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From Armed Conflict to War: Ethnic Mobilization and Conflict Intensification
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Humanities and Social Sciences, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Peace and Conflict Research.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-4998-7964
2009 (English)In: International Studies Quarterly, ISSN 0020-8833, E-ISSN 1468-2478, Vol. 53, no 2, 369-388 p.Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

This article presents a new line of inquiry into ethnicity and armed conflict, asking the question: are conflicts in which rebels mobilize along ethnic lines more likely to see intensified violence than nonethnically mobilized conflicts? The article argues that the ascriptive nature of ethnicity eases the identification of potential rebels and facilitates a rebel group’s growth, leading to an increased risk for war. This proposition is empirically tested using a Cox model on all intrastate armed conflicts 1946–2004; the results show that ethnically mobilized armed conflicts have a 92 percent higher risk for intensification to war. In extending the analysis, the study finds that the vast majority of conflicts intensified in the first year, but for every year a low-scale conflict remained active thereafter, the risk of intensification increased, peaking around year 12.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Hoboken: Wiley-Blackwell, 2009. Vol. 53, no 2, 369-388 p.
National Category
Political Science (excluding Public Administration Studies and Globalization Studies)
Research subject
Peace and Conflict Research
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-248046DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-2478.2009.00538.xOAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-248046DiVA: diva2:798404
Available from: 2015-03-26 Created: 2015-03-26 Last updated: 2017-12-04Bibliographically approved

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Eck, Kristine

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