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From Armed Conflict to War: Ethnic Mobilization and Conflict Intensification
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Humanities and Social Sciences, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Peace and Conflict Research.
2009 (English)In: International Studies Quarterly, ISSN 0020-8833, E-ISSN 1468-2478, Vol. 53, no 2, 369-388 p.Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

This paper presents a new line of inquiry into ethnicity and armed conflict, asking the question: are conflicts in which rebels mobilize along ethnic lines more likely to see intensified violence than non-ethnically mobilized conflicts? The paper argues that the ascriptive nature of ethnicity eases the identification of potential rebels and facilitates a rebel group’s growth, leading to an increased risk for war. This proposition is empirically tested using a Cox model on all intrastate armed conflicts 1946–2004; the results show that ethnically-mobilized armed conflicts have a 92% higher risk for intensification to war. In extending the analysis, the study finds that the vast majority of conflicts intensified in the first year, but for every year a low-scale conflict remained active thereafter, the risk of intensification increased, peaking around year twelve.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2009. Vol. 53, no 2, 369-388 p.
Keyword [en]
civil war, civil conflict, ethnic conflict
National Category
Social Sciences Interdisciplinary
Research subject
Peace and Conflict Research
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-120217DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-2478.2009.00538.xISI: 000266637600006OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-120217DiVA: diva2:302875
Available from: 2010-03-10 Created: 2010-03-10 Last updated: 2010-12-29Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Raising Rebels: Participation and Recruitment in Civil War
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Raising Rebels: Participation and Recruitment in Civil War
2010 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Why do some individuals choose to participate in rebellion, and what recruitment tactics can rebel groups use to affect this decision? These questions are central to the study of civil war because rebel groups must raise troops in order to challenge the government and to survive as an organization. Indeed, much of the civil war literature builds on participation as a key causal mechanism, yet it is rarely specified in theoretical or empirical models. The dissertation attempts to open this black box by tackling three sets of gaps in the existing literature; these relate to the assumptions made in most studies, the theoretical bases for understanding participation and recruitment, and the record of empirical testing. Essay I examines whether a particular type of recruitment practice, ethnic mobilization, is associated with higher levels of violence. The results show that when rebel groups mobilize along ethnic lines, there is a higher risk for intensified violence. Essay II employs new data on rebel troop size to study what factors affect participation in rebellion. The findings indicate that concerns over personal security rather than economic and social incentives best explain participation. Essay III addresses coerced recruitment, positing that conflict dynamics affect whether rebel groups shift from voluntary to coerced recruitment. Using micro-level data on the conflict in Nepal, the results show that the more losses rebels suffer on the battlefield, the greater the number of individuals they subsequently abduct. Finally, the Nepal case study presented in Essay IV suggests that indoctrination as a recruitment strategy was more important to rebel leaders than other facets of the insurgency. Taken together, this dissertation indicates that there is analytical leverage to be had by examining not only the individual’s decision to participate, but also the rebel group’s recruitment strategy, and that these rebel strategies are flexible and contingent on conflict dynamics.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Uppsala: , 2010. 40 p.
Series
Report / Department of Peace and Conflict Research, ISSN 0566-8808 ; 89
Keyword
civil conflict, civil war, ethnic conflict, rebellion, rebel groups, rebel recruitment, participation, coercion, indoctrination, Nepal
National Category
Social Sciences Interdisciplinary
Research subject
Peace and Conflict Research
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-120220 (URN)978-91-506-2129-7 (ISBN)
Public defence
2010-06-05, Auditorium Minus, Museum Gustavianum, Uppsala, 10:15 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2010-05-11 Created: 2010-03-10 Last updated: 2014-11-05Bibliographically approved

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