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Multi-method global sensitivity analysis of flood inundation models
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, LUVAL.
2008 (English)In: Advances in Water Resources, ISSN 0309-1708, E-ISSN 1872-9657, Vol. 31, no 1, 1-14 p.Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Global sensitivity analysis is a valuable tool in understanding flood inundation models and deriving decisions on strategies to reduce model uncertainty. In this paper, a sensitivity analysis of a one-dimensional flood inundation model (HEC-RAS) on the River Alzette, Luxembourg, is presented. It is impossible to define sensitivity in a unique way and different methods can lead to a difference in ranking of importance of model factors. In this paper five different methods (Sobol, Kullback-Leibler entropy, Morris, regionalised sensitivity analysis and regression) are applied and the outcomes on selected examples compared. It is demonstrated that the different methods lead to completely different ranking of importance of the parameter factors and that it is impossible to draw firm conclusions about the relative sensitivity of different factors. Moreover, the uncertainty inherent in the sensitivity methods is highlighted.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2008. Vol. 31, no 1, 1-14 p.
Keyword [en]
global sensitivity analysis, flood modelling, uncertainty, inundation model, decision support, flood risk
National Category
Earth and Related Environmental Sciences
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-112992DOI: 10.1016/j.advwatres.2007.04.009ISI: 000253019900001OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-112992DiVA: diva2:289419
Available from: 2010-01-25 Created: 2010-01-25 Last updated: 2011-01-12Bibliographically approved

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