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Publications (10 of 72) Show all publications
Kim, K., Döring, S., Båld, M., VanDeveer, S. D. & Swain, A. (2026). Geopolitics of water agreements: cooperation, conflict, justice, and peace. In: Björn-Ola Linnér; Therese Bennich; Henrik Carlsen (Ed.), Handbook on the Geopolitics of Sustainability: (pp. 248-259). Cheltenham; Northampton: Edward Elgar Publishing
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Geopolitics of water agreements: cooperation, conflict, justice, and peace
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2026 (English)In: Handbook on the Geopolitics of Sustainability / [ed] Björn-Ola Linnér; Therese Bennich; Henrik Carlsen, Cheltenham; Northampton: Edward Elgar Publishing, 2026, p. 248-259Chapter in book (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

This chapter offers insight into the geopolitics of water agreements by discussing the contributions to peace. Upholding equitable and reasonable sharing of water is imperative for enhancing access to water as well as ensuring its peaceful management. Existing arrangements for shared water management are threatened by climate change and the increased mining activities which exacerbate the risk of water conflicts. The chapter provides an overview of water interactions and agreements and highlights the impact of water agreements on regional cooperation, sub-national water conflicts, and justice for the marginalized and weaker parties. The chapter also underscores the increasing pressure on water resources from climate change and climate action, particularly the demand for critical minerals for climate mitigation. We conclude that geopolitics complicate water interactions, while the potential of water agreements to overcome geopolitical limits to water cooperation requires further examination.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Cheltenham; Northampton: Edward Elgar Publishing, 2026
Keywords
Water Agreements For Peace, International Water Cooperation, Inter-State And Intra-State Water Agreements, Transboundary Water Justice, Climate-Resilient Water Agreements, Water And Mining For Green Transition
National Category
Environmental Studies in Social Sciences Peace and Conflict Studies Oceanography, Hydrology and Water Resources
Research subject
Political Science
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-582864 (URN)10.4337/9781035342549.00034 (DOI)9781035342532 (ISBN)9781035342549 (ISBN)
Available from: 2026-03-23 Created: 2026-03-23 Last updated: 2026-03-24Bibliographically approved
Swain, A. (2025). Climate Security. London: Sage Publications
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Climate Security
2025 (English)Book (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

How does the climate crisis relate to global security issues? What impact do increasing temperatures, droughts, sea level rises and extreme weather have on borders, war, migration and unrest?

This nuanced, urgent book cuts into the heart of this relationship, packed with global examples, from glacier movements destabilizing borders, to misinformation driving political apathy around the climate. You will encounter new, provocative ideas such as the carbon footprint of the military, the pressing need for the Global South to adapt, not blame, and the need for strong and visionary leadership in climate negotiations.

Situated on the cutting edge of the climate debate, this book will revolutionize your perspective on global security, challenge deep-rooted assumptions and ignite your critical thinking.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
London: Sage Publications, 2025. p. 200
National Category
Peace and Conflict Studies Climate Science Other Geographic Studies
Research subject
Peace and Conflict Research
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-553264 (URN)9781529670844 (ISBN)
Available from: 2025-03-25 Created: 2025-03-25 Last updated: 2025-05-08Bibliographically approved
Vesco, P., Baliki, G., Brück, T., Döring, S., Eriksson, A., Fjelde, H., . . . Hegre, H. (2025). The impacts of armed conflict on human development: A review of the literature. World Development, 187, Article ID 106806.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>The impacts of armed conflict on human development: A review of the literature
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2025 (English)In: World Development, ISSN 0305-750X, E-ISSN 1873-5991, Vol. 187, article id 106806Article, review/survey (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The detrimental impacts of wars on human development are well documented across research domains, from public health to micro-economics. However, these impacts are studied in compartmentalized silos, which limits a comprehensive understanding of the consequences of conflicts, hampering our ability to effectively sustain human development. This article takes a first step in addressing this gap by reviewing the literature on conflict impacts through the lens of an inter-disciplinary theoretical framework. We review the literature on the consequences of conflicts across 9 dimensions of human development: health, schooling, livelihood and income, growth and investments, political institutions, migration and displacement, socio-psychological wellbeing and capital, water access, and food security. The study focuses on both direct and indirect impacts of violence, reviews the existing evidence on how impacts on different dimensions of societal wellbeing and development may intertwine, and suggests plausible mechanisms to explain how these connections materialize. This exercise leads to the identification of critical research gaps and reveals that systematic empirical testing of how the impacts of war spread across sectors is severely lacking. By streamlining the literature on the impacts of war across multiple domains, this review represents a first step to build a common language that can overcome disciplinary silos and achieve a deeper understanding of how the effects of war reverberate across society. This multidisciplinary understanding of conflict impacts may eventually help to reconcile divergent estimates and enable forward-looking policies that minimize the costs of war.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2025
Keywords
Armed conflict, Human development, Political violence, Conflict impacts
National Category
Peace and Conflict Studies
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-544687 (URN)10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106806 (DOI)001365188700001 ()2-s2.0-85209707937 (Scopus ID)
Funder
Riksbankens Jubileumsfond, M21-0002EU, European Research Council, 101055176Swedish Research Council, 2022-00183
Available from: 2024-12-06 Created: 2024-12-06 Last updated: 2025-02-24Bibliographically approved
Swain, A., Bruch, C., Ide, T., Lujala, P., Matthew, R. A., Weinthal, E. & Deligiannis, T. (2025). The U.S. withdrawal from the Paris Agreement: Implications for global climate governance and security. Environment and Security, 3(1), 3-7
Open this publication in new window or tab >>The U.S. withdrawal from the Paris Agreement: Implications for global climate governance and security
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2025 (English)In: Environment and Security, E-ISSN 2753-8796, Vol. 3, no 1, p. 3-7Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The Paris Agreement, adopted in 2015, is a landmark international accord designed to combat climate change by limiting global warming to below 2°C, with an aspirational goal of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels (UNFCCC, 2015). The United States played a crucial role in drafting and promoting the agreement under the Obama administration. President Donald Trump’s decision to withdraw from the accord for a second time on the first day of his second term marks a significant reversal in global climate leadership (The White House, 2025).We, the editors of the “Environment and Security” journal, explore the ramifications of the U.S. exit from the Paris Agreement, focusing on four key areas: (1) the impact on global climate governance, (2) economic consequences for the United States, (3) domestic environmental vulnerabilities, and (4) national security and geopolitical concerns. In addition, we delve into the broader implications for international security, trade relations, and long-term policy continuity and urge the Trump administration to reconsider its decision.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Sage Publications, 2025
National Category
Peace and Conflict Studies
Research subject
Peace and Conflict Research
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-553266 (URN)10.1177/27538796251322680 (DOI)
Available from: 2025-03-25 Created: 2025-03-25 Last updated: 2025-03-26Bibliographically approved
Fowler, L. B., Swain, A., Gentil Orozco, G., Attamah, S., Bernal Rubio, A. M. & Vitisia, B. (2025). Transboundary Water Organizations: Mechanisms and Challenges for Managing Evolving Disputes. In: Neda A. Zawahri (Ed.), World Scientific Handbook of Transboundary Water Management: Science, Economics, Policy and Politics: Volume 3: The Role of Formal and Informal Institutions in Managing Transboundary Basins (pp. 97-139). Singapore: World Scientific
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Transboundary Water Organizations: Mechanisms and Challenges for Managing Evolving Disputes
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2025 (English)In: World Scientific Handbook of Transboundary Water Management: Science, Economics, Policy and Politics: Volume 3: The Role of Formal and Informal Institutions in Managing Transboundary Basins / [ed] Neda A. Zawahri, Singapore: World Scientific, 2025, p. 97-139Chapter in book (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

The following sections are included:

  • Introduction

  • International Law Governing Transboundary Waters

  • Case Studies

  • Overall Summary and Conclusion

  • References

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Singapore: World Scientific, 2025
National Category
Peace and Conflict Studies Oceanography, Hydrology and Water Resources
Research subject
Peace and Conflict Research
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-553284 (URN)10.1142/9789811291388_0005 (DOI)9789811291319 (ISBN)9789811291388 (ISBN)
Available from: 2025-03-25 Created: 2025-03-25 Last updated: 2025-11-25Bibliographically approved
Döring, S., Kim, K. & Swain, A. (2024). Integrating socio-hydrology, and peace and conflict research. Journal of Hydrology, 633, Article ID 131000.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Integrating socio-hydrology, and peace and conflict research
2024 (English)In: Journal of Hydrology, ISSN 0022-1694, E-ISSN 1879-2707, Vol. 633, article id 131000Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Socio-hydrology strives to incorporate 'the social' into the understanding of hydrological processes, aiming to enrich the analysis of water systems by considering human interactions. While there is a broader interest in integrating socio-political processes into hydrology, our paper specifically emphasizes the significant contributions of peace and conflict research to understanding the complex social dynamics surrounding water. We conduct a brief review of key literature on interstate water sharing, international norms on water, and domestic water disputes, drawing extensively from empirical studies within peace and conflict research—a field with a rich tradition of examining the interplay of water systems and social dynamics. Building on this foundation, we propose ways to weave insights from peace research, especially environmental peacebuilding, into the realm of socio-hydrology. We also highlight the crucial role of power, politics, and social factors in shaping water-related interactions and conflicts. By fostering a dialogue between socio-hydrology and peace and conflict research, we advocate for a more nuanced understanding of water management and governance. This interdisciplinary approach, we argue, is essential for promoting sustainable and equitable water use, and for addressing the challenges posed by water-related conflicts in a rapidly changing global context.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2024
Keywords
socio-hydrology, peace, water, conflict studies
National Category
Peace and Conflict Studies Other Social Sciences not elsewhere specified Oceanography, Hydrology and Water Resources
Research subject
Hydrology; Peace and Conflict Research; Political Science
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-525343 (URN)10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131000 (DOI)001202904700001 ()
Funder
Swedish Research Council, 2022-00183Riksbankens Jubileumsfond, M21-0002
Available from: 2024-03-21 Created: 2024-03-21 Last updated: 2025-02-20Bibliographically approved
Swain, A. (2024). More Conflicts, More Deaths: Everyone Talks about Winning the War, but No One Talks About Achieving Peace. Social Development Issues, 46(2), Article ID 6.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>More Conflicts, More Deaths: Everyone Talks about Winning the War, but No One Talks About Achieving Peace
2024 (English)In: Social Development Issues, ISSN 0147-1473, Vol. 46, no 2, article id 6Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

This article examines the multifaceted challenges posed by the current global conflict landscape, emphasizing the interconnectedness of development, security, and peace. Firstly, the article highlights the increase in both state and non state conflicts, with fatalities nearly doubling from 2021 to 2022. This escalation is marked by significant conflicts like the Russia–Ukraine war and the Tigray conflict in Ethiopia, contributing to the deterioration of global security. The analysis also touches on the failure of regional and international organizations such as the African Union, ASEAN, and the United Nations in effectively managing these conflicts and maintaining peace. Secondly, the article delves into the evolving nature of warfare, including the rise of digital attacks and hybrid warfare, which blend conventional and unconventional tactics. This section underscores the need for a new, comprehensive peace architecture to address the array of modern threats, including climate change and pandemics, which extend beyond traditional military concerns. Finally, the article discusses the concerning decline of anti-war movements in the West, particularly in light of recent conflicts like the Ukraine war. This decline is attributed to various factors, including the perception of Western military actions as inherently benevolent and the shift in activism focus to issues like climate change and social justice. The article argues that this decline has profound implications for democratic processes and the global pursuit of peace.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Michigan Publishing Services, 2024
National Category
Peace and Conflict Studies
Research subject
Peace and Conflict Research
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-553267 (URN)10.3998/sdi.5984 (DOI)
Available from: 2025-03-25 Created: 2025-03-25 Last updated: 2025-03-26Bibliographically approved
Henrysson, M., Swain, R. B., Swain, A. & Fuso Nerini, F. (2024). Sustainable Development Goals and wellbeing for resilient societies: shocks and recovery. Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, 11(1), Article ID 1513.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Sustainable Development Goals and wellbeing for resilient societies: shocks and recovery
2024 (English)In: Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, E-ISSN 2662-9992, Vol. 11, no 1, article id 1513Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The 'decade of action' intended to accomplish the ambitious 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) faces notable challenges. Our investigation into the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on SDG progress reveals important lessons for shaping effective policy interventions to ensure resilient societies and overall well-being. Through systematic mapping and a rapid review approach, our analysis reveals that nearly 90% of the SDGs, specifically 144 targets, were adversely affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. Yet, there is a glimmer of opportunity: 66 targets stand to gain from the crisis-induced transformations, provided that the right choices are made. Achieving this goal demands a comprehensive approach and decisive leadership to steer an inclusive economic recovery that also safeguards the environment while safeguarding the environment. The intricate interplay between the ongoing planetary and post-COVID-19 crises, environmental challenges, and conflicts underscores the need for a proactive, deliberate and well-informed approach, marked by collaborative decision-making, which is imperative for effectively steering the 'decade of action' toward achieving the SDGs. These complex challenges demand collective, decisive action, all with the overarching aim of securing a just and sustainable future for all.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Nature, 2024
National Category
Peace and Conflict Studies Other Social Sciences not elsewhere specified Environmental Sciences Economics Public Health, Global Health and Social Medicine
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-543878 (URN)10.1057/s41599-024-03973-8 (DOI)001352451100005 ()
Funder
Swedish Energy Agency, 44723-1KTH Royal Institute of Technology
Available from: 2024-11-27 Created: 2024-11-27 Last updated: 2025-02-20Bibliographically approved
Swain, A., Bruch, C., Ide, T., Lujala, P., Matthew, R. & Weinthal, E. (2023). Environment and security in the 21st century. Environment and Security, 1(1-2), 3-9
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Environment and security in the 21st century
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2023 (English)In: Environment and Security, E-ISSN 2753-8796, Vol. 1, no 1-2, p. 3-9Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

 Our complex, globalized world has created an environment that presents new challenges to countries striving for peace and security. While inter-state wars have become less frequent in the last 50 years, civil wars have become more common and intractable. Today the number of internal armed conflicts is rising, and fatalities are also increasing after years of decline (Davies et al., 2022). Genocide, crimes against humanity, war crimes, and various human rights violations continue to endanger peace and security subnationally, nationally, regionally, and globally. Racism and xenophobia are being used to divide people and societies; and rising political and social polarization is leading to violence in many countries or regions (Piazza, 2022). At the same time, geopolitical tensions between states continue or are even on the rise. Moreover, broader security issues such as climate change, biodiversity loss, pollution, large-scale human migration, food and water scarcity, and global pandemics have posed serious challenges for countries seeking to achieve peace and security (Swain, 2012; Swain & Jägerskog, 2016). These nonmilitary issues are also interrelated, and a challenge for one country or region has often become a threat to others.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Sage Publications, 2023
National Category
Peace and Conflict Studies
Research subject
Peace and Conflict Research
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-553269 (URN)10.1177/27538796221149609 (DOI)
Funder
Academy of Finland, 322097
Available from: 2025-03-25 Created: 2025-03-25 Last updated: 2025-03-26Bibliographically approved
Hellberg, S., Söderbaum, F., Swain, A. & Öjendal, J. (2023). Introduction: The Water-Development Nexus (1ed.). In: Sofie Hellberg, Fredrik Soderbaum, Ashok Swain & Joakim Öjendal (Ed.), Routledge Handbook on Water and Development: . London: Routledge
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Introduction: The Water-Development Nexus
2023 (English)In: Routledge Handbook on Water and Development / [ed] Sofie Hellberg, Fredrik Soderbaum, Ashok Swain & Joakim Öjendal, London: Routledge, 2023, 1Chapter in book (Refereed)
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
London: Routledge, 2023 Edition: 1
Series
Routledge International Handbooks, ISSN 2767-4886
National Category
Social Sciences
Research subject
Peace and Conflict Research
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-553283 (URN)10.4324/9781003095545-1 (DOI)9780367558772 (ISBN)9780367558765 (ISBN)9781003095545 (ISBN)
Available from: 2025-03-25 Created: 2025-03-25 Last updated: 2025-06-27Bibliographically approved
Projects
Democracy and Social Capital in Segmented Societies; Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Humanities and Social Sciences, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Peace and Conflict ResearchBook Project: Social Movement and Public Policy: Education as an Agenda of Social Action; Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Humanities and Social Sciences, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Peace and Conflict Research; Publications
Swain, A. (2005). Education as Social Action: Knowledge, Identity and Power. Palgrave Macmillan, Basingstoke & New York
Regional Cooperation and Conflict Management in Southeast Asia; Uppsala UniversityDiasporas and Their Involvement in Peace Processes; Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Humanities and Social Sciences, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Peace and Conflict Research; Publications
Hall, J. & Swain, A. (2007). Catapulting Conflicts or Propelling Peace? Diasporas and Civil Wars. In: Globalization and Challenges to Building Peace: . Swain, A., Amer, R. & Öjendal, J. (2007). Globalization and Challenges to Building Peace. Anthem Press, London, New York & DelhiKostic, R. (2003). Strategies of livelihood in post-war Bosnia and Herzegovina: A study of the economic predicament of returning home. Mimeo, Gothenburg University
SWE-2010-137Changing Parameters for Hydropolitics in Light of Global Climate Change: The Governance of Transboundary Waters to meet the Water Crisis [2013-06170_VR]; Uppsala UniversityIntergroup trust after war: The effects of migration [2014-01347_VR]; Uppsala UniversitySocieties at risk: The impact of armed conflict on human development [M21-0002_RJ]; Uppsala University; Publications
Krampe, F., Kreutz, J. & Ide, T. (2026). "Armed conflict causes long-lasting environmental harms". Environment and Security, 4(1), 3-17Döring, S. & Krampe, F. (2026). From Knowledge to Action: Forging a More Effective Science-Policy Interface for Water and Climate Security. Environmental Development, 59, Article ID 101494. Randahl, D. (2026). This is not normal!: (Re-) Evaluating the lower n guidelines for regression analysis. Teaching Statistics, 48(2), 130-137Döring, S. (2026). Water and Communal Conflict: A Review of the Literature. WIREs Water, 13(1), Article ID e70056. Croicu, M. (2025). Forecasting battles: New machine learning methods for predicting armed conflict. (Doctoral dissertation). Uppsala: Uppsala UniversityNordenving, S. & Rogall, T. (2025). Parental Responses to Armed Conflict and Drought: Impacts on Early Childhood Skills. In: : . Paper presented at Jan Tinbergen European Peace Science Conference. Hegre, H., Vesco, P., Colaresi, M., Vestby, J., Timlick, A., Kazmi, N. S., . . . Walterskirchen, J. (2025). The 2023/24 VIEWS Prediction challenge: Predicting the number of fatalities in armed conflict, with uncertainty. Journal of Peace Research, 62(6), 2070-2087Vesco, P., Baliki, G., Brück, T., Döring, S., Eriksson, A., Fjelde, H., . . . Hegre, H. (2025). The impacts of armed conflict on human development: A review of the literature. World Development, 187, Article ID 106806. Rogall, T. (2025). Wolves in Sheep's Clothing: Community Meetings and Voter Control in Non-Democracies. Quarterly Journal of Political Science, 20(2), 183-229Nordenving, S., Rogall, T. & Zarate-Barrera, T. (2025). Women's Empowerment and Post-Conflict Recovery after Mass Killings. In: Women's Empowerment and Post-Conflict Recovery after Mass Killings: . Paper presented at ESOC Annual Meeting.
Aquifers in the Anthropocene, AQUA]; Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Humanities and Social Sciences, Center for Integrated Research on Culture and Society (CIRCUS) (Closed down 2025-12-31)Cooperate or compete? Potentials and perils of deploying AI for International Water Dispute Management (AI-Water) [2025-04405_VR]; Uppsala University; Publications
Döring, S. & Krampe, F. (2026). From Knowledge to Action: Forging a More Effective Science-Policy Interface for Water and Climate Security. Environmental Development, 59, Article ID 101494. Kim, K., Döring, S., Båld, M., VanDeveer, S. D. & Swain, A. (2026). Geopolitics of water agreements: cooperation, conflict, justice, and peace. In: Björn-Ola Linnér; Therese Bennich; Henrik Carlsen (Ed.), Handbook on the Geopolitics of Sustainability: (pp. 248-259). Cheltenham; Northampton: Edward Elgar Publishing
Organisations
Identifiers
ORCID iD: ORCID iD iconorcid.org/0000-0001-9246-0626

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