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Uncertainty in Predictions of Floods and Hydraulic Transport
2007 (English)In: Transport phenomena in hydraulics / [ed] Rowiński, Paweł, Warszawa: Institute of Geophysics , 2007, 5-20 p.Chapter in book (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

This paper provides a review of work within the Generalised Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation (GLUE) methodology on estimating uncertainties in predicting flood frequency, flood inundation, and hydraulic transport of solutes in rivers and soils. The issue of prediction uncertainty as an input decision making is also discussed. It is concluded that in real applications it is unlikely that a fully objective approach to uncertainty estimation is possible. It is therefore important that the assumptions made are stated explicitly so that they can be agreed or disputed with the users of the resulting predictions. It is also important that the modelling process be considered as a learning process of constraining uncertainty by adding new information.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Warszawa: Institute of Geophysics , 2007. 5-20 p.
Series
Publications of the Institute of Geophysics
National Category
Oceanography, Hydrology, Water Resources
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-15441ISBN: 9788388765735 (print)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-15441DiVA: diva2:43212
Available from: 2008-02-12 Created: 2008-02-12 Last updated: 2013-09-03Bibliographically approved

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Beven, Keith J.

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