A flexible Markov-chain model for simulating demand side management strategies with applications to distributed photovoltaics
2012 (English)In: Proceedings of the World Renewable Energy Forum 2012, Denver, Colorado, USA, May 13-17, 2012, 2012, 1858-1865 p.Conference paper (Refereed)
In this paper a stochastic model for load shifting was utilized for the purpose of investigating the potential for increased self-consumption of photovoltaic (PV) generation in households. We show the results in terms of power consumption, PV power production and solar fraction from a number of scenarios involving end-user flexibility on the order of a few percent. Simulations are performed on both an individual and an aggregate level. Results indicate that the solar fraction is only improved by a few percent both on an aggregate and individual level even for the most extreme scenarios of load shifting. The lack of substantial increase in solar fraction from imposed flexibility can partly be attributed to complementary energy use; when certain energy-demanding activities are downshifted in probability other activities are up-shifted. Another explanation for the lack of increased solar fraction is the total available fraction of flexible activities at a certain time.
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2012. 1858-1865 p.
National CategoryEnergy Systems
Research subject Engineering Science with specialization in Solid State Physics
IdentifiersURN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-174619ISBN: 978-162276092-3OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-174619DiVA: diva2:527905
World Renewable Energy Forum, WREF 2012, Including World Renewable Energy Congress XII and Colorado Renewable Energy Society (CRES) Annual Conference, May 13-17, 2012, Denver, Colorado, USA