Logo: to the web site of Uppsala University

uu.sePublikasjoner fra Uppsala universitet
Endre søk
RefereraExporteraLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Referera
Referensformat
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association
  • vancouver
  • Annet format
Fler format
Språk
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Annet språk
Fler språk
Utmatningsformat
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
A factor of two: how the mitigation plans of ‘climate progressive nations’ fall far short of Paris-compliant pathways
Uppsala universitet, Teknisk-naturvetenskapliga vetenskapsområdet, Geovetenskapliga sektionen, Institutionen för geovetenskaper, Naturresurser och hållbar utveckling. Uppsala universitet, Teknisk-naturvetenskapliga vetenskapsområdet, Geovetenskapliga sektionen, Institutionen för geovetenskaper, CEMUS. Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala, Sweden;Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, School of Engineering, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK. (Naturresurser och hållbar utveckling)ORCID-id: 0000-0003-0718-7544
University of Manchester, Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research.ORCID-id: 0000-0003-1486-9789
Uppsala universitet, Teknisk-naturvetenskapliga vetenskapsområdet, Geovetenskapliga sektionen, Institutionen för geovetenskaper, Naturresurser och hållbar utveckling. Uppsala universitet, Teknisk-naturvetenskapliga vetenskapsområdet, Geovetenskapliga sektionen, Institutionen för geovetenskaper, CEMUS. Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala, Sweden. (Naturresurser och hållbar utveckling)ORCID-id: 0000-0003-4609-8544
2020 (engelsk)Inngår i: Climate Policy, ISSN 1469-3062, E-ISSN 1752-7457, Vol. 20, nr 10, s. 1290-1304Artikkel i tidsskrift (Fagfellevurdert) Published
Abstract [en]

The Paris Agreement establishes an international covenant to reduce emissions in line with holding the increase in temperature to 'well below 2 degrees C horizontal ellipsis and to pursue horizontal ellipsis 1.5 degrees C.' Global modelling studies have repeatedly concluded that such commitments can be delivered through technocratic adjustments to contemporary society, principally price mechanisms driving technical change. However, as emissions have continued to rise, so these models have come to increasingly rely on the extensive deployment of highly speculative negative emissions technologies (NETs). Moreover, in determining the mitigation challenges for industrialized nations, scant regard is paid to the language and spirit of equity enshrined in the Paris Agreement. If, instead, the mitigation agenda of 'developed country Parties' is determined without reliance on planetary scale NETs and with genuine regard for equity and 'common but differentiated responsibilities and respective capabilities', the necessary rates of mitigation increase markedly. This is evident even when considering the UK and Sweden, two nations at the forefront of developing 'progressive' climate change legislation and with clear emissions pathways and/or quantitative carbon budgets. In both cases, the carbon budgets underpinning mitigation policy are halved, the immediate mitigation rate is increased to over 10% per annum, and the time to deliver a fully decarbonized energy system is brought forward to 2035-40. Such a challenging mitigation agenda implies profound changes to many facets of industrialized economies. This conclusion is not drawn from political ideology, but rather is a direct consequence of the international community's obligations under the Paris Agreement and the small and rapidly dwindling global carbon budget. Key Policy Insights Without a belief in the successful deployment of planetary scale negative emissions technologies, double-digit annual mitigation rates are required of developed countries, from 2020, if they are to align their policies with the Paris Agreement's temperature commitments and principles of equity. Paris-compliant carbon budgets for developed countries imply full decarbonization of energy by 2035-40, necessitating a scale of change in physical infrastructure reminiscent of the post-Second World War Marshall Plan. This brings issues of values, measures of prosperity and socio-economic inequality to the fore. The stringency of Paris-compliant pathways severely limits the opportunity for inter-sectoral emissions trading. Consequently aviation, as with all sectors, will need to identify policies to reduce emissions to zero, directly or through the use of zero carbon fuels. The UK and Swedish governments' emissions pathways imply a carbon budget of at least a factor of two greater than their fair contribution to delivering on the Paris Agreement's 1.5-2 degrees C commitment.

sted, utgiver, år, opplag, sider
Taylor & Francis Group, 2020. Vol. 20, nr 10, s. 1290-1304
HSV kategori
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-400707DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2020.1728209ISI: 000541291400001OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-400707DiVA, id: diva2:1382221
Forskningsfinansiär
Swedish Energy Agency, 46532-1Tilgjengelig fra: 2020-01-02 Laget: 2020-01-02 Sist oppdatert: 2023-06-15bibliografisk kontrollert

Open Access i DiVA

fulltext(2096 kB)113 nedlastinger
Filinformasjon
Fil FULLTEXT01.pdfFilstørrelse 2096 kBChecksum SHA-512
7dd4bca5aa9b0c8784547820ce995121e7d14b200702eb7bb9d6f0b5974e75260b70d5eaa7011bcc9a9ebcde8c9c70e72f103e71f844aa9528dc5bb56f9c1e87
Type fulltextMimetype application/pdf

Andre lenker

Forlagets fulltekst

Person

Anderson, KevinStoddard, Isak

Søk i DiVA

Av forfatter/redaktør
Anderson, KevinBroderick, JohnStoddard, Isak
Av organisasjonen
I samme tidsskrift
Climate Policy

Søk utenfor DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar
Totalt: 113 nedlastinger
Antall nedlastinger er summen av alle nedlastinger av alle fulltekster. Det kan for eksempel være tidligere versjoner som er ikke lenger tilgjengelige

doi
urn-nbn

Altmetric

doi
urn-nbn
Totalt: 1678 treff
RefereraExporteraLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Referera
Referensformat
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association
  • vancouver
  • Annet format
Fler format
Språk
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Annet språk
Fler språk
Utmatningsformat
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf