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Climate as a risk factor for armed conflict
Stanford University.
Stanford University.
University of Exeter.
Peace Research Institute Oslo;Norwegian University of Science and Technology.
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2019 (English)In: Nature, ISSN 0028-0836, E-ISSN 1476-4687, Vol. 571, no 7764, p. 193-197Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Research findings on the relationship between climate and conflict are diverse and contested. Here we assess the current understanding of the relationship between climate and conflict, based on the structured judgments of experts from diverse disciplines. These experts agree that climate has affected organized armed conflict within countries. However, other drivers, such as low socioeconomic development and low capabilities of the state, are judged to be substantially more influential, and the mechanisms of climate–conflict linkages remain a key uncertainty. Intensifying climate change is estimated to increase future risks of conflict.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2019. Vol. 571, no 7764, p. 193-197
National Category
Political Science (excluding Public Administration Studies and Globalisation Studies) Environmental Sciences
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-385671DOI: 10.1038/s41586-019-1300-6ISI: 000474843400027PubMedID: 31189956OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-385671DiVA, id: diva2:1325323
Funder
Mistra - The Swedish Foundation for Strategic Environmental ResearchEU, European Research Council, 648291Available from: 2019-06-15 Created: 2019-06-15 Last updated: 2019-08-16Bibliographically approved

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von Uexkull, Nina

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