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The two-faced impact of dams and reservoirs on hydrological drought
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, LUVAL. Centre of Natural Hazards and Disaster Science.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9359-6218
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, LUVAL. Centre of Natural Hazards and Disaster Science.
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, LUVAL. Centre of Natural Hazards and Disaster Science.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-8180-4996
(English)Manuscript (preprint) (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Rivers around the world are increasingly regulated by dams and reservoirs. As a result, hydrological drought conditions are more and more characterised by a complex anthropogenic dimension. Understanding how human activities influence the propagation of drought is particularly crucial in the face of climatic and societal changes. In this work, we explore how large dams change the way in which atmospheric water deficit propagates through river basins and result (or not) in hydrological drought. To this end, we analysed geocoded records of 15 large dams in five countries with weather and streamflow observations. Our study reveals a heterogeneous pattern of dam-induced drought propagation shifts. A slight majority of the dams reduced the duration of hydrological drought (i.e. below-normal river flows) compared to the unregulated state. However, most dams contributed to an increased streamflow deficit, both in terms of the median deficit per event and the total deficit over a 10-year period. Our findings also highlight the presence of dams that severely exacerbated hydrological drought conditions downstream, as indicated by more frequent, longer, and more intense drought events. This study significantly contributes to the existing literature showing that river regulation through dams is by no means a panacea for reducing drought risk.

Keywords [en]
drought, streamflows, dams, reservoirs, water management, infrastructure
National Category
Oceanography, Hydrology and Water Resources
Research subject
Hydrology; Natural Resources and Sustainable Development; Earth Science with specialization in Environmental Analysis
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-503767OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-503767DiVA, id: diva2:1764658
Funder
EU, Horizon 2020, 771678Available from: 2023-06-08 Created: 2023-06-08 Last updated: 2023-06-13Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. The use of global data to uncover how humans shape flood and drought risk
Open this publication in new window or tab >>The use of global data to uncover how humans shape flood and drought risk
2023 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

The human consequences of flood and drought disasters are widespread and detrimental. Large-scale studies, drawing on global geodata products and international databases, can systematically examine how anthropogenic megatrends shape disaster risk and test the generalisability of findings from other scientific methodologies. However, the top-down lens of these global studies often misses the pivotal role that human societies play in shaping disaster risk, including how water management influences physical hazards and how political factors shape social vulnerability. It is precisely this tension – characterised by the need for global perspectives alongside the need to incorporate human influences in the study of disaster risk – that motivates my research.

This thesis specifically examines how observations from global data can leverage our understanding of how humans shape hydrological disaster risk, in terms of the hazard, human exposure and social vulnerability. To this end, the thesis draws on multiple methodologies across four individual studies, including one scoping review and three quantitative geospatial studies. The findings of this thesis provide insights into 1) how the landscape of global data shapes disaster studies and 2) how human societies shape disaster risk.

For the former, my thesis shows that key data opportunities and challenges vary across disaster types and risk dimensions. Addressing each of these limitations is important because of the interrelated nature of disaster risk. The thesis also underlines how the pursuit of transforming fragmented disaster knowledge into holistic and useful information would encounter fewer obstacles if the global datasets were more integrated or, at the very least, more compatible. Databases recording past disaster losses serve as a natural place for such an integration.

For the latter, this thesis brings to light the heterogeneous impact that large-scale infrastructure projects can have on disaster risk, by showing that river regulation does not serve as a universal solution for reducing long-term drought risk. The thesis also highlights the central role of human exposure and economic inequality in shaping human losses during severe flood disasters. Taken together, this underlines the importance of addressing root causes of vulnerability to reduce fatalities during disasters.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Uppsala: Acta Universitatis Upsaliensis, 2023. p. 61
Series
Digital Comprehensive Summaries of Uppsala Dissertations from the Faculty of Science and Technology, ISSN 1651-6214 ; 2279
Keywords
natural hazards, hydrological disasters, environmental geography, global geospatial data, international databases, disaster losses, disaster consequences, water management, dams and reservoirs, floodplains, hydrological drought, social vulnerability, economic inequality, Anthropocene
National Category
Oceanography, Hydrology and Water Resources
Research subject
Earth Science with specialization in Environmental Analysis
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-504010 (URN)978-91-513-1835-6 (ISBN)
Public defence
2023-09-08, Hambergsalen, Geocentrum, Villavägen 16, Uppsala, 10:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Funder
EU, Horizon 2020, 771678
Available from: 2023-08-16 Created: 2023-06-13 Last updated: 2023-08-16

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Lindersson, SaraJonsson, EliseDi Baldassarre, Giuliano

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