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Changes in statistical methods affected the validity of official suicide rates
Department of Suicide Research and Prevention, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Nydalen, NO-Oslo, Norway.
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Medicine and Pharmacy, Faculty of Medicine, Department of Public Health and Caring Sciences, Social Medicine.
2011 (English)In: Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, ISSN 0895-4356, E-ISSN 1878-5921, Vol. 64, no 10, 1102-1108 p.Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]


This study investigates whether changes in registration and coding practices influenced official suicide rates in Norway from 1988 to 2002.


A Poisson regression model was used to evaluate rates of suicide and potentially competing underlying causes of death. Setting in Norway 1988-2002.


From 1988 to 1994, suicide mortality decreased significantly, by 23.7%. Simultaneously, rates of causes of death potentially masking suicide decreased or remained fairly stable. From 1994 to 2002, however, there were no significant changes in suicide rates but accidental poisoning, which may mask suicide, increased significantly by 32.4%. Also, "ill-defined causes" of death increased by 16.7%, indicating poorer data quality.


This study suggests that the decreasing suicide rate in 1988-94 reflects a real change. However, the general quality of mortality statistics has deteriorated since the late 1990s, making it difficult to assess developments since 1994. Such variations in the reliability of official suicide statistics complicate international comparisons. However, shifts in the death rate because of "ill-defined" causes could serve as a warning that data quality is not consistent over time.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2011. Vol. 64, no 10, 1102-1108 p.
Keyword [en]
Death certificate, Mortality statistics, Reliability, Validity, Suicide, Quality indicator
National Category
Public Health, Global Health, Social Medicine and Epidemiology
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-158853DOI: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2010.12.015ISI: 000294526700008PubMedID: 21477992OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-158853DiVA: diva2:442258
Available from: 2011-09-20 Created: 2011-09-19 Last updated: 2014-08-14Bibliographically approved

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