Incorporating Experimental Information in the Total Monte Carlo Methodology Using File Weights
2015 (English)In: Nuclear Data Sheets, ISSN 0090-3752, E-ISSN 1095-9904, Vol. 123, no SI, 214-219 p.Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Some criticism has been directed towards the Total Monte Carlo method because experimental information has not been taken into account in a statistically well-founded manner. In this work, a Bayesian calibration method is implemented by assigning weights to the random nuclear data files and the method is illustratively applied to a few applications. In some considered cases, the estimated nuclear data uncertainties are significantly reduced and the central values are significantly shifted. The study suggests that the method can be applied both to estimate uncertainties in a more justified way and in the search for better central values. Some improvements are however necessary; for example, the treatment of outliers and cross-experimental correlations should be more rigorous and random files that are intended to be prior files should be generated.
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2015. Vol. 123, no SI, 214-219 p.
Research subject Physics with specialization in Applied Nuclear Physics
IdentifiersURN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-224670DOI: 10.1016/j.nds.2014.12.037ISI: 000348490700039OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-224670DiVA: diva2:717742