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North American Cold spells modulate North Atlantic Extratropical Cyclones and Extreme Weather in Europe
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, LUVAL.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-7717-7678
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, LUVAL.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-5166-9618
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, LUVAL. Department of Meteorology and Bolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden. (Centre of Natural Hazards and Disaster Science (CNDS))ORCID iD: 0000-0002-2032-5211
(English)Manuscript (preprint) (Other academic)
Keywords [en]
Cold Spells, Extratropical Cyclones, North Atlantic, North America, Europe
National Category
Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences
Research subject
Meteorology
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-500763OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-500763DiVA, id: diva2:1752704
Funder
EU, Horizon 2020, 948309Available from: 2023-04-24 Created: 2023-04-24 Last updated: 2025-02-07Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Wintertime compound extremes in Europe and North America: from dynamics to predictability
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Wintertime compound extremes in Europe and North America: from dynamics to predictability
2023 (English)Licentiate thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

This thesis examines the co-occurrence of wintertime low temperature extremes (cold spells) over North America and wet or windy extremes over Europe. Prolonged (≅ 5 days) North American cold spells can be associated with both upstream and downstream anomalous large-scale atmospheric flows, the latter modulating extreme weather occurrences over Europe. The approximate co-occurrence of European wet or windy extremes with North American cold spells is temporally and spatially dependent on the location of cold spells. We identify three broad regional clusters of cold spells:

  1.  Central Canada: cold spells are predominantly preceded by Iberian precipitation extremes.
  2. Eastern United States: occurrences of both wind and precipitation extremes in Iberia before and after the cold spell.
  3. East Canada: cold spells are predominantly followed by wind extremes over the British Isles and Northern Europe.

We show that cold spells over these three regions are associated with distinct storm track and jet stream anomalies over the North Atlantic. Iberia experiences a higher number of extratropical cyclones during Central Canada cold spells due to an equatorward displacement of the jet. However, the propagation of extratropical cyclones over Europe is limited due to a Scandinavian block-type configuration over Northern Europe. Eastern United States cold spells show a similar configuration to Central Canada. However, this configuration does not show the Scandinavian block-type feature, resulting in a higher number of extratropical cyclones affecting Iberia and Southern Europe. Eastern Canada cold spells are associated with an extended and accelerated jet over Northern Europe. As a result, the UK, France and Northern Europe experience more intense extratropical cyclones on average, with the accelerated jet resulting in stronger extratropical cyclones throughout the North Atlantic in general. These results evidence the existence of a systematic statistical and dynamical connection between North American cold spells and European wet or windy extremes.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Uppsala: Uppsala universitet, 2023. p. 34
Keywords
Cold Spells, Climate Extremes, Extratropical Cyclones, North Atlantic, North America, Europe
National Category
Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences
Research subject
Meteorology
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-501223 (URN)
Presentation
2023-05-26, Norrland II Gm116, Geocentrum, 16 Villavägen 752 36, Uppsala, 10:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Funder
EU, Horizon 2020, 948309
Available from: 2023-05-05 Created: 2023-05-03 Last updated: 2025-02-07Bibliographically approved

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Leeding, RichardRiboldi, JacopoMessori, Gabriele

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