European integration and prime ministerial power: an interrupted time-series study of cabinet reshuffles
2007 (English)Conference paper (Other academic)
Many have suggested that the deepening integration of the EU has had a profound impact on the power of the Prime Ministers of its member states. We study two cases that, for both practical and theoretical reasons, are unusually suitable for the systematic and quantitative testing of such claims: The Swedish 1996-2006 government led by PM Göran Persson and the British 1997-2007 government led by PM Tony Blair. In particular, we use an interrupted time-series design and the tools of survival analysis to study the impact of the Amsterdam Treaty on an indicator of Prime Ministerial power utilized in the comparative literature on parliamentary government: The frequency with which ministers are moved around, or out of, a cabinet. The results are consistent with the hypothesis that European integration does have a differential impact on Prime Ministerial power; and with the widespread view that the Amsterdam Treaty shifted power away from national governmental actors to other European- and national-level actors.
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IdentifiersURN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-26677OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-26677DiVA: diva2:54536
Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association Chicago, August 30 - September 2, 20072008-10-172008-10-172009-02-09Bibliographically approved