uu.seUppsala University Publications
Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
What we see now: Event-persistence and the predictability of hydro-eco-geomorphological systems
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, LUVAL.
2015 (English)In: Ecological Modelling, ISSN 0304-3800, E-ISSN 1872-7026, Vol. 298, no SI, 4-15 p.Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

What we see now in the landscape is the result of a long history of events with varying degrees of persistence. We have only limited access to much of that history and we know that many current events have only a minimal impact on what we see. Even rather extreme events may have impacts that are not very long-lasting but can have the effect of changing the antecedent states for future events. That means that sampling of sequences of events might be important in understanding the evolution of the catchments. In some cases, however, extreme events can have an impact on the system that persists over hundreds or thousands of years. Any evolution of the landscape is then constrained by those past events, however much it might be also constrained by self-organisational principles. It might be difficult to verify those principles given the epistemic uncertainties about past histories and system properties that are generic to the studies that are possible within a research project or career. These arguments are investigated in a simple slab model of landslip failures in a hillslope hollow subject to stochastic forcing over long periods of time. The complementarity of an event-persistence approach to hydro-eco-geomorphological systems is captured in suggestions for future research questions.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2015. Vol. 298, no SI, 4-15 p.
Keyword [en]
Event persistence, Self-organisation, Event sequences, Shallow landslide model, Epistemic uncertainty
National Category
Earth and Related Environmental Sciences
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-240364DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2014.07.019ISI: 000349504100002OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-240364DiVA: diva2:776372
Available from: 2015-01-07 Created: 2015-01-07 Last updated: 2017-12-05Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

fulltext(608 kB)274 downloads
File information
File name FULLTEXT01.pdfFile size 608 kBChecksum SHA-512
e16134819fbfe830436250d950835e2f95eef35f1ad2d24adae9ff773425f1cc915882bf3ef45b6d26e33e463e3ef486e255dbca1d8f8d0467583c640bbb6192
Type fulltextMimetype application/pdf

Other links

Publisher's full text

Authority records BETA

Beven, Keith

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Beven, Keith
By organisation
LUVAL
In the same journal
Ecological Modelling
Earth and Related Environmental Sciences

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar
Total: 274 downloads
The number of downloads is the sum of all downloads of full texts. It may include eg previous versions that are now no longer available

doi
urn-nbn

Altmetric score

doi
urn-nbn
Total: 580 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf