Logo: to the web site of Uppsala University

uu.sePublications from Uppsala University
Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Seismicity Patterns Due to Magma Intrusions Underneath Geothermal Power Plants
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, Geophysics.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-3289-7719
University of Iceland.
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, Geophysics.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-2511-187X
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, Geophysics.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-6702-8759
Show others and affiliations
2021 (English)In: World Geothermal Congress 2020+1, 2021Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

The Reykjanes Peninsula, Iceland, could soon see a once-in-a-millennium eruption, based on its current unrest and its historical record. This period of volcano-tectonic events threatens nearby airfields, geothermal power plants, and the capital, Reykjavik, where two thirds of Iceland’s population reside. The main sources of risk are lava, volcanic ash, and M > 6 earthquakes on large strike-slip faults. Six such known faults lie between 15-35 km from the capital. Here, we investigate whether such large earthquakes and/or an eruption are likely, based on the seismicity seen so far. To do so, we look for specific seismicity patterns indicative of magmatically-induced deformation, and compare seismicity overviews of the current unrest, previous decades, and swarm activity in the 1970s. We identify several cascades of boundary movements in both the current unrest and the 1970s activity, that have neighboring segments activate from east to west along the peninsula. This direction is reversed during the current unrest in a slower cascade, which ended with a ~30 km long boundary segment moving. Based on this and other observations, we suggest that magma intrusion has accelerated boundary deformation significantly. We identify another pattern, where seismicity and surface deformation in Svartsengi, the most seismically active region during this period, is greatly reduced when this activity swaps to the neighboring Reykjanes system. We suggest magma intrusion is halted in one volcanic system, in favor of intrusion in another, and describe several possible mechanisms.We further describe possible scenarios, and their likelihood, for the evolution of the current unrest, which range from a rapid return to quiescence, to full-scale eruption. Whichever scenario occurs, M > 6 earthquakes on known faults near Reykjavik are likely.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2021.
Keywords [en]
Seismicity patterns, geothermal power plant, magma intrusion, risk, oblique rift, reservoir stimulation
National Category
Geophysics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-482654OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-482654DiVA, id: diva2:1690116
Conference
World Geothermal Congress 2020+1
Available from: 2022-08-25 Created: 2022-08-25 Last updated: 2022-10-06Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Investigating Time-Varying Processes Using Seismicity and Time-Dependent Tomography
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Investigating Time-Varying Processes Using Seismicity and Time-Dependent Tomography
2022 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Our global society is affected by, and makes use of, many time-varying processes. Processes related to geothermal energy and CO2 sequestration can help mitigate climate change and reduce the number of premature deaths (millions annually) due to air pollution from fossil fuels. Processes related to volcanic hazards instead endanger lives and infrastructure in the form of e.g. eruptions, earthquakes, and toxic gases. The related time-varying processes have changing signatures, with specific starting and ending points, and associated time frames, and are investigated in this dissertation using seismicity and time-dependent tomography (TDT).

TDT has been used to, e.g., investigate pre-, syn, and post-eruptive periods in volcanic settings, as well as the stimulation of an enhanced geothermal system. One cannot, however, simply produce results for individual epochs and interpret them. We show how artificial differences between results can arise for such individual inversions, as well as for a joint inversion of asynchronous data, and when using constraints (e.g. inter-model minimization). A pragmatic method is presented to identify whether the differences between results go beyond these artificial differences.

The time-varying processes under investigation relate to the Reykjanes Peninsula, Iceland, which hosts multiple geothermal power plants, and was the location of several striking signals: Multi-year deformation in a volcanic system, followed by 15 months of volcanotectonic unrest, leading to the first eruption on the peninsula in ~780 years.

We show that the multi-year deformation signal is related to a super-critical reservoir that could feed a new geothermal power plant, and identify 14 seismic swarms that cascade along the boundary deformation zone during movements along this zone. We also present the first ever tomographic image of a deep magma reservoir below the Reykjanes Peninsula and follow a propagating dike from the moment it ruptured this reservoir's roof until its arrest, which was followed by a second rupture that lead to the March 2021 eruption in Fagradalsfjall.

We explain three possible mechanisms that can lead to both vertical arrest and lateral deflection of a propagating dike. These mechanisms benefit from contacts between mechanically dissimilar layers. Ample evidence for such contacts is found in the field, in deep wells, in a previous study, and in our tomographic images.

Lastly, we show how the deepening of the seismicity within the magma reservoir during the eruption connects with how the lava samples obtained at the surface evolved from depleted to enriched with time.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Uppsala University: Acta Universitatis Upsaliensis, 2022. p. 91
Series
Digital Comprehensive Summaries of Uppsala Dissertations from the Faculty of Science and Technology, ISSN 1651-6214 ; 2181
Keywords
Time-Dependent Tomography, Joint Inversion, Geothermal Energy, Volcanotectonics, Seismic Unrest, Fagradalsfjall Eruption
National Category
Geophysics Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Research subject
Geophysics with specialization in Seismology
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-482658 (URN)978-91-513-1580-5 (ISBN)
Public defence
2022-10-10, Hambergsalen, Villavägen 16, Uppsala, 13:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2022-09-16 Created: 2022-08-25 Last updated: 2022-09-16

Open Access in DiVA

No full text in DiVA

Other links

Hobé et al., 2021

Authority records

Hobe, AlexTryggvason, AriGudmundsson, Ólafur

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Hobe, AlexTryggvason, AriGudmundsson, Ólafur
By organisation
Geophysics
Geophysics

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar

urn-nbn

Altmetric score

urn-nbn
Total: 97 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf