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Age-dependent impact of the major common genetic risk factor for COVID-19 on severity and mortality
Univ Helsinki, Inst Mol Med Finland, Helsinki, Finland.;McGill Univ, Dept Human Genet, Montreal, PQ, Canada.;McGill Univ, Jewish Gen Hosp, Lady Davis Inst, Montreal, PQ, Canada.;Kyoto Univ, Grad Sch Med, Kyoto McGill Int Collaborat Sch Genom Med, Kyoto, Japan.;Japan Soc Promot Sci, Tokyo, Japan..ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9510-5646
Univ Helsinki, Inst Mol Med Finland, Helsinki, Finland.;Univ Milano Bicocca, Milan, Italy..ORCID iD: 0000-0002-0641-9393
Univ Kiel, Inst Clin Mol Biol, Kiel, Germany..ORCID iD: 0000-0001-7516-3179
Univ Helsinki, Inst Mol Med Finland, Helsinki, Finland..ORCID iD: 0000-0002-4872-0520
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2021 (English)In: Journal of Clinical Investigation, ISSN 0021-9738, E-ISSN 1558-8238, Vol. 131, no 23, article id e152386Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

BACKGROUND. There is considerable variability in COVID-19 outcomes among younger adults, and some of this variation may be due to genetic predisposition. METHODS. We combined individual level data from 13,888 COVID-19 patients (n = 7185 hospitalized) from 17 cohorts in 9 countries to assess the association of the major common COVID-19 genetic risk factor (chromosome 3 locus tagged by rs10490770) with mortality, COVID-19-related complications, and laboratory values. We next performed metaanalyses using FinnGen and the Columbia University COVID-19 Biobank. RESULTS. We found that rs10490770 risk allele carriers experienced an increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR, 1.4; 95% CI, 1.2-1.7). Risk allele carriers had increased odds of several COVID-19 complications: severe respiratory failure (OR, 2.1; 95% CI, 1.6-2.6), venous thromboembolism (OR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.2-2.4), and hepatic injury (OR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.2-2.0). Risk allele carriers age 60 years and younger had higher odds of death or severe respiratory failure (OR, 2.7; 95% CI, 1.8-3.9) compared with those of more than 60 years (OR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.2-1.8; interaction, P = 0.038). Among individuals 60 years and younger who died or experienced severe respiratory failure, 32.3% were risk-variant carriers compared with 13.9% of those not experiencing these outcomes. This risk variant improved the prediction of death or severe respiratory failure similarly to, or better than, most established clinical risk factors. CONCLUSIONS. The major common COVID-19 genetic risk factor is associated with increased risks of morbidity and mortality, which are more pronounced among individuals 60 years or younger. The effect was similar in magnitude and more common than most established clinical risk factors, suggesting potential implications for future clinical risk management.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
American Society for Clinical Investigation American Society For Clinical Investigation, 2021. Vol. 131, no 23, article id e152386
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Public Health, Global Health and Social Medicine
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URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-462361DOI: 10.1172/JCI152386ISI: 000726717300012PubMedID: 33758887OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-462361DiVA, id: diva2:1622438
Available from: 2021-12-22 Created: 2021-12-22 Last updated: 2026-02-02Bibliographically approved

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Frithiof, RobertKarlsson, Philip

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Nakanishi, TomokoPigazzini, SaraDegenhardt, FraukeCordioli, MattiaBujanda, LuisPalom, AdrianaRoade Tato, LuisaFava, FrancescaSpinner, Christoph D.Frithiof, RobertRomero-Gomez, ManuelNafria-Jimenez, BeatrizLudwig, Kerstin U.Valenti, LucaKarlsson, Philip
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Anaesthesiology and Intensive CareDepartment of Medical Biochemistry and Microbiology
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