Uncertainties in damage assessments of future indoor climates
2013 (English)In: Climate for Collections - Standards and Uncertainties / [ed] Ashley-Smith, Jonathan and Burmester, Andreas and Eibl, Melanie, Munich, 2013, 405-418 p.Conference paper (Refereed)
A significant amount of uncertainty is generated in the processof combining projections of future climate, building simulationsand damage functions to produce risk maps for historic buildings.The objective of this paper is to identify and qualitatively describethe main uncertainties in the production of such maps. The mainsources of uncertainty for each modeling step are identified. It isconcluded that the level of uncertainty in risk maps is so high thatdeterministic approaches have severe limitations, and that furtherresearch is needed to assess the levels of uncertainty introducedby each modeling step.
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Munich, 2013. 405-418 p.
Damage functions, Climate change, Risk maps, Uncertainty
Research subject Building Conservation (HGO)
IdentifiersURN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-219931ISBN: 978-1-909492-00-4OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-219931DiVA: diva2:703587
Postprints of the Munich Climate Conference 7 to 9 November 2012
ProjectsClimate for Culture