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Rethinking Ripeness Theory: Explaining Progress and Failure in Civil War Negotiations in the Philippines and Colombia
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Humanities and Social Sciences, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Peace and Conflict Research.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-8988-3249
2016 (English)In: International Negotiation, ISSN 1382-340X, E-ISSN 1571-8069, Vol. 21, no 1, 75-103 p.Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

How can ripeness theory be extended to explain when and why parties remain at the negotiating table until an agreement is reached? Existing ripeness theory is crucial in understanding when conflicting parties consider negotiation as preferable to continued fighting. However, factors which may explain why parties stay at the negotiation table after the start of the negotiation process - that is, how the ripe moment is sustained until an agreement has been reached - are not well elaborated. This study seeks to extend ripeness theory and argues that organizationally fragmented rebel groups are less flexible to make concessions and unlikely to stay at the negotiation table until an agreement is reached, especially when there is a lack of cohesion between the military and political branches. This argument is explored through a structured focused comparison of the peace negotiations in Colombia and in the Philippines with communist rebel groups.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2016. Vol. 21, no 1, 75-103 p.
Keyword [en]
civil war, ripeness theory, peace negotiation, rebel group, fragmentation, cohesion, Philippines, Colombia
National Category
Political Science
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-331963DOI: 10.1163/15718069-12341325ISI: 000406715300003OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-331963DiVA: diva2:1151016
Available from: 2017-10-20 Created: 2017-10-20 Last updated: 2017-10-20Bibliographically approved

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