uu.seUppsala University Publications
Change search
ReferencesLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Revising the Human Development Sequence Theory Using an Agent-Based Approach and Data
Univ Leeds, Sch Polit & Int Studies, Social Sci Bldg, Leeds LS2 9JT, W Yorkshire, England..
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Mathematics and Computer Science, Department of Mathematics, Applied Mathematics and Statistics.
2016 (English)In: JASSS: Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, ISSN 1460-7425, E-ISSN 1460-7425, Vol. 19, no 3, 1Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Agent-based models and computer simulations are promising tools for studying emergent macrophenomena. We apply an agent-based approach in combination with data analysis to investigate the human development sequence (HDS) theory developed by Ronald Inglehart and Christian Welzel. Although the HDS theory is supported by correlational evidence, the sequence of economic growth, democracy and emancipation stated by the theory is not entirely consistent with data. We use an agent-based model to make quantitative predictions about several different micro-level mechanisms. Comparison to data allows us to identify important inconsistencies between HDS and the data, and propose revised agent-based models that modify the theory. Our results indicate the importance of elites and economic inequality in explaining the data available on democratisation.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2016. Vol. 19, no 3, 1
Keyword [en]
agent-based simulation, data analysis, human development sequence theory, democratisation, mathematical modelling
National Category
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-303394DOI: 10.18564/jasss.3084ISI: 000381741600008OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-303394DiVA: diva2:971776
Swedish Research Council
Available from: 2016-09-19 Created: 2016-09-19 Last updated: 2016-09-19Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

No full text

Other links

Publisher's full text

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Sumpter, David J. T.
By organisation
Applied Mathematics and Statistics
In the same journal
JASSS: Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar
The number of downloads is the sum of all downloads of full texts. It may include eg previous versions that are now no longer available

Altmetric score

Total: 6 hits
ReferencesLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link