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Resilience to storm conditions of power systems with large dependencies on offshore wind
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Technology, Department of Electrical Engineering, Electricity. Centre of Natural Hazards and Disaster Science (CNDS), Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-9868-0571
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Technology, Department of Electrical Engineering, Electricity.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-7828-8516
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Technology, Department of Electrical Engineering, Electricity. Centre of Natural Hazards and Disaster Science (CNDS), Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-8509-512X
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Technology, Department of Electrical Engineering, Electricity. Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Physics, Department of Physics and Astronomy, Theoretical Physics. Centre of Natural Hazards and Disaster Science (CNDS), Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9213-6447
2023 (English)In: Journal of Physics, Conference Series, ISSN 1742-6588, E-ISSN 1742-6596, Vol. 2626, article id 012017Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The ongoing transition towards large installations of offshore wind and the electrification of the transport sector and other critical infrastructures introduce new vulnerabilities to the society. Large dependencies of power production from offshore wind are expected in the next decades, but there are large knowledge gaps regarding the power production reliability under severe weather conditions. Simultaneously, weather extremes may increase in frequency and intensity, driven by climate change. In this paper we investigate the resilience of a power system subject to a hurricane event. The power system is based on the IEEE39-bus New England system but with different scenarios for increasing penetration of offshore wind. We find that an offshore wind penetration level of 30% or less results in a power system resilient to hurricane events, with no need for load disconnection. However, when increased to 40% offshore wind penetration, 650 MW corresponding to 10% of the total load demand gets disconnected during the storm peak. With a penetration of 50% offshore wind, the disconnected load ranges from 2.2 GW of load corresponding to 1/3 of the total load demand, to a total power system blackout.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Institute of Physics Publishing (IOPP), 2023. Vol. 2626, article id 012017
Keywords [en]
Extreme weather event, Offshore wind, Power system, Resilience
National Category
Other Electrical Engineering, Electronic Engineering, Information Engineering
Research subject
Electrical Engineering with specialization in Systems Analysis
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-511045DOI: 10.1088/1742-6596/2626/1/012017ISI: 001147057400017OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-511045DiVA, id: diva2:1794875
Conference
EERA DeepWind Conference, January 18-20, 2023, Trondheim, Norway
Available from: 2023-09-06 Created: 2023-09-06 Last updated: 2024-03-27Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Power Grid Resilience to High Impact Low Probability Events
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Power Grid Resilience to High Impact Low Probability Events
2023 (English)Licentiate thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

The electrification of societies and the decarbonisation of electricity production are changing energy systems worldwide. A fast transition towards the replacement of fossil fuels by intermittent renewable energy sources is expected in the next decades to combat climate change. A significant share of the produced electricity is likely to be generated from offshore wind farms, due to the abundant wind resources in the offshore regions and the lack of available onshore sites. However, increased electricity dependence in combination with expanded offshore wind power generation introduce new vulnerabilities to the society. Specifically, the effects of high impact low probability (HILP) events are considered as potential threats to the power system, not least because of the increasing number of extreme weather events. Therefore, research on power grid vulnerability and power system resilience to HILP events are of significant interest.

This thesis presents results of studies investigating power grid vulnerability from a topological perspective, and resilience to storm conditions of power systems with varying dependencies on offshore wind. To achieve this, methods based on complex network theory and AC power flow analysis have been developed, tested, and evaluated. Further, geospatial wind data from historical extreme storm events have been used to generate realistic power production profiles from hypothetical offshore wind farms.

The results strengthen that complex network concepts can be used successfully in the context of power grid vulnerability analysis. Further, the results show that the resilience of power systems with large dependencies on offshore wind differ vastly depending on the grid properties and control strategies, which are further discussed in this thesis.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Uppsala: Uppsala University, 2023. p. 54
Keywords
Extreme weather, HILP events, offshore wind, power grid, resilience, vulnerability
National Category
Other Electrical Engineering, Electronic Engineering, Information Engineering
Research subject
Electrical Engineering with specialization in Systems Analysis
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-512049 (URN)
Presentation
2023-11-10, Evelyn Sokolowski, Ångströmlaboratoriet, Lägerhyddsvägen 1, Uppsala, 10:15 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2023-10-11 Created: 2023-09-22 Last updated: 2024-06-17Bibliographically approved

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Forsberg, SamuelThomas, KarinBergkvist, MikaelGöteman, Malin

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