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Resilience to extreme storm conditions: A comparative study of two power systems with varying dependencies on offshore wind
Uppsala universitet, Teknisk-naturvetenskapliga vetenskapsområdet, Tekniska sektionen, Institutionen för elektroteknik, Elektricitetslära. Centre of Natural Hazards and Disaster Science (CNDS), Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID-id: 0000-0002-9868-0571
Uppsala universitet, Teknisk-naturvetenskapliga vetenskapsområdet, Tekniska sektionen, Institutionen för elektroteknik, Elektricitetslära. Centre of Natural Hazards and Disaster Science (CNDS), Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID-id: 0000-0001-9213-6447
Uppsala universitet, Teknisk-naturvetenskapliga vetenskapsområdet, Tekniska sektionen, Institutionen för elektroteknik, Elektricitetslära.ORCID-id: 0000-0001-7828-8516
Uppsala universitet, Teknisk-naturvetenskapliga vetenskapsområdet, Tekniska sektionen, Institutionen för elektroteknik, Elektricitetslära. Centre of Natural Hazards and Disaster Science (CNDS), Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID-id: 0000-0002-8509-512X
2024 (Engelska)Ingår i: Results in Engineering (RINENG), ISSN 2590-1230, Vol. 23, artikel-id 102408Artikel i tidskrift (Refereegranskat) Published
Abstract [en]

In the next decades, the dependencies on power production from renewable energy sources are expected to increase dramatically. A transition towards large-scale offshore wind farms together with an increased electrification of the industry and transportation sectors introduces new vulnerabilities to society. Further, extreme weather events are expected to increase in intensity and frequency, driven by climate change. However, there are significant knowledge gaps concerning the impacts of severe weather conditions on the resilience of power systems with large dependencies on offshore wind. In the present study, a comparison between two different power systems’ resilience to historical extreme storm conditions has been conducted. The power systems are the IEEE39-bus New England model and the Great Britain model. The results show significant differences between the two power systems, which underlying reasons are analysed and explained. With an offshore wind penetration level of 30 %, the New England model stays intact in terms of connected load. When increasing the penetration level to 40 %, about 10 % of the total connected load gets disconnected, whereas about 33 % of the load gets disconnected with a penetration level of 50 %. The Great Britain model stays intact in terms of connected load with a penetration level of at least 49 %.

Ort, förlag, år, upplaga, sidor
Elsevier, 2024. Vol. 23, artikel-id 102408
Nyckelord [en]
Extreme weather event, Offshore wind, Power system, Resilience
Nationell ämneskategori
Annan elektroteknik och elektronik Energisystem
Forskningsämne
Elektroteknik med inriktning mot systemanalys
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-511255DOI: 10.1016/j.rineng.2024.102408ISI: 001256959100001OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-511255DiVA, id: diva2:1795876
Forskningsfinansiär
J. Gust. Richert stiftelse, 2022-00758Tillgänglig från: 2023-09-11 Skapad: 2023-09-11 Senast uppdaterad: 2024-07-17Bibliografiskt granskad
Ingår i avhandling
1. Power Grid Resilience to High Impact Low Probability Events
Öppna denna publikation i ny flik eller fönster >>Power Grid Resilience to High Impact Low Probability Events
2023 (Engelska)Licentiatavhandling, sammanläggning (Övrigt vetenskapligt)
Abstract [en]

The electrification of societies and the decarbonisation of electricity production are changing energy systems worldwide. A fast transition towards the replacement of fossil fuels by intermittent renewable energy sources is expected in the next decades to combat climate change. A significant share of the produced electricity is likely to be generated from offshore wind farms, due to the abundant wind resources in the offshore regions and the lack of available onshore sites. However, increased electricity dependence in combination with expanded offshore wind power generation introduce new vulnerabilities to the society. Specifically, the effects of high impact low probability (HILP) events are considered as potential threats to the power system, not least because of the increasing number of extreme weather events. Therefore, research on power grid vulnerability and power system resilience to HILP events are of significant interest.

This thesis presents results of studies investigating power grid vulnerability from a topological perspective, and resilience to storm conditions of power systems with varying dependencies on offshore wind. To achieve this, methods based on complex network theory and AC power flow analysis have been developed, tested, and evaluated. Further, geospatial wind data from historical extreme storm events have been used to generate realistic power production profiles from hypothetical offshore wind farms.

The results strengthen that complex network concepts can be used successfully in the context of power grid vulnerability analysis. Further, the results show that the resilience of power systems with large dependencies on offshore wind differ vastly depending on the grid properties and control strategies, which are further discussed in this thesis.

Ort, förlag, år, upplaga, sidor
Uppsala: Uppsala University, 2023. s. 54
Nyckelord
Extreme weather, HILP events, offshore wind, power grid, resilience, vulnerability
Nationell ämneskategori
Annan elektroteknik och elektronik
Forskningsämne
Elektroteknik med inriktning mot systemanalys
Identifikatorer
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-512049 (URN)
Presentation
2023-11-10, Evelyn Sokolowski, Ångströmlaboratoriet, Lägerhyddsvägen 1, Uppsala, 10:15 (Engelska)
Opponent
Handledare
Tillgänglig från: 2023-10-11 Skapad: 2023-09-22 Senast uppdaterad: 2024-06-17Bibliografiskt granskad

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Forsberg, SamuelGöteman, MalinThomas, KarinBergkvist, Mikael

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