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Stable conditions over the Baltic sea: model evaluation and climatology
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, LUVAL. (Vindenergi)ORCID iD: 0000-0003-2857-3700
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, LUVAL. (Vindenergi)
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, LUVAL.
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, LUVAL. (AWEP)ORCID iD: 0000-0001-7656-1881
2016 (English)In: Boreal environment research, ISSN 1239-6095, E-ISSN 1797-2469, Vol. 21, 387-404 p.Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting model) was evaluated against flight measurements over the Baltic Sea during stable conditions, focusing on vertical profiles of temperature and wind speed. Six different boundary layer parameterization schemes were used. It is shown that there are generally small differences between the boundary layer schemes, and that all schemes have problems in capturing the strength and height of low-level jets. Climatological simulations over the Baltic Sea show that there is a strong sea-sonality in the stability over the sea with up to 80% stable conditions in spring as compared with 10% in winter. Low-level jets are common, and occur up to 45% of the time in spring. The entire Baltic Sea, not only its coastal areas, is affected by stable stratification.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2016. Vol. 21, 387-404 p.
Keyword [en]
stable conditions, boundary layer, Baltic sea, WRF, low level jet, coastal area
National Category
Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences
Research subject
Meteorology
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-287952OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-287952DiVA: diva2:923669
Funder
StandUp for WindNational Supercomputer Centre (NSC), Sweden, SNIC 2015/1-224
Available from: 2016-04-27 Created: 2016-04-27 Last updated: 2016-11-07
In thesis
1. Wind and atmospheric stability characteristics over the Baltic Sea
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Wind and atmospheric stability characteristics over the Baltic Sea
2016 (English)Licentiate thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

In recent years there has been an increase in offshore wind energy, which poses the need for accurate wind speed estimates in the marine environment, especially in coastal areas where most wind turbines will be placed. This thesis is focused on the Baltic Sea, which is a small, semi-enclosed sea where land-sea interaction play an important role in explaining the wind patterns.

Mesoscale model simulations can be used to study the marine environment, where observations are often scarce. In this thesis the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model is used. In the first study simulations show that stable stratification over sea is very common in spring and summer and is associated with an increase in low-level jet occurrence and increased wind shear below 200 m, at heights where wind turbines are erected. The model performance in stable conditions is evaluated against aircraft measurements using several boundary layer parametrization schemes, and it is shown that the low-level jet height and strength is not accurately captured with any of the parametrizations.

In the second study the advection of land features is investigated. From simulations, aircraft observations and satellite images it is shown that boundary layer rolls are created in the convective boundary layer over land, and advected several tens of kilometres out over sea surface, despite the stable stratification, where convective turbulence dissipates quickly. The occurrence of boundary layer rolls gives rise to horizontal wind speed variations of several meters per second over distances of kilometres, which can increase the uncertainty of short term wind speed forecasts in coastal areas with offshore flow.

It is shown that mesoscale processes in and above the marine boundary layer are important in modifying the wind field in distances of at least 100 km from the coast and that models still need to be improved in order to capture these conditions.

Abstract [sv]

Under de senaste decennierna har vindkraftsutbyggnaden ökat till havs, vilket innebär att det krävs tillförlitliga vindhastighetsuppskattningar över hav, särskilt i kustområden, där de flesta vindturbinerna kommer att placeras. Den här avhandlingen kommer att fokusera på Östersjön, vilket är ett relativt litet hav omgivet av landmassor, där land-hav-interaktion har en stor påverkan på vindmönstren över havet.

Mesoskaliga modeller kan användas för att studera den lägre delen av den marina atmosfären. I den här avhandlingen används modellen "Weather Research and Forecasting" (WRF). I den första studien visar simuleringar att stabila förhållanden över havet är vanligt förekommande under sommar och vår, och sker i samband med en ökad förekomst av vindmaxima på låg höjd och ökad vindskjuvning under 200 m - alltså på höjder där vindkraftverk förekommer. Modellen, med flertalet gränskiktsparametriseringar, utvärderas för stabila fall mot flygplansmätningar, och resultaten visar att styrkan och höjden för vindmaxima är antingen över- eller underskattade oavsett parametrisering.

I den andra studien undersöks advektiva fenomen. Simuleringar, flyplansobservationer och satellitbilder visar att avlånga rullvirvlar uppstår i det konvektiva gränsskiktet över land och advekteras flera tiotals kilometer över hav ut från kusten. Detta trots stabila förhållanden över havet, där den konvektiva turbulensen snabbt dör ut. Rullvirvlarna ger upphov till variationer i horisontell vindhastighet på flera meter per sekund över avstånd på några kilometer, vilket kan öka osäkerheten hos korttidsprognoser för vind när det är blåser från land.

Sammanfattningsvis har det har visats att mesoskaliga processer i och ovanför det marina gränsskiktet har en stor inverkan på vindfältet åtminstone 100 km från kusten, och modeller behöver fortfarande förbättras för att kunna fånga dessa företeelser.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Uppsala: Department of Earth Sciences, Uppsala University, 2016. 37 p.
Keyword
coastal transition, stable conditions, boundary layer rolls, low level jet, WRF, Baltic Sea
National Category
Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences
Research subject
Meteorology
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-306948 (URN)
Presentation
2016-12-02, Norrland 1, Villavägen 16, Uppsala, 17:15 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Projects
StandUp for Wind
Funder
StandUp for WindNational Supercomputer Centre (NSC), Sweden, 2015/1-224
Available from: 2017-02-07 Created: 2016-11-07 Last updated: 2017-02-07Bibliographically approved

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