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Predictors of survival and recurrence patterns following definitive chemoradiotherapy in stage III non-small cell lung cancer: a retrospective cohort study
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Medicine and Pharmacy, Faculty of Medicine, Department of Medical Sciences, Lung- allergy- and sleep research. Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Medicine and Pharmacy, Faculty of Medicine, Department of Immunology, Genetics and Pathology, Cancer Immunotherapy. Department of Pulmonary Medicine, Uppsala University Hospital, Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-1354-769X
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Medicine and Pharmacy, Disciplinary Domain of Medicine and Pharmacy, research centers etc., Centre for Research and Development, Gävleborg. Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Medicine and Pharmacy, Faculty of Medicine, Department of Immunology, Genetics and Pathology, Cancer precision medicine. (Johan Botling)ORCID iD: 0000-0001-5787-0072
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Medicine and Pharmacy, Disciplinary Domain of Medicine and Pharmacy, research centers etc., Centre for Research and Development, Gävleborg.
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Medicine and Pharmacy, Faculty of Medicine, Department of Immunology, Genetics and Pathology.
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2025 (English)In: Translational Lung Cancer Research, ISSN 2218-6751, E-ISSN 2226-4477, Vol. 14, no 6, p. 1972-1985Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Background: Chemoradiotherapy (CRT) is regarded as the treatment of choice for inoperable stage III non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients. Despite the curative intent, recurrence is frequent, and overall prognosis is poor. Thus, there is a need for clinical biomarkers to better predict outcome and to optimize treatment and follow-up. The aim of this study was to characterize a large cohort of real-world stage III NSCLC patients who received CRT with curative intent and to define parameters that could predict recurrence patterns, overall survival (OS) and survival time from recurrence.

Methods: This study is based on a cohort of 193 stage III NSCLC patients receiving CRT with curative intent in mid-Sweden during the years 2009–2018. Data was retrospectively collected from medical records. Clinical parameters, recurrence patterns, salvage treatment, histological and molecular data were analyzed and correlated to outcome.

Results: Median follow-up was 52 months, with a median OS of 33 months. Most patients (66%) progressed, commonly within the first 3 years following CRT. Performance status and common blood markers at recurrence were associated with worse survival. The presence of driver mutations [epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR), Kirsten rat sarcoma viral oncogene homolog (KRAS)] or metastatic spread to N3 lymph nodes increased the risk of distant recurrence. Immunotherapy as salvage treatment was associated with a significantly better prognosis.

Conclusions: Routine diagnostic parameters can be used to predict survival and recurrence patterns in patients receiving curative CRT. Additionally, salvage treatment with immunotherapy was the strongest factor associated with longer survival after disease recurrence.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
AME Publishing Company , 2025. Vol. 14, no 6, p. 1972-1985
Keywords [en]
Chemoradiotherapy (CRT), non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), stage III, recurrence, immunotherapy
National Category
Cancer and Oncology Respiratory Medicine and Allergy
Research subject
Oncology
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-497492DOI: 10.21037/tlcr-24-840ISI: 001533390600007PubMedID: 40673094Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105009162763OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-497492DiVA, id: diva2:1740108
Note

De två första författarna delar förstaförfattarskapet

Authors and title in the list of papers of Johan Isaksson's thesis: Isaksson J, Xanthoulis P, Broström E, Börjesson R, Olsson E, Willén L, Isacsson U, Sobrino P, Hansen T, Mouratidou V, Holgersson G, Bergqvist M, Tsakonas G, Ekman S, Micke P, Lamberg-Lundström K, Botling J, Lindskog M. Predictors of long-term survival and recurrence patterns after definitive chemoradiotherapy in stage III NSCLC – a multicenter cohort study from Mid Sweden

Available from: 2023-02-28 Created: 2023-02-28 Last updated: 2026-08-19Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. The Molecular Epidemiology of Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer
Open this publication in new window or tab >>The Molecular Epidemiology of Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer
2023 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

The aim of this thesis was to explore the role of a spectrum of biomarkers, for disease classification or predictors of treatment outcomes in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

Paper I examined the impact of systemic inflammation on the clinical outcome of NSCLC patients.

Paper II evaluated if plasma protein markers are able to predict immunotherapy response and if they are associated with patient survival. 

Paper III examined outcomes and relapse patterns in NSCLC patients treated with chemoradiotherapy with curative intent.

In Paper IV we identified patients with tumors harboring a KRAS G12C mutation and determined the clinical characteristics in comparison to patients with other KRAS mutations and without KRAS mutations. 

Results in Paper I showed that systemic inflammation is pronounced in NSCLC and has a substantial effect on overall survival in advanced stage NSCLC. In Paper III, inflammation was linked to worse overall survival in patients treated with curative chemoradiotherapy and mOS was drastically higher in patients without signs of systemic inflammation. Moreover, in Paper II, we used a multiplex proteomic assay to investigate expression levels of various proteins involved in immune cell activation and could show an association between T-cell activation markers and response to immunotherapy.

In Paper III, relapse patterns were influenced by the presence of driver mutation alterations. This indicates that fundamental biological mechanisms behind local relapse and metastatic dissemination are regulated by early mutational events such as classical lung adenocarcinoma driver mutations. Likewise, in Paper IV, unlike other KRAS variants, patients with the specific KRAS G12C mutation subtype had a large fraction of CNS metastasis at diagnosis, normally with the CNS as the only metastatic site. These findings indicate a need for CNS monitoring as a routine in curative treatment settings and suggests that KRAS G12C patients should be evaluated with CT-scans of the brain during initial diagnostic procedures.

In conclusion, available but underutilized parameters from routine diagnostics have prognostic utility and impact on patient stratification. These biomarkers provide guidance for the evaluation of treatment efficacy and disease monitoring and deserve more attention during diagnostic work-up of lung cancer patients.  However, the mechanics behind this impact is less well understood and offers avenues for further research.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Uppsala: Acta Universitatis Upsaliensis, 2023. p. 77
Series
Digital Comprehensive Summaries of Uppsala Dissertations from the Faculty of Medicine, ISSN 1651-6206 ; 1910
Keywords
NSCLC, Lung Cancer, Epidemiology, Genetics, KRAS, Pathology, Biomarkers
National Category
Cancer and Oncology
Research subject
Oncology
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-497493 (URN)978-91-513-1735-9 (ISBN)
Public defence
2023-04-21, Brömssalen, Gävle Sjukhus, Gävle, 10:00 (English)
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Supervisors
Available from: 2023-03-30 Created: 2023-03-06 Last updated: 2023-03-30

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Broström, ErikaIsaksson, JohanXanthoulis, PanagiotisWillén, LindaHansen, TomasHolgersson, GeorgBotling, JohanLamberg Lundström, KristinaMicke, PatrickLindskog, Magnus

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Broström, ErikaIsaksson, JohanXanthoulis, PanagiotisWillén, LindaHansen, TomasHolgersson, GeorgBotling, JohanLamberg Lundström, KristinaMicke, PatrickLindskog, Magnus
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Lung- allergy- and sleep researchCancer ImmunotherapyCentre for Research and Development, GävleborgCancer precision medicineDepartment of Immunology, Genetics and PathologyRadiology
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