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Global techno-economic assessment of hybrid offshore wind, wave, and solar power
Uppsala universitet, Teknisk-naturvetenskapliga vetenskapsområdet, Tekniska sektionen, Institutionen för elektroteknik, Elektricitetslära.ORCID-id: 0000-0001-5431-6260
Uppsala universitet, Teknisk-naturvetenskapliga vetenskapsområdet, Tekniska sektionen, Institutionen för elektroteknik, Elektricitetslära. Centre of Natural Hazards and Disaster Science, Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID-id: 0000-0002-9868-0571
Vise andre og tillknytning
2026 (engelsk)Inngår i: Applied Energy, ISSN 0306-2619, E-ISSN 1872-9118, Vol. 415, artikkel-id 127880Artikkel i tidsskrift (Fagfellevurdert) Published
Abstract [en]

The large-scale deployment of renewable energy at sea offers an opportunity to combine complementary resources within shared offshore infrastructure. While co-location of wind, wave, and solar energy has been proposed as a means to reduce variability and costs, the global conditions under which hybrid offshore power parks are economically preferable remain poorly understood. This study performs a global, temporally high-resolved, techno-economic assessment of offshore wind, wave, and floating solar power, both as stand-alone and co-located systems. Using hourly ERA5 reanalysis data for the period 2020–2024, energy generation from each technology is modelled, and the levelized cost of energy (LCOE) for hybrid parks is minimized subject to shared grid infrastructure and curtailment. The optimization is performed for two cost scenarios representing present-day and near-future capital expenditure levels. Results show that LCOE ranges from 0.04–0.16 €/kWh under present-day conditions and 0.02–0.09 €/kWh under near-future scenarios. Co-location is rarely cost-optimal in regions with excellent single-resource conditions, but can yield lower LCOE than single-technology deployment in locations with moderate and complementary resources. Negative correlations between hourly energy profiles, even when weak (−0.3 to −0.2), are shown to systematically reduce LCOE in mixed systems. While the optimal technology mix is sensitive to assumed cost levels, the underlying drivers (solar capacity factor, resource availability and intersource correlation) for co-location remain robust. These findings provide a global perspective on where and why hybrid offshore energy systems can contribute to a cost-efficient and resilient future energy supply.

sted, utgiver, år, opplag, sider
Elsevier, 2026. Vol. 415, artikkel-id 127880
HSV kategori
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-584603DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.127880ISI: 001747213300001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105035728249OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-584603DiVA, id: diva2:2054034
Forskningsfinansiär
EU, Horizon 2020, 2022/47/B/ST8/01113Uppsala UniversityEU, Horizon Europe, 101036457Tilgjengelig fra: 2026-04-20 Laget: 2026-04-20 Sist oppdatert: 2026-05-06bibliografisk kontrollert
Inngår i avhandling
1. Power System Resilience to Extreme Weather Events and Malicious Attacks
Åpne denne publikasjonen i ny fane eller vindu >>Power System Resilience to Extreme Weather Events and Malicious Attacks
2026 (engelsk)Doktoravhandling, med artikler (Annet vitenskapelig)
Abstract [en]

Energy systems worldwide are undergoing fundamental changes driven by efforts to reduce carbon dioxide emissions. Fossil fuels are expected to be gradually replaced by intermittent renewable energy sources such as wind, solar, and wave power in order to reduce the greenhouse gas emissions. In parallel, substantial investments in power grid infrastructure are being made to meet the growing demand resulting from the electrification of industrial processes, transportation, and digitalisation, among other sectors. At the same time, power systems are facing challenges related to external threats, including extreme weather events and malicious attacks, which are increasing in frequency due to climate change and an uncertain geopolitical security landscape. Consequently, research on power system vulnerability and resilience to external threats, and how an increasing share of renewable energy sources affects these characteristics, is of high interest.

In this thesis, results from studies evaluating power system vulnerability and resilience are presented. Vulnerability is analysed from a topological perspective using methods based on complex network theory. Resilience to extreme weather events and malicious attacks is assessed by applying methods based on AC power flow models. Also, to provide a broader perspective on renewable power generation, a techno-economic assessment of offshore hybrid power parks is presented.

The findings of the studies strengthen the applicability of complex network theory for analysing power grid vulnerability. Moreover, the results show that the resilience of power systems with a high dependence on offshore wind power varies substantially based on grid characteristics and control strategies. The results also show that replacing conventional generators with wind power can increase the system's resilience to transmission line outages, which may result from extreme weather or malicious attacks. Furthermore, the results show that co-location of offshore renewable energy technologies can yield cost efficiencies even when the negative correlation between their generation profiles is weak.

sted, utgiver, år, opplag, sider
Uppsala: Acta Universitatis Upsaliensis, 2026. s. 84
Serie
Digital Comprehensive Summaries of Uppsala Dissertations from the Faculty of Science and Technology, ISSN 1651-6214 ; 2688
Emneord
Extreme weather event, malicious attack, modelling, power system, renewable energy sources, resilience, simulation, vulnerability
HSV kategori
Forskningsprogram
Teknisk fysik med inriktning mot elektricitetslära
Identifikatorer
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-584608 (URN)978-91-513-2856-0 (ISBN)
Disputas
2026-06-12, Heinz-Otto Kreiss, Regementsvägen 10, Uppsala, 09:15 (engelsk)
Opponent
Veileder
Tilgjengelig fra: 2026-05-20 Laget: 2026-04-21 Sist oppdatert: 2026-05-20

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