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The epidemiology of risk factors and short- and long-term outcome in the Swedish intensive care cohort
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Medicine and Pharmacy, Faculty of Medicine, Department of Surgical Sciences, Anaesthesiology and Intensive Care.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9287-3607
2024 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Description
Abstract [en]

The sepsis syndrome is present in ¼ to ⅓ of patients in intensive care units (ICUs) worldwide. The short-term prognosis is grim, with a 30-day mortality of 30–35%; however, the long- term outcomes are now being explored, as multi-professional follow-up after ICU care is increasingly being implemented. In 2020 the first and second waves of another severe infection, the Coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) hit Sweden. The number of ICU beds were scaled up by several hundred percent while we simultaneously tried to understand the disease. Reports on risk factors for adverse outcomes in Covid-19 started to appear, but we needed to know more. Thus, we initiated this project aiming at assessing sepsis as an independent risk factor for later morbidity and mortality. Subsequently, with the onset of the pandemic, our focus shifted to identifying risk factors for adverse outcomes in Covid-19 and describing the functional recovery after severe Covid-19. We used the Swedish Intensive Care Registry and several governmental registries to this end.

In Cox regression, we compared one-year ICU sepsis survivors without previous dementia with ICU patients without sepsis, finding no increased risk of dementia during follow- up. In a similar cohort, we assessed the impact of sepsis on long-term mortality and causes of death in a series of Cox and multinomial models. We found a surprisingly small overall association between sepsis and mortality and a persistently increased risk of infectious causes of death in sepsis patients. We compared the prevalence of several common comorbidities and medications as risk factors for ICU admission and mortality in ICU patients with Covid-19 with that of age- and sex-matched population controls and in patients discharged alive with those that were deceased at discharge. We found associations between several comorbidities and medications with these adverse outcomes. To better understand the meaning of these comorbidities as risk factors for short-term mortality, we compared them in logistic regression models on patients with Covid-19, sepsis and acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). We found very similar impacts from the comorbidities; however, greater age was more associated with mortality in Covid-19 than in either sepsis or ARDS. Finally, we investigated the long-term functional recovery in ICU patients with Covid-19 compared to hospital-admitted patients with Covid-19 and population controls matched to the ICU group. The ICU patients had a markedly impeded recovery that was not explained by demographics or comorbidities in statistical models.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Uppsala: Acta Universitatis Upsaliensis, 2024. , p. 102
Series
Digital Comprehensive Summaries of Uppsala Dissertations from the Faculty of Medicine, ISSN 1651-6206 ; 2008
Keywords [en]
Intensive care, Intensive care unit, Sepsis, Covid-19, Epidemiology, Dementia, Mortality, Causes of death
National Category
Anesthesiology and Intensive Care
Research subject
Anaesthesiology and Intensive Care
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-519461ISBN: 978-91-513-2003-8 (print)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-519461DiVA, id: diva2:1825722
Public defence
2024-03-01, Bibliotekets föreläsningssal, Falu lasarett, Söderbaums väg 8, Falun, 13:15 (Swedish)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2024-01-31 Created: 2024-01-10 Last updated: 2024-01-31
List of papers
1. A nationwide study of the long-term prevalence of dementia and its risk factors in the Swedish intensive care cohort
Open this publication in new window or tab >>A nationwide study of the long-term prevalence of dementia and its risk factors in the Swedish intensive care cohort
2020 (English)In: Critical Care, ISSN 1364-8535, E-ISSN 1466-609X, Vol. 24, no 1, article id 548Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

BackgroundDeveloping dementia is feared by many for its detrimental effects on cognition and independence. Experimental and clinical evidence suggests that sepsis is a risk factor for the later development of dementia. We aimed to investigate whether intensive care-treated sepsis is an independent risk factor for a later diagnosis of dementia in a large cohort of intensive care unit (ICU) patients.MethodsWe identified adult patients admitted to an ICU in 2005 to 2015 and who survived without a dementia diagnosis 1year after intensive care admission using the Swedish Intensive Care Registry, collecting data from all Swedish general ICUs. Comorbidity, the diagnosis of dementia and mortality, was retrieved from the Swedish National Patient Registry, the Swedish Dementia Registry, and the Cause of Death Registry. Sepsis during intensive care served as a covariate in an extended Cox model together with age, sex, and variables describing comorbidities and acute disease severity.ResultsOne year after ICU admission 210,334 patients were alive and without a diagnosis of dementia; of these, 16,115 (7.7%) had a diagnosis of sepsis during intensive care. The median age of the cohort was 61years (interquartile range, IQR 43-72). The patients were followed for up to 11years (median 3.9years, IQR 1.7-6.6). During the follow-up, 6312 (3%) patients were diagnosed with dementia. Dementia was more common in individuals diagnosed with sepsis during their ICU stay (log-rank p<0.001), however diagnosis of sepsis during critical care was not an independent risk factor for a later dementia diagnosis in an extended Cox model: hazard ratio (HR) 1.01 (95% confidence interval 0.91-1.11, p=0.873). Renal replacement therapy and ventilator therapy during the ICU stay were protective. High age was a strong risk factor for later dementia, as was increasing severity of acute illness, although to a lesser extent. However, the severity of comorbidities and the length of ICU and hospital stay were not independent risk factors in the model.ConclusionAlthough dementia is more common among patients treated with sepsis in the ICU, sepsis was not an independent risk factor for later dementia in the Swedish national critical care cohort.Trial registrationThis study was registered a priori with the Australian and New Zeeland Clinical Trials Registry (registration no. ACTRN12618000533291).

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
BMC, 2020
Keywords
Critical care, Sepsis, Dementia, Risk factors, Cohort studies
National Category
Anesthesiology and Intensive Care
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-422802 (URN)10.1186/s13054-020-03203-y (DOI)000569782600004 ()32887659 (PubMedID)
Available from: 2020-10-16 Created: 2020-10-16 Last updated: 2024-01-10Bibliographically approved
2. Association of sepsis with long-term mortality and causes of death in the Swedish intensive care cohort
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Association of sepsis with long-term mortality and causes of death in the Swedish intensive care cohort
(English)Manuscript (preprint) (Other academic)
National Category
Anesthesiology and Intensive Care
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-519454 (URN)
Available from: 2024-01-08 Created: 2024-01-08 Last updated: 2024-01-10
3. The swedish covid-19 intensive care cohort: Risk factors of ICU admission and ICU mortality
Open this publication in new window or tab >>The swedish covid-19 intensive care cohort: Risk factors of ICU admission and ICU mortality
Show others...
2021 (English)In: Acta Anaesthesiologica Scandinavica, ISSN 0001-5172, E-ISSN 1399-6576, Vol. 65, no 4, p. 525-533Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Background: Several studies have recently addressed factors associated with severe Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); however, some medications and comorbidities have yet to be evaluated in a large matched cohort. We therefore explored the role of relevant comorbidities and medications in relation to the risk of intensive care unit (ICU) admission and mortality.

Methods: All ICU COVID-19 patients in Sweden until 27 May 2020 were matched to population controls on age and gender to assess the risk of ICU admission. Cases were identified, comorbidities and medications were retrieved from high-quality registries. Three conditional logistic regression models were used for risk of ICU admission and three Cox proportional hazards models for risk of ICU mortality, one with comorbidities, one with medications and finally with both models combined, respectively.

Results: We included 1981 patients and 7924 controls. Hypertension, type 2 diabetes mellitus, chronic renal failure, asthma, obesity, being a solid organ transplant recipient and immunosuppressant medications were independent risk factors of ICU admission and oral anticoagulants were protective. Stroke, asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and treatment with renin-angiotensin-aldosterone inhibitors (RAASi) were independent risk factors of ICU mortality in the pre-specified primary analyses; treatment with statins was protective. However, after adjusting for the use of continuous renal replacement therapy, RAASi were no longer an independent risk factor.

Conclusion: In our cohort oral anticoagulants were protective of ICU admission and statins was protective of ICU death. Several comorbidities and ongoing RAASi treatment were independent risk factors of ICU admission and ICU mortality.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
John Wiley & SonsWiley, 2021
Keywords
anticoagulants, cohort studies, coronavirus infections, critical care, renin angiotensin system, risk factors
National Category
Anesthesiology and Intensive Care
Research subject
Medical Science
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-440109 (URN)10.1111/aas.13781 (DOI)000615874800001 ()33438198 (PubMedID)
Available from: 2021-04-14 Created: 2021-04-14 Last updated: 2024-01-15Bibliographically approved
4. A comparison of impact of comorbidities and demographics on 60-day mortality in ICU patients with COVID-19, sepsis and acute respiratory distress syndrome
Open this publication in new window or tab >>A comparison of impact of comorbidities and demographics on 60-day mortality in ICU patients with COVID-19, sepsis and acute respiratory distress syndrome
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2022 (English)In: Scientific Reports, E-ISSN 2045-2322, Vol. 12, article id 15703Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Severe Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is associated with several pre-existing comorbidities and demographic factors. Similar factors are linked to critical sepsis and acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). We hypothesized that age and comorbidities are more generically linked to critical illness mortality than a specific disease state. We used national databases to identify ICU patients and to retrieve comorbidities. The relative importance of risk factors for 60-day mortality was evaluated using the interaction with disease group (Sepsis, ARDS or COVID-19) in logistic regression models. We included 32,501 adult ICU patients. In the model on 60-day mortality in sepsis and COVID-19 there were significant interactions with disease group for age, sex and asthma. In the model on 60-day mortality in ARDS and COVID-19 significant interactions with cohort were found for acute disease severity, age and chronic renal failure. In conclusion, age and sex play particular roles in COVID-19 mortality during intensive care but the burden of comorbidity was similar between sepsis and COVID-19 and ARDS and COVID-19.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Nature, 2022
National Category
Public Health, Global Health and Social Medicine
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-486398 (URN)10.1038/s41598-022-19539-0 (DOI)000857187000001 ()36127433 (PubMedID)
Available from: 2022-10-10 Created: 2022-10-10 Last updated: 2025-02-20Bibliographically approved
5. One-year functional recovery from severe Covid-19 is severely affected in the Swedish intensive care and hospital admitted working age cohort
Open this publication in new window or tab >>One-year functional recovery from severe Covid-19 is severely affected in the Swedish intensive care and hospital admitted working age cohort
Show others...
(English)Manuscript (preprint) (Other academic)
National Category
Anesthesiology and Intensive Care
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-519456 (URN)
Available from: 2024-01-08 Created: 2024-01-08 Last updated: 2024-01-10

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