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Learning Pareto-Efficient Decisions with Confidence
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Mathematics and Computer Science, Department of Information Technology, Division of Systems and Control. Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Mathematics and Computer Science, Department of Information Technology, Artificial Intelligence.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-1303-2901
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Mathematics and Computer Science, Department of Information Technology, Division of Systems and Control. Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Mathematics and Computer Science, Department of Information Technology, Artificial Intelligence.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-6698-0166
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Mathematics and Computer Science, Department of Information Technology, Division of Systems and Control. Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Mathematics and Computer Science, Department of Information Technology, Automatic control.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-7957-3711
2022 (English)In: International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics / [ed] Camps-Valls, G Ruiz, FJR Valera, I, JMLR-JOURNAL MACHINE LEARNING RESEARCH , 2022, Vol. 151, p. 9969-9981Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

The paper considers the problem of multi-objective decision support when outcomes are uncertain. We extend the concept of Pareto-efficient decisions to take into account the uncertainty of decision outcomes across varying contexts. This enables quantifying trade-offs between decisions in terms of tail outcomes that are relevant in safety-critical applications. We propose a method for learning efficient decisions with statistical confidence, building on results from the conformal prediction literature. The method adapts to weak or nonexistent context covariate overlap and its statistical guarantees are evaluated using both synthetic and real data.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
JMLR-JOURNAL MACHINE LEARNING RESEARCH , 2022. Vol. 151, p. 9969-9981
Series
Proceedings of Machine Learning Research, ISSN 2640-3498
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-487888ISI: 000841852304022OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-487888DiVA, id: diva2:1710586
Conference
International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics, MAR 28-30, 2022, ELECTR NETWORK
Funder
Knut and Alice Wallenberg FoundationSwedish Research Council, 2018-05040Swedish Research Council, 2021-05022Available from: 2022-11-14 Created: 2022-11-14 Last updated: 2023-04-03Bibliographically approved

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Ek, SofiaZachariah, DaveStoica, Peter

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