uu.seUppsala University Publications
Change search
ReferencesLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Diffusion in the Study of Civil Wars: A Cautionary Tale
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Humanities and Social Sciences, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Peace and Conflict Research.
2014 (English)In: International Studies Review, ISSN 1521-9488, E-ISSN 1468-2486, Vol. 16, no 2, 188-198 p.Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

This essay reviews diffusion as studied in large-N civil war research. In doing so, a number of pitfalls and lacunae are identified. First, the definition of diffusion as a process-whereby internal conflict in one location alters the probability of internal conflict erupting in another location at a later point in time-entails a number of difficulties for empirical modeling. Researching such a process involves an attempt to study a phenomenon that, in essence, is unobservable. It also creates difficulties in identifying relevant units of analysis, because the process involves at least two units. Second, diffusion is customarily identified based on correlations within a spatial and temporal proximity. Classifying it in this way risks simultaneously over-and underestimating cases of diffusion, which in turn generates uncertainty regarding the main determinants of diffusion. With these observations in mind, this essay ends with a word of caution for policymakers, with relevance extending beyond diffusion of civil war.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2014. Vol. 16, no 2, 188-198 p.
National Category
Social Sciences
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-229307DOI: 10.1111/misr.12130ISI: 000337785500002OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-229307DiVA: diva2:736359
Available from: 2014-08-06 Created: 2014-08-05 Last updated: 2014-08-06Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

No full text

Other links

Publisher's full text

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Forsberg, Erika
By organisation
Department of Peace and Conflict Research
In the same journal
International Studies Review
Social Sciences

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar
The number of downloads is the sum of all downloads of full texts. It may include eg previous versions that are now no longer available

Altmetric score

Total: 248 hits
ReferencesLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link