, was produced by Rolf Wrangnert and Thomas Heldmark ("Vetenskapsjournalisterna"). The film is available on Youtube: https://youtu.be/Or2GIwuy52Q.
EAP core group members debate East Asian Peace at Bokmässan in Göteborg: https://youtu.be/dZuasORRAXU.
Conferences
The EAP program organised an annual conference each year during 2011 - 2016. In addition, it organised several program workshops and panels at international conferences.
2016
-EAP Sixth Annual Conference, Uppsala, Sweden, 15-17 June 2016.
2015
-EAP Core Group workshop, Uppsala, Sweden, 8 September 2015.
-EAP Fifth Annual Conference 2015, Singapore, 6-8 November 2015.
-EAP Core Group workshop, Stockholm, Sweden, 26-27 May 2015.
-EAP Core Group workshop, Uppsala, Sweden, 14 January 2015.
2014
-EAP Fourth Annual Conference 2014, Beijing, China, 29-31 October 2014.
-EAP Core Group workshop, Uppsala, Sweden, 10 September 2014.
-EAP Core Group workshop, Uppsala, Sweden 23 May 2014.
-EAP Core Group workshop, Uppsala, Sweden, 5-6 February 2014.
2013
-EAP Third Annual Conference 2013, Hanoi, Vietnam, 17-19 October 2013.
-EAP panels on "Peace and Conflict Trends in East Asia and the World: A Quantitative-Qualitative Exchange" and "The East Asia Peace: Trends, institutionalised repression, conflict dynamics, and historical distrust" at the ICAS8 conference, Macau, 24-27 June 2013.
-EAP Core Group workshop "The depth of the East Asian peace,” Uppsala, Sweden, 6-8 June 2013.
2012
-EAP Second Annual Conference 2012, Seoul, South Korea, 26-27 October 2012.
-Workshop "Thailand's Missing Peace", Oslo, Norway, 13-14 May 2012. The workshop was hosted by PRIO.
-International Workshop on "Securing Maritime Peace in East Asia: The Role of International Law" in Preston, United Kingdom, 23-24 April 2012. The workshop was organised by research associate Zou Keyuan and co-funded by Lancashire Law School.
-EAP panel on "Regional peace studies: exploring regional trends in peace and armed conflicts" at the ISA conference, San Diego, 1-4 April 2012.
-Core Group workshop in Bangkok, Thailand, 9 - 11 March 2012.
2011
-Workshop in Bangkok and Pattani, Thailand 14 Dec.-16 Dec. 2011, organised by Srisompob Jitpiromsri and research associate Anders Engvall.
-First Annual Conference, Uppsala, Sweden, 16-18 Sep. 2011.
-EAP panels on "East Asia's Capitalist Peace" and "China and the Capitalist Peace" at the AAS/ICAS conference, Honolulu, 31 Mar. - 3 Apr. 2011.
-Core Group workshop in Bangkok, Thailand, 14 - 16 Feb. 2011.
Publications not in DiVA
2018
-Tønnesson, Stein. 2018. ‘Article 9 in the East Asia Peace,’ in Kevin Clements (ed.), Identity, Trust and Reconciliation in East Asia: Dealing with Painful History to Create a Peaceful Present. London: Palgrave.
2017
-Benjamin E. Goldsmith. 2017. 'Peace, War, Theory, and Evidence in East Asia,' in Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Politics. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
-Li, Rex (2017) ‘Identity Tensions and China-Japan-Korea Relations: Can Peace be Maintained in North East Asia?’, in Kevin Clements (ed.), Identity, Trust, and Reconciliation in East Asia: Dealing with Painful History to Create a Peaceful Present. Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan.
-Stein Tønnesson (2017) 'Can the East Asian Peace Survive?’ Think China Policy Brief no. 2, 2 May
-Elin Bjarnegård (2017). ‘The Unequal Peace,’ in Elin Bjarnegård and Joakim Kreutz (eds.) Debating the East Asian Peace. Copenhagen: NIAS Press.
-Kristine Eck (2017). ‘The Repressive Peace,’ in Elin Bjarnegård and Joakim Kreutz (eds.) Debating the East Asian Peace. Copenhagen: NIAS Press.
-Benjamin E. Goldsmith (2017). ‘Peace by Trade,’ in Elin Bjarnegård and Joakim Kreutz (eds.) Debating the East Asian Peace. Copenhagen: NIAS Press.
-Börje Ljunggren (2017). Den kinesiska drömmen – Xi, makten och utmaningarna [The Chinese dream: Xi, power and challenge]. Stockholm: Hjalmarson & Högberg.
-Ross, Robert S. (2017). ‘The Great Power Challenge to the East Asian Peace,’ in Elin Bjarnegård and Joakim Kreutz (eds.) Debating the East Asian Peace. Copenhagen: NIAS Press.
-Ryu, Yongwook (2017). ‘The Nationalist Threat to the East Asian Peace,’ in Elin Bjarnegård and Joakim Kreutz (eds.) Debating the East Asian Peace. Copenhagen: NIAS Press.
-Scott, Shirley V. (2017). ‘Peace by International Law,’ in Elin Bjarnegård and Joakim Kreutz (eds.) Debating the East Asian Peace. Copenhagen: NIAS Press.
-Svensson, Isak (2017). ‘Peace by Avoidance of Religious Civil Wars,’ in Elin Bjarnegård and Joakim Kreutz (eds.) Debating the East Asian Peace. Copenhagen: NIAS Press.
-Stein Tønnesson (2017). Explaining the East Asian Peace. Copenhagen: NIAS Press.
-Stein Tønnesson (2017). 'The East Asian Peace – Will It Last?' in Elin Bjarnegård and Joakim Kreutz (eds.) Debating the East Asian Peace. Copenhagen: NIAS Press.
-Tønnesson, Stein (2017). ‘Peace by Development,’ in Elin Bjarnegård and Joakim Kreutz (eds.) Debating the East Asian Peace. Copenhagen: NIAS Press.
-Urdal, Henrik (2017). ‘Peace by Demographic Changes,’ in Elin Bjarnegård and Joakim Kreutz (eds.) Debating the East Asian Peace. Copenhagen: NIAS Press.
-Yap, O. Fiona (2017). ‘The Trustworthy Peace,’ in Elin Bjarnegård and Joakim Kreutz (eds.) Debating the East Asian Peace. Copenhagen: NIAS Press.
2016
-Rex Li (2016). 'China’s Sea Power Aspirations and Strategic Behaviour in the South China Sea from the Theoretical Perspective of Identity Construction,' in Enrico Fels and Truong-Minh Vu (eds.), Power Politics in Asia’s Contested Waters, Switzerland: Springer, pp 117-137.
-South, Ashley & Christopher M. Joll (2016). “From Rebels to Rulers: The Challenges of Transition for Non-state Armed Groups in Mindanao and Myanmar,” Critical Asian Studies, Vol. 48, No. 2, pp. 168–192.
-Stein Tønnesson (2016). 'The Tonkin Gulf Model of Conflict Resolution' in C.J. Jenner and Tran Trong Thuy (eds.), The South China Sea, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, pp. 151-170.
2015
-Jong Kun Choi (2015). "The Perils of Strategic Patience with North Korea," The Washington Quarterly ,Vol. 38, No. 4, pp. 57-72.
-Lowell Dittmer and Mikael Weissmann (2015). ”China’s Maritime Embroilments,” Asian Survey, Vol., 55, No. 3, pp. 447-454.
-Linus Hagström and Ulv Hanssen (2015). "War is peace: the rearticulation of ‘peace’ in Japan’s China discourse," Review of International Studies, June, pp. 1 - 21.
-Börje Ljunggren (2015). Den kinesiska drömmen: Utmaningar för Kina och världen. Stockholm: Hjalmarson & Högberg.
-Liselotte Odgaard with Cedric de Coning and Thomas Mandrup (eds.) (2015). The BRICS and Coexistence: An Alternative Vision of World Order. London: Routledge.
-Mikael Weissmann (2015). “The South China Sea: Still no War on the Horizon,” Asian Survey, Vol., 55, No. 3, pp. 596-617.
2014
-Jong Kun Choi and Joung Yun Bae (2014). ‘The Implications for Seoul of an Operationally Nuclear North Korea,’ in Gregory J. Moore (ed.), North Korea Nuclear Operationality : Regional Security and Nonproliferation, Washington DC: Johns Hopkins University Press, pp. 53-76.
-Kivimäki, Timo (2014). The Long Peace of East Asia. London: Ashgate.
-Liselotte Odgaard, Thomas Mandrup & Cedric de Coning, eds. (2014). BRICS and Coexistence: An Alternative Vision of World Order. London: Routledge.
-Liselotte Odgaard and Thomas Galasz Nielsen (2014). "China's Counterinsurgency Strategy in Tibet and Xinjiang," Journal of Contemporary China, pp. 1-21.
-Song Yann-huei and Zou Keyuan, eds. (2014). Major Law and Policy Issues in the South China Sea: European and American Perspectives. London: Ashgate.
-Mikael Weissman (2014). "Keeping Alive: Understanding North Korea’s Supply Lines and the Potential Role of Sanctions," Swedish Institute for International Affairs Paper, No. 6, pp. 1-26.
-Mikael Weissman (2014). "Why is there a relative peace in the South China Sea?" in Pavin Chachavalpongpun, Entering Uncharted Waters? ASEAN and The South China Sea Dispute, Singapore: Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, pp. 36-64.
-Zou Keyuan (2014). "Maintaining Maritime Peace in East Asia: A Legal Perspective," Journal of Territorial and Maritime Studies, Vol.1, No. 2, pp 27-49.
2013
-Jong Kun Choi (2013). ‘Bolstering Economic Interdependence Despite Bullying Memories in Northeast Asia,’ in T.J. Pempel, ed., The Economy-Security Nexus in Northeast Asia. London: Routledge, pp. 89-109.
-Stein Tønnesson (2013). 'Fra krig til fred i Østasia' ('From War to Peace in East Asia') in Hilde Henriksen Waage, Rolf Tamnes, and Hanne Hagtvedt Vik (eds.), Krig og fred i det lange 20. århundre (War and Peace in the Long 20th Century), Oslo: Cappelen Damm, pp. 187-208.
-Ren Xiao (2013). "The Rise of a Liberal China?," Journal of Global Policy and Governance, Vol. 2, No. 1, pp. 85-103.
-Wang Yizhou 2013. (In Chinese.) [Creative Involvement: The Evolution of China’s Global Role.] Peking University Press.
2012
-Elin Bjarnegård (2012). “Who’s the Perfect Politician? Clientelism as a Defining Feature of Thai Politics” in Dirk Tomsa and Andreas Ufen, eds., Party Politics in Southeast Asia: Clientelism and Electoral Competition in Indonesia, Thailand and the Philippines. London: Routledge.
-Chung-in Moon (2012). The Sunshine Policy. Seoul: Yonsei University Press.
-Mikael Weissmann (2012) The East Asian Peace: Conflict Prevention and Informal Peacebuilding. Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan.
-Zou Keyuan (2012). “Building a ‘Harmonious World’: A Mission Impossible?,”Copenhagen Journal of Asian Studies, Vol. 30, No. 2, pp. 74–99.
2011
-Elin Bjarnegård and Erik Melander (2011). "Disentangling gender, peace and democratization: the negative effects of militarized masculinity," Journal of Gender Studies, Vol. 20, pp. 139-154.
-Timo Kivimäki (2011). “East Asian Relative Peace and the ASEAN Way,” International Relations of the Asia-Pacific, Vol. 11, No. 1, pp. 57-85.
-Robert S. Ross (2011) “China's Three Rises, Regional Power Transitions and East Asian Security:1949 to the Twenty-First Century,” in William C. Kirby, ed., The People's Republic of China at 60: An International Assessment. (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Asia Center).
-Robert S. Ross (2011) “The Rise of Russia. Sino-Russian Relations, and U.S. Security Policy,” in Gustaaf Geeraerts and Eva Gross, eds., Perspectives for a European Security Strategy Towards Asia: Views from Asia, Europe and the US. (Brussels:Academic & Scientific Publishers).
-Wang Yizhou 2011. (In Chinese.) [Creative Involvement: A New Direction for China’s Foreign Policy.] Beijing: Peking University Press.
Other publications
2016
-Bates Gill (2016). "Can Trump keep his balance in Asia?" Pacific Forum newsletter, Center for Strategic and International Studies.
-Börje Ljunggren (2016). "Växande oro för Kinas framtidsdrömmar," Svenska Dagbladet.
-Ashley South and Marie Lall (2016). "Schooling and Conflict: Ethnic Education and Mother Tongue-based Teaching in Myanmar".
-Stein Tønnesson (2016). Den östasiatiska freden: Slutrapport från ett forskningsprogram. Makadam.
-Stein Tönnesson and Marte Nilsen (2016). "Myanmar’s ethnic minorities marginalised more," East Asia Forum.
2015
-Elin Bjarnegård (2015). "Addressing Fear and Injustice to Create an East Asian Culture of Peace," Global Asia, Vol. 10, No. 4.
-Kristine Eck (2015). "Cracking Down on Conflict: East Asia’s Repressive Peace," Global Asia, Vol. 10, No. 4.
-Holly L. Guthrey (2015). "Forgetting Undermines the East Asian Peace," Global Asia, Vol. 10, No. 4.
-Joakim Kreutz (2015). "Outsiders Matter: External Actors and the Decline of Armed Conflict in Southeast Asia," Global Asia, Vol. 10, No. 4.
-Börje Ljunggren (2015). "The Chinese Dream: Does it Challenge East Asia’s Peace?," Global Asia, Vol. 10, No. 4.
-Erik Melander (2015). "Gender and Masculine Honor Ideology: Why They Matter for Peace," Global Asia, Vol. 10, No. 4.
-Moon Chung-in (2015). "Apology still a distant dream," Korea Joongang Daily.
-Isak Svensson and Kristine Höglund (2015). "What happens when peace processes fail or succeed?," Minda News and The Philippine Star.
-Isak Svensson (2015). "A Surprising Calm: the Religious Peace in East," Global Asia, Vol. 10, No. 4.
-Stein Tønnesson (2015). "The East Asian Peace: How Did It Happen? How Deep Is It?," Global Asia, Vol. 10, No. 4.
-Stein Tønnesson (2015). "Explaining East Asia's Developmental Peace: the Dividends of Economic Growth," Global Asia, Vol. 10, No. 4.
-Wang Dong (2015). "Improving Relationships With the US," Defense News.
-Wang Dong (2015). "The Xi-Obama Summit – What Comes Next in U.S.-China Relations," China-U.S Focus.
2014
-Elin Bjarnegård and Erik Melander (2014). "Thailand’s Missing Democrats: Reds, Yellows, and the Silent Majority," Foreign Affairs, 22 May.
-Jong Kun Choi (2014). "Japan prods history's unhealed wounds," Global Times, 13 January.
-Moon Chung-in (2014). "Trouble with the neighbor," Korea Joongang Daily.
-Moon Chung-in (2014). "Deeper discords lie beneath S.Korea-US ties," Global Times of China.
-Moon Chung-in (2014). "Virtu instead of fortuna," Korea Joongang Daily.
-Moon Chung-in (2014). "Is Kim Jon Un the reformer, and the executed Uncle Jang Seong-Taek the reactionary?," The World Post.
-Moon Chung-in and John Delury (2014). "A Reunified Theory: Should We Welcome the Collapse of North Korea?," Foreign Affairs.
-Thitinan Pongsudhirak (2014). "Coup reorients relations with Cambodia," Bangkok Post.
-Thitinan Pongsudhirak (2014). "Domestic politics puts checks on Asean," Bangkok Post.
-Thitinan Pongsudhirak (2014). "Elections the worst outcome in Thailand, except for all the others," East Asia Forum.
-Thitinan Pongsudhirak (2014). "Give Thailand’s democracy a chance," East Asia Forum.
-Thitinan Pongsudhirak (2014). "Learning from a long history of coups," Bangkok Post.
-Thitinan Pongsudhirak (2014). "No luck for Yingluck as Thai elections nullified," East Asia Forum.
-Thitinan Pongsudhirak (2014). "Thailand's descent must not lead to disintegration," Nikkei Asian Review.
-Thitinan Pongsudhirak (2014)."The two faces of Thai authoritarianism," East Asia Forum.
-Stein Tønnesson (2014). "Article 9 and the East Asian Peace," PRIO blog.
-Wang Dong (2014). "Resetting U.S.-China Relations," New York Times.
-Wang Yizhou (2014). "China's new foreign policy: Transformations and challenges reflected in changing discourse," Asan Forum.
2013
-Jong Kun Choi (2013). "Korean crisis hints at future Sino-US ties," Global Times, 23 May.
-Jong Kun Choi (2013). "South Korea, US agree on how to handle NK," Korean Times, 12 May.
-Jong Kun Choi (2013). "Nuclear advocates have little pull in S.Korea," Global Times, 21 March.
-Jong Kun Choi (2013). "Why South Korea is uneasy about Abe," Global Times, 20 January.
-Kristine Eck (2013). "Myanmar's democratic transition: Doomed to stall," Al Jazeera, 12 February.
-Anders Engvall (2013) “A step toward peace in southern Thailand,” East Asia Forum.
-Hoang Anh Tuan (2013). "Why the new Vietnamese–Indonesian strategic partnership will strengthen ASEAN," East Asia Forum, 20 August.
-Hoang Anh Tuan (2013). "High Hopes and New Realities for the Vietnam-US Relationship," Asia-Pacific Bulletin, 1 August.
-Hoang Anh Tuan (2013). "The Fragile and Vulnerable Foundation of the Sino-US Relationship," PacNet, 15 July.
-Hoang Anh Tuan (2013). “Understand Xi Jinping’s Renaissance, Put it in Historical Context,” PacNet.
-Rex Li (2013). "National Identity and Changing Great Power Relations in the Asia-Pacific: Is a Cold War Emerging?," The Asan Forum.
-Börje Ljunggren (2013). "'China Dream'– Unshaken Party Rule," Yale Global.
-Moon Chung-in (2013). "South Korea-US alliance strained by Japan," Global Times of China.
-Moon Chung-in (2013). "Beijing’s overtures," Korea Joongang Daily.
-Ren Xiao (2013). "China Debates DPRK Policy," PacNet, 22 July.
-Ren Xiao (2013). "Diaoyu/Senkaku disputes — a view from China," East Asia Forum.
-Stein Tönnesson (2013). "Steps Forward for China to Resolve its Disputes in the South China Sea," Global Asia, 20 June.
-Stein Tönnesson (2013). “The Ins and Outs of A Geopolitical Mess," Global Asia. (book review)
2012
-Hoang Anh Tuan (2012). "Chinese Strategic Miscalculations in the South China Sea," Asia Pacific Bulletin.
-Joakim Kreutz (2012). "Myanmar: Why Democracy May Not Bring Peace," Fair Observer, 29 June.
-Joakim Kreutz (2012). "Burma: Between elections and democracy," Open Democracy, 5 April.
-Thitinan Pongsudhirak (2012). "After Europe, Suu Kyi faces tough challenge," Bangkok Post, 15 June.
-Thitinan Pongsudhirak (2012). "Uneasy truce and elusive reconciliation," Bangkok Post, 30 March.
-Thitinan Pongsudhirak (2012). "Obama's Southeast Asia visit: re-engaging with the region," East Asia Forum, 20 November.
-Isak Svensson (2012). "'Heliga' krig kan nå fredslösning," (Swedish) UNT, 28 December.
-Stein Tönnesson (2012). "China's Boomerang Diplomacy," Yale Global, 16 November.
2011
-Timo Kivimäki (2011). “What Price Democracy? How the West Could Learn From East Asia,” Global Asia, Vol. 6, No. 4.
-Timo Kivimäki (2011). “Myths and Reality about Conflict Risks in Southeast Asia,” CARI Quest (Journal of CIMB ASEAN Research Institute), October.
-Thomas G. Nielsen and Liselotte Odgaard (2011). “China’s Counterinsurgency Strategy in Tibet and Xinjiang,” Asia Pacific Memo, Memo no. 88.
-Robert S. Ross (2011). “Chinese Nationalism and Its Discontents,” The National Interest, no. 116 (November-December 2011). Published in China as Zhonguo de Minzu Zhuyi ji Qi bu Manzuzhe.
-Stein Tønnesson (2011). Review of Robert Cribb (2010), Digital Atlas of Indonesian History (Copenhagen: NIAS), H-Net Reviews, August.
-Stein Tønnesson (2011). Review of Anthony Reid (2010), Imperial Alchemy. Nationalism and Political Identity in Southeast Asia (Cambridge University Press), Pacific Affairs, Vol. 84, No. 2.
-Stein Tønnesson (2011). “How to Calm the South China Sea Storm,” My Paper (Singapore), 27 June.