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Long-term prediction of traffic accident record from bus driver celeration behavior
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Humanities and Social Sciences, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Psychology.
2007 (English)In: International Journal of Occupational Safety and Ergonomics, ISSN 1080-3548, Vol. 13, no 2, 159-171 p.Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Driver celeration (speed change) behavior of bus drivers measured a number of times was used to predict their culpable accidents over increasing time periods. It was found that predictive power was considerable (>.30 correlation) over 5 years of time with aggregated celeration (mean of repeated measurements) as independent variables, and there were also indications that power reached even further, although too low Ns made these results unreliable. Similarly, there were indications of even stronger correlations with increased aggregation of celeration values. The results were discussed in terms of the methodology needed to bring out such results, and the stability of accident-causing behavior over time.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2007. Vol. 13, no 2, 159-171 p.
Keyword [en]
Acceleration, Accidents;, Automobile Driving, Forecasting
National Category
Psychology Social Sciences
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-13267ISI: 000247356300006PubMedID: 17599791OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-13267DiVA: diva2:41037
Available from: 2008-01-22 Created: 2008-01-22 Last updated: 2011-02-05Bibliographically approved

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