From Tremors to Talks: Do Natural Disasters Produce Ripe Moments for Resolving Separatist Conflicts?
2012 (English)In: International Interactions, ISSN 0305-0629, E-ISSN 1547-7444, Vol. 38, no 4, 482-502 p.Article in journal (Refereed) Published
This paper suggests that natural disasters can produce a ripe moment for conflict resolution because governments faced with the demand for effective disaster relief have incentives to offer concessions to separatist challengers. An analysis of the prevalence of new negotiations, ceasefires, and peace agreements during 12-month periods prior to and post natural disasters for separatist dyads 1990-2004 reveal some support for this proposition. Natural disasters increase the likelihood that parties will initiate talks or agree to ceasefires but have less effect on the signing of peace agreements. In line with the proposed mechanism, these results are particularly strong in democracies and following more severe disasters where the need to provide relief is most acute.
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2012. Vol. 38, no 4, 482-502 p.
Research subject Peace and Conflict Research
IdentifiersURN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-172225DOI: 10.1080/03050629.2012.697404ISI: 000307930600007OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-172225DiVA: diva2:513638