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Revealing Glacier Bed Topography from Regional to Global Scales
Uppsala universitet, Teknisk-naturvetenskapliga vetenskapsområdet, Geovetenskapliga sektionen, Institutionen för geovetenskaper, Luft-, vatten- och landskapslära.ORCID-id: 0000-0002-1053-3295
2026 (engelsk)Doktoravhandling, med artikler (Annet vitenskapelig)
Fritextbeskrivning
Abstract [en]

Mountain glaciers and ice caps distinct from the ice sheets in Greenland and Antarctica, here-after “glaciers”, are melting and retreating around the World. Improving projections of glacier change and assessing associated Earth system impacts requires accurate knowledge of the bed topography beneath the ice. However, direct observations of the glacier bed exist for only a small fraction of the >200,000 glaciers globally. Thus, computational inversion methods are needed to infer bed properties from more accessible surface data. This thesis presents the development of a glacier bed and ice thickness inversion method and its applications on regional and global scales.

The newly developed inverse method is computationally efficient, robust, model agnostic and compatible with complex ice-flow physics on distributed grids. Tests on synthetic and real glaciers demonstrated strong performance, with benchmarks ranking it among the best available methods. The first regional application produced detailed bed topographies for Scandinavia, constraining total glacier volume to 0.32×103 km3, equivalent to 0.8 mm of global mean sea-level rise if melted. A subsequent application to all glaciers in Svalbard — where glacier dynamics are more complex — estimated a volume of 6.80×103 km3 (16.3 mm sea-level equivalent) and achieved improved agreement with observations compared to earlier studies. Finally, a global application yielded a total glacier volume of 149.41×103 km3 (316.1 mm sea-level equivalent). While the global total aligns with previous estimates, notable regional differences were identified. Beyond ice volume, the global study produced physically realistic bed topographies and mapped >50,000 potential future lakes in presently glacier-covered terrain, totaling 3,138 km3 in volume (2% of global glacier volume) and >40,000 km2 in area.

Methodologically, this thesis advances large-scale glacier thickness inversions, and presents the first global-scale application of higher-order ice-flow physics on distributed grids, enabled by physics-informed deep learning and parallelized code optimized for Graphic Processing Units. Practically, the regional and global ice volume estimates provide key data for adaptation and mitigation strategies in response to glacier mass loss and sea-level rise, while the derived bed maps support future research across the Earth sciences and improved projections of glacier change.

sted, utgiver, år, opplag, sider
Uppsala: Acta Universitatis Upsaliensis, 2026. , s. 81
Serie
Digital Comprehensive Summaries of Uppsala Dissertations from the Faculty of Science and Technology, ISSN 1651-6214 ; 2611
Emneord [en]
Glacier, Climate Change, Inversion, Machine Learning, Sea level rise, Topography, Modeling, Lakes, Svalbard, Field work.
HSV kategori
Forskningsprogram
Geovetenskap med inriktning mot naturgeografi
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-570124ISBN: 978-91-513-2665-8 (tryckt)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-570124DiVA, id: diva2:2013399
Disputas
2026-02-06, Hambergsalen, Geocentrum, Villavägen 16, Uppsala, 10:00 (engelsk)
Opponent
Veileder
Tilgjengelig fra: 2026-01-15 Laget: 2025-11-12 Sist oppdatert: 2026-01-15
Delarbeid
1. Reconciling ice dynamics and bed topography with a versatile and fast ice thickness inversion
Åpne denne publikasjonen i ny fane eller vindu >>Reconciling ice dynamics and bed topography with a versatile and fast ice thickness inversion
2023 (engelsk)Inngår i: The Cryosphere, ISSN 1994-0416, E-ISSN 1994-0424, Vol. 17, nr 9, s. 4021-4045Artikkel i tidsskrift (Fagfellevurdert) Published
Abstract [en]

We present a novel thickness inversion approach that leverages satellite products and state-of-the-art ice flow models to produce distributed maps of sub-glacial topography consistent with the dynamic state of a given glacier. While the method can use any complexity of ice flow physics as represented in ice dynamical models, it is computationally cheap and does not require bed observations as input, enabling applications on both local and large scales. Using the mismatch between observed and modelled rates of surface elevation change dh/dt as the misfit functional, iterative point-wise updates to an initial guess of bed topography are made, while mismatches between observed and modelled velocities are used to simultaneously infer basal friction. The final product of the inversion is not only a map of ice thickness, but is also a fully spun-up glacier model that can be run forward without requiring any further model relaxation. Here we present the method and use an artificial ice cap built inside a numerical model to test it and conduct sensitivity experiments. Even under a range of perturbations, the method is stable and fast. We also apply the approach to the tidewater glacier Kronebreen on Svalbard and finally benchmark it on glaciers from the Ice Thickness Models Intercomparison eXperiment (ITMIX, Farinotti et al., 2017), where we find excellent performance. Ultimately, our method shown here represents a fast way of inferring ice thickness where the final output forms a consistent picture of model physics, input observations and bed topography.

sted, utgiver, år, opplag, sider
Copernicus Publications, 2023
HSV kategori
Identifikatorer
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-514923 (URN)10.5194/tc-17-4021-2023 (DOI)001161799000001 ()
Forskningsfinansiär
Swedish Research Council, 2020-04319Swedish National Space Board, grant 189/18
Tilgjengelig fra: 2023-10-24 Laget: 2023-10-24 Sist oppdatert: 2025-11-12bibliografisk kontrollert
2. Ice volume and thickness of all Scandinavian glaciers and ice caps
Åpne denne publikasjonen i ny fane eller vindu >>Ice volume and thickness of all Scandinavian glaciers and ice caps
2024 (engelsk)Inngår i: Journal of Glaciology, ISSN 0022-1430, E-ISSN 1727-5652, Vol. 70, s. 1-34, artikkel-id e11Artikkel i tidsskrift (Fagfellevurdert) Published
Abstract [en]

We present a new map of bed topography and ice thickness together with a corresponding ice volume estimate representative of the years ~2010 for all Scandinavian ice caps and glaciers. Starting from surface observations, we invert for ice thickness by iteratively running an innovative ice dynamics model on a distributed grid and updating bed topography until modelled and observed glacier dynamics as represented by their rate of surface elevation change (dh/dt) fields align. The ice flow model used is the instructed glacier model (Jouvet and Cordonnier, 2023, Journal of Glaciology 1–15), a generic physics-informed deep-learning emulator that models higher-order ice flow with high-computational efficiency. We calibrate the modelled thicknesses against >11 000 ice thickness observations, resulting in a final ice volume estimate of 302.7 km3 for Norway, 18.4 km3 for Sweden and 321.1 km3 for the whole of Scandinavia with an error estimate of ~ . The validation statistics computed indicate good agreement between modelled and observed thicknesses (RMSE = 55 m, Pearson's r = 0.87, bias = 0.8 m), outperforming all other ice thickness maps available for the region. The modelled bed shapes thus provide unprecedented detail in the subglacial topography, especially for ice caps where we produce the first maps that show ice-dynamically realistic flow features.

sted, utgiver, år, opplag, sider
Cambridge University Press, 2024
HSV kategori
Identifikatorer
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-526152 (URN)10.1017/jog.2024.25 (DOI)001207531600001 ()2-s2.0-85190156190 (Scopus ID)
Tilgjengelig fra: 2024-04-05 Laget: 2024-04-05 Sist oppdatert: 2025-11-12bibliografisk kontrollert
3. New glacier thickness and bed topography maps for Svalbard
Åpne denne publikasjonen i ny fane eller vindu >>New glacier thickness and bed topography maps for Svalbard
2025 (engelsk)Inngår i: The Cryosphere, ISSN 1994-0416, E-ISSN 1994-0424, Vol. 19, nr 1, s. 1-17Artikkel i tidsskrift (Fagfellevurdert) Published
Abstract [en]

Knowledge of the thickness, volume, and subglacial topography of glaciers is crucial for a range of glaciological, hydrological, and societal issues, including studies on climate-warming-induced glacier retreat and associated sea level rise. This is not in the least true for Svalbard, one of the fastest-warming places in the world. Here, we present new maps of the ice thickness and subglacial topography for every glacier on Svalbard. Using remotely sensed observations of surface height, ice velocity, rate of surface elevation change, and glacier boundaries in combination with a modelled mass balance product, we apply an inverse method that leverages state-of-the-art ice flow models to obtain the shape of the glacier bed. Specifically, we model large glaciers with the Parallel Ice Sheet Model (PISM) at 500 m resolution, while we resolve smaller mountain glaciers at 100 m resolution using the physics-informed deep-learning-based Instructed Glacier Model (IGM). Actively surging glaciers are modelled using a perfect-plasticity model. We find a total glacier volume (excluding the island Kvitøya) of 6800 ± 238 km3, corresponding to 16.3 ± 0.6 mm sea level equivalent. Validation against thickness observations shows high statistical agreement, and the combination of the three methods is found to reduce uncertainties. We discuss the remaining sources of errors, differences from previous ice thickness maps of the region, and future applications of our results.

sted, utgiver, år, opplag, sider
Copernicus Publications, 2025
HSV kategori
Identifikatorer
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-547212 (URN)10.5194/tc-19-1-2025 (DOI)001390529900001 ()2-s2.0-85214316724 (Scopus ID)
Prosjekter
189/18 SNSB / Glacier ice thickness estimation using satellite data
Forskningsfinansiär
Swedish National Space Board, 189/18Swedish Research Council, 2020-04319Swedish Research Council, 2022-06725
Tilgjengelig fra: 2025-01-15 Laget: 2025-01-15 Sist oppdatert: 2025-11-12bibliografisk kontrollert
4. Unveiling the Hidden Lake-Rich Landscapes Under Earth’s Glaciers
Åpne denne publikasjonen i ny fane eller vindu >>Unveiling the Hidden Lake-Rich Landscapes Under Earth’s Glaciers
Vise andre…
(engelsk)Manuskript (preprint) (Annet vitenskapelig)
HSV kategori
Identifikatorer
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-570123 (URN)
Tilgjengelig fra: 2025-10-21 Laget: 2025-10-21 Sist oppdatert: 2025-11-12

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