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Comments on generalised likelihood uncertainty estimation
2006 (English)In: Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2006, Vol. 91, no 10-11, 1315-1321 p.Conference paper (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

The paper presents an application of the generalised likelihood uncertainty estimation methodology to the problem of estimating the uncertainty of predictions produced by environmental models. The methodology is placed in a wider context of different approaches to inverse modelling and, in particular, a comparison is made with Bayesian estimation techniques based on explicit structural assumptions about model error. Using a simple example of a rainfall-flow model, different evaluation measures and their influence on the prediction uncertainty and credibility intervals are demonstrated. (c) 2005 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2006. Vol. 91, no 10-11, 1315-1321 p.
Keyword [en]
Bayesian inference, deterministic environmental models, generalised likelihood uncertainty estimation (GLUE), model determination
National Category
Earth and Related Environmental Sciences
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-140441DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2005.11.030ISI: 000241350400021OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-140441DiVA: diva2:383657
The Fourth International Conference on Sensitivity Analysis of Model Output (SAMO) 2004
Available from: 2011-01-05 Created: 2011-01-05 Last updated: 2013-10-01Bibliographically approved

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Beven, Keith
Earth and Related Environmental Sciences

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