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Simulating streamflow in ungauged basins under a changing climate: The importance of landscape characteristics
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, LUVAL.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-3344-2468
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, LUVAL.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-6537-0753
Swedish Univ Agr Sci, Dept Forest Ecol & Management, SE-90183 Umea, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-6058-1466
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, LUVAL.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-3367-5077
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2018 (English)In: Journal of Hydrology, ISSN 0022-1694, E-ISSN 1879-2707, Vol. 561, p. 160-178Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

In this paper we explored how landscape characteristics such as topography, geology, soils and land cover influence the way catchments respond to changing climate conditions. Based on an ensemble of 15 regional climate models bias-corrected with a distribution-mapping approach, present and future streamflow in 14 neighboring and rather similar catchments in Northern Sweden was simulated with the HBV model. We established functional relationships between a range of landscape characteristics and projected changes in streamflow signatures. These were then used to analyze hydrological consequences of physical perturbations in a hypothetically ungauged basin in a climate change context. Our analysis showed a strong connection between the forest cover extent and the sensitivity of different components of a catchment's hydrological regime to changing climate conditions. This emphasizes the need to redefine forestry goals and practices in advance of climate change-related risks and uncertainties.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2018. Vol. 561, p. 160-178
Keywords [en]
Hydrological modeling, Streamflow signatures, Climate change, Forest, Clear-cut, Ungauged
National Category
Oceanography, Hydrology and Water Resources
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-387455DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2018.03.060ISI: 000439401800013OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-387455DiVA, id: diva2:1330377
Funder
Swedish Research CouncilSwedish Research Council FormasEU, Horizon 2020, 505539Available from: 2019-06-25 Created: 2019-06-25 Last updated: 2019-06-25Bibliographically approved

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Teutschbein, ClaudiaGrabs, Thomas J.Karlsen, ReinertBishop, Kevin

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