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Global riverine flood risk - how do hydrogeomorphic floodplain maps compare to flood hazard maps?
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, Air, Water and Landscape Sciences.
KTH Royal Inst Technol, Dept Sustainable Dev Environm Sci & Engn, Stockholm, Sweden..
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, Air, Water and Landscape Sciences.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-8789-7628
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, Air, Water and Landscape Sciences.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-8180-4996
2021 (English)In: Natural hazards and earth system sciences, ISSN 1561-8633, E-ISSN 1684-9981, Vol. 21, no 10, p. 2921-2948Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Riverine flood risk studies often require the identification of areas prone to potential flooding. This modelling process can be based on either (hydrologically derived) flood hazard maps or (topography-based) hydrogeomorphic floodplain maps. In this paper, we derive and compare riverine flood exposure from three global products: a hydrogeomorphic floodplain map (GFPLAIN250m, hereinafter GFPLAIN) and two flood hazard maps (Flood Hazard Map of the World by the European Commission's Joint Research Centre, hereinafter JRC, and the flood hazard maps produced for the Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction 2015, hereinafter GAR). We find an average spatial agreement between these maps of around 30 % at the river basin level on a global scale. This agreement is highly variable across model combinations and geographic conditions, influenced by climatic humidity, river volume, topography, and coastal proximity. Contrary to expectations, the agreement between the two flood hazard maps is lower compared to their agreement with the hydrogeomorphic floodplain map. We also map riverine flood exposure for 26 countries across the global south by intersecting these maps with three human population maps (Global Human Settlement population grid, hereinafter GHS; High Resolution Settlement Layer, hereinafter HRSL; and WorldPop). The findings of this study indicate that hydrogeomorphic floodplain maps can be a valuable way of producing high-resolution maps of flood-prone zones to support riverine flood risk studies, but caution should be taken in regions that are dry, steep, very flat, or near the coast.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Copernicus GmbH Copernicus Publications, 2021. Vol. 21, no 10, p. 2921-2948
National Category
Oceanography, Hydrology and Water Resources
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-457917DOI: 10.5194/nhess-21-2921-2021ISI: 000703890000001OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-457917DiVA, id: diva2:1608998
Funder
EU, Horizon 2020, 771678Available from: 2021-11-05 Created: 2021-11-05 Last updated: 2024-01-15Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. The use of global data to uncover how humans shape flood and drought risk
Open this publication in new window or tab >>The use of global data to uncover how humans shape flood and drought risk
2023 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

The human consequences of flood and drought disasters are widespread and detrimental. Large-scale studies, drawing on global geodata products and international databases, can systematically examine how anthropogenic megatrends shape disaster risk and test the generalisability of findings from other scientific methodologies. However, the top-down lens of these global studies often misses the pivotal role that human societies play in shaping disaster risk, including how water management influences physical hazards and how political factors shape social vulnerability. It is precisely this tension – characterised by the need for global perspectives alongside the need to incorporate human influences in the study of disaster risk – that motivates my research.

This thesis specifically examines how observations from global data can leverage our understanding of how humans shape hydrological disaster risk, in terms of the hazard, human exposure and social vulnerability. To this end, the thesis draws on multiple methodologies across four individual studies, including one scoping review and three quantitative geospatial studies. The findings of this thesis provide insights into 1) how the landscape of global data shapes disaster studies and 2) how human societies shape disaster risk.

For the former, my thesis shows that key data opportunities and challenges vary across disaster types and risk dimensions. Addressing each of these limitations is important because of the interrelated nature of disaster risk. The thesis also underlines how the pursuit of transforming fragmented disaster knowledge into holistic and useful information would encounter fewer obstacles if the global datasets were more integrated or, at the very least, more compatible. Databases recording past disaster losses serve as a natural place for such an integration.

For the latter, this thesis brings to light the heterogeneous impact that large-scale infrastructure projects can have on disaster risk, by showing that river regulation does not serve as a universal solution for reducing long-term drought risk. The thesis also highlights the central role of human exposure and economic inequality in shaping human losses during severe flood disasters. Taken together, this underlines the importance of addressing root causes of vulnerability to reduce fatalities during disasters.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Uppsala: Acta Universitatis Upsaliensis, 2023. p. 61
Series
Digital Comprehensive Summaries of Uppsala Dissertations from the Faculty of Science and Technology, ISSN 1651-6214 ; 2279
Keywords
natural hazards, hydrological disasters, environmental geography, global geospatial data, international databases, disaster losses, disaster consequences, water management, dams and reservoirs, floodplains, hydrological drought, social vulnerability, economic inequality, Anthropocene
National Category
Oceanography, Hydrology and Water Resources
Research subject
Earth Science with specialization in Environmental Analysis
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-504010 (URN)978-91-513-1835-6 (ISBN)
Public defence
2023-09-08, Hambergsalen, Geocentrum, Villavägen 16, Uppsala, 10:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Funder
EU, Horizon 2020, 771678
Available from: 2023-08-16 Created: 2023-06-13 Last updated: 2023-08-16

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Lindersson, SaraMård, JohannaDi Baldassarre, Giuliano

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