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Background and purpose: The COVID-19 pandemic impacted substantially on cancer healthcare, including the temporary suspension of screening activities. We compared cancer incidence rates and stage during 2020-2021 to pre-pandemic rates in the Nordic countries.

Material and methods: Using data from the national cancer registries in Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, and Sweden, we estimated age-, sex-, and period-adjusted incidence rate ratios, expressed as relative percentage change (%) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), comparing rates in 2020-2021 to those in 2017-2019 (pre-pandemic).

Results: In 2020-2021, 340,675 cancer cases were diagnosed. The incidence rates declined during the first pandemic wave (Q2 2020), ranging from -21.7% [95% CI: -23.3%; -20.2%] (Sweden) to -7.9% [-17.7%; 3.0%] (Iceland). Incidence rates also declined in the second pandemic wave (Q1 2021), ranging from -8.6% [-10.2%; -6.9%] (Sweden) to -2.3% [-4.6%; 0.1%] (Norway), and in Sweden also by -3.1% [-4.8%; -1.3%] in the third pandemic wave (Q4 2021). Stage I breast cancer incidence declined during 2020 in Denmark/ Norway/Sweden, with some catch-up in stage II incidence in 2021. Prostate cancer rates declined in Denmark/Finland/Norway/Sweden during 2020-2021, while melanoma rates declined in Finland in 2020. During 2020, colon cancer rates declined in Denmark and Iceland, while rectal cancer rates declined in Denmark, and lung and kidney cancer rates declined in Norway.

Interpretation: During 2020-2021, cancer incidence rates declined across the Nordic countries with the largest declines in Sweden. During the third pandemic wave, the incidence rates were mostly similar to pre-pandemic rates. Changes in cancer stage may reflect reduced screening activities.

Objectives

To investigate the impact of age and life expectancy on treatment decisions and its consequences for outcomes among men with intermediate and high-risk prostate cancer (PCa).

Materials and methods

We studied men in Prostate Cancer data Base Sweden (PCBaSe) diagnosed between 2008 and 2022 with intermediate-risk or high-risk localized or locally advanced PCa and life expectancy between 2.5 and 15 years in the absence of PCa. Estimates of life expectancy were based on age and two comorbidity indices.

Results

A total of 32 196 men were included in the analyses. Of these, 17 419 (54%) had a life expectancy between 10 and 15 years, of whom 11 147 (64%) received primary radical treatment. Age had a stronger influence than life expectancy on the selection of treatment. Around 10% of deaths within 10 years of diagnosis could potentially have been avoided if men with >10 years life expectancy, regardless of age, had received radical treatment, based on assumptions of high treatment efficacy (30% reduction in all-cause mortality) and high uptake of treatment (90%).

Conclusion

A substantial proportion of healthy older men with intermediate and high-risk PCa did not undergo radical treatment. According to our model and assumptions, 10% of deaths within 10 years of diagnosis in these men could potentially have been avoided if they had received radical treatment.

Assessment of comorbidity is crucial for confounding adjustment and prediction of mortality in register-based studies, but the commonly used Charlson comorbidity index is not sufficiently predictive. We aimed to develop a multidimensional diagnosis-based comorbidity index (MDCI) that captures comorbidity better than the Charlson Comorbidity index. The index was developed based on 286,688 men free of prostate cancer randomly selected from the Swedish general population, and validated in 54,539 men without and 68,357 men with prostate cancer. All ICD-10 codes from inpatient and outpatient discharges during 10 years prior to the index date were used to define variables indicating frequency of code occurrence, recency, and total duration of related hospital admissions. Penalized Cox regression was used to predict 10-year all-cause mortality. The MDCI predicted risk of death better than the Charlson comorbidity index, with a c-index of 0.756 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.751, 0.762) vs 0.688 (95% CI = 0.683, 0.693) in the validation cohort of men without prostate cancer. Men in the lowest vs highest MDCI quartile had distinctively different survival in the validation cohort of men with prostate cancer, with an overall hazard ratio [HR] of 5.08 (95% CI = 4.90, 5.26). This was also consistent within strata of age and Charlson comorbidity index, e.g. HR = 5.90 (95% CI = 4.65, 7.50) in men younger than 60 years with CCI 0. These results indicate that comorbidity assessment in register-based studies can be improved by use of all ICD-10 codes and taking related frequency, recency, and duration of hospital admissions into account.

OBJECTIVES: To study how handling missing data on M stage in a clinical cancer register affects estimates of incidence of metastatic prostate cancer.

STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: Estimates of age-standardized incidence of metastatic prostate cancer were obtained by use of data in a population-based clinical cancer register in Sweden and using four methods for imputation of missing M stage. Adjusted survival was used to compare men with known and imputed M stage.

RESULTS: The proportion of men with missing M stage was high (66%) and varied according to risk group and over calendar time. The estimated incidence of metastatic disease varied depending on imputation method, with all methods indicating a decreasing incidence over time. A combination of deterministic imputation and multiple imputation produced adjusted survival curves for men with imputed M stage that best resembled the survival for men with known M stage.

CONCLUSIONS: Plausible estimates of incidence of metastatic prostate cancer in clinical cancer registers can be obtained by use of a combination of deterministic imputation of missing M stage and multiple imputation.

Background In a population-based setting, we investigated the risks of testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 and developing severe COVID-19 outcomes among cancer patients compared with the general population.Methods In nationwide cohorts, we identified all individuals in Norway, Denmark and Iceland who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 or had a severe COVID-19 outcome (hospitalisation, intensive care, and death) from March until December 2020, using data from national health registries. We estimated standardised incidence ratios (SIRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) comparing cancer patients with the general population.Findings During the first wave of the pandemic, cancer patients in Norway and Denmark had higher risks of testing SARS-CoV-2 positive compared to the general population. Throughout 2020, recently treated cancer patients were more likely to test SARS-CoV-2 positive. In Iceland, cancer patients experienced no increased risk of testing positive. The risk of COVID-19-related hospitalisation was higher among cancer patients diagnosed within one year of hospitalisation (Norway: SIR = 2.43, 95% CI 1.89-3.09; Denmark: 2.23, 1.96-2.54) and within five years (Norway: 1.58, 1.35-1.83; Denmark: 1.54, 1.42-1.66). Risks were higher in recently treated cancer patients and in those diagnosed with haematologic malignancies, colorectal or lung cancer. Risks of COVID-19-related intensive care and death were higher among cancer patients. Interpretation Cancer patients were at increased risk of testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 during the first pandemic wave when testing availability was limited, while relative risks of severe COVID-19 outcomes remained increased in cancer patients throughout 2020. Recent cancer treatment and haematologic malignancy were the strongest risk factors.

CD40-CD40L interaction activates DCs to become highly efficient APCs and skews the adaptive immune response towards a Th I phenotype driving cytotoxic T cells, M1 macrophages and natural killer cells. Furthermore, engagement of CD40L to CD40 positive cancer cells can have direct anti-proliferative effects, induce apoptosis and increase expression of MHC and other co-stimulatory molecules, thereby enhancing cancer cell recognition. Hence, activating the CD40-CD40L pathway may lead to several potential anti-tumoral effects. 

In this thesis we evaluated activation of the CD40-CD40L pathway in patients with solid cancer by investigating three medicinal products administered mainly through intratumoral injection: ADC1013 - an agonistic CD40 antibody, AdCD40L - a replication deficient adenovirus carrying the gene for CD40L and LOAd703 - an oncolytic adenovirus carrying two immunostimulatory genes: TMZ-CD40L and 4-1BBL. 

In paper I, ADC-1013 was investigated in patients with metastatic cancer (n=23) in a phase I trial. ADC-1013 was injected intratumorally (n=18) or intravenously (n=5). 

AdCD40L was investigated in  a phase I/II study reported in paper II and III, respectively. In one cohort (paper II), patients with metastatic malignant melanoma (n=9) were treated with four weekly intratumoral injections with AdCD40L preceded by radiotherapy (single fraction 8 Gy) of the metastasis to subsequently be injected. Concomitant low dose cyclophosphamide was administered before the first and fourth intratumoral injection. In another cohort (paper III), patients with metastatic non melanoma solid cancer (n=6) were treated with the same schedule except from radiotherapy. Paper III also reports the results of the first-ever patient treated with AdCD40L. 

In paper IV, the preliminary results of phase I of a phase I/II study investigating LOAd703 administered intratumorally at a two-week interval are presented. LOAd703 was given as an add-on to standard-of-care chemotherapy, or with gemcitabine conditioning in patients having received established treatments. Patients (n=9) had locally advanced or metastatic pancreatic cancer, metastatic ovarian cancer or colorectal cancer. 

We conclude that treatment with all three medicinal products was safe and tolerable. For ADC-1013, the therapeutic ratio seemed to be more favorable for intratumoral injections into superficial metastases compared to deep metastases. We demonstrated that AdCD40L can be combined with radiotherapy without increasing toxicity although radiotherapy did not enhance treatment efficacy. Further, LOAd703 was safe to combine with chemotherapy. Although the number of patients treated in each trial was limited, and almost all patients were considered refractory to standard treatment at inclusion, some patients seemed to benefit from treatment which is encouraging. 

AdCD40L is a replication-deficient virus carrying the gene for CD40 ligand which has previously been evaluated in patients with urothelial cancer and malignant melanoma. Herein, we present the results of repeated intratumoral injections of AdCD40L in seven patients with metastatic solid cancer. One patient who developed urothelial cancer derived from a renal transplant was treated with repeated injections of AdCD40L alone. The remaining patients suffered from cholangiocarcinoma, kidney, breast, rectal, or ovarian cancer and received AdCD40L repeatedly (4x) in combination with cyclophosphamide. The treatment was safe and generally well-tolerated. Two patients had clinical benefit of the treatment and one of them was accepted for re-treatment. Circulating proinflammatory cytokines were commonly increased after treatment, but save for TNFα, significances were not reached which could be due to the low number of patients. Similar to earlier findings in AdCD40L-treated melanoma patients, IL8 plasma levels were high in the present study. In conclusion, gene therapy by repeated intratumoral AdCD40L injections alone, or in combination with cyclophosphamide, is feasible and safe in patients with solid cancers. The potential of intratumoral CD40L gene transfer as treatment of cancer was illustrated by the clinical improvement in two out of seven patients.

The purpose was to evaluate the potential of diffusion-weighted-magnetic resonance imaging (DW-MRI) and F-18-fludeoxy-glucose-positron emission tomography integrated with CT (FDG-PET/CT) for prediction of overall survival (OS) following AdCD40L-immunotherapy in patients with metastatic malignant melanoma (MMM). Twenty-four patients with refractory MMM were treated with immunostimulatory AdCD40L gene therapy in a phase I/IIa study. Pre-therapeutic DW-MRI and FDG-PET/CT were performed and then repeated at 5 and 9 weeks post-treatment. Evaluation was conducted according to RECIST 1.1 and EORTC criteria. Apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC), true diffusion coefficient (D), maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) were measured in the injected lesions. Fold changes (F) in ADC (F ADC), D (FD), SUVmax (FSUVmax) were statistically assessed. F D >= 1 and F ADC >= 1 were associated with better OS in scans at week 5 and 9 respectively. F SUVmax was not correlated to OS. F ADC >= 1 in both post-treatment scans and F D >= 1 at week 5 were related to a significant decrease of size of the injected lesions. These results suggest that in patients with MMM treated with AdCD401, functional parameters of DW-MRI are better early predictors of OS than the established metabolic and morphologic criteria for FDG-PET/CT and MRI, respectively.

Agonistic CD40 antibodies activate dendritic cells and can expand and activate tumor-specific T cells. Our purpose was to assess the CD40 agonistic antibody ADC-1013 in the clinical setting including intratumoral administration since preclinical studies have indicated that intratumoral is better than intravenous administration. A Phase I, open label, multicenter study was conducted in patients with advanced solid tumors who had received established treatments. A modified 3 + 3 dose-escalation was applied (every other week dosing). Twenty-three patients were treated with ADC-1013 intratumorally (dosing from 22.5 mu g/kg up to 400 mu g/kg) or intravenously (dosing at 75 mu g/kg). The pharmacodynamic effects observed in the patients were further verified in an hCD40tg mouse model. Adverse events were mostly Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events (CTCAE) Grades 1 or 2 and transient. The serum concentration ADC-1013 and cytokine release (MCP-1, TNF alpha and IL-6) were more pronounced in patients receiving injections in deep metastases compared to patients receiving injections in superficial metastases. Treatment with ADC-1013 resulted in a marked decrease in B cell levels in peripheral blood after 24 h while remaining B cells significantly increased their expression of the cell surface activation marker CD86. Activation of antigen-presenting cells and subsequent activation of T cells were demonstrated in hCD40tg mice. Moreover, ADC-1013 treatment in this mouse model acted synergistically with a PD-1 inhibitor. The results from the first-in-human study of ADC-1013 indicate that intratumoral administration of ADC-1013 into superficial lesions is well tolerated at clinically relevant doses and associated with pharmacodynamic responses.

Background: AdCD40L is an immunostimulatory gene therapy under evaluation for advanced melanoma, including ocular melanoma. Herein, we present the final data of a Phase I/IIa trial using AdCD40L alone or in combination with low dose cyclophosphamide +/- radiation therapy.

Methods: AdCD40L is a replication-deficient adenovirus carrying the gene for CD40 ligand (CD40L). Twenty-four patients with advanced melanoma were enrolled and treated with AdCD40L monotherapy, or combined with cyclophosphamide +/- single fraction radiotherapy. The patients were monitored for 10 weeks using immunological and radiological evaluations and thereafter for survival.

Results: AdCD40L treatment was safe and well tolerated both alone and in combination with cyclophosphamide as well as local radiotherapy. Four out of twenty-four patients had >1 year survival. Addition of cyclophosphamide was beneficial but adding radiotherapy did not further extend survival. High initial plasma levels of IL12 and MIP3b correlated to overall survival, whereas IL8 responses post-treatment correlated negatively with survival. Interestingly, antibody reactions to the virus correlated negatively with post IL6 and pre IL1b levels in blood.

Conclusions: AdCD40L was safely administered to patients and effect was improved by cyclophosphamide but not by radiotherapy. Immune activation profile at baseline may predict responders better than shortly after treatment.