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Polynomial approaches in improving accuracy of probability distribution estimation using the method of moments
Ege Univ, Dept Math, Izmir, Turkiye..
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Technology, Department of Civil and Industrial Engineering, Civil Engineering and Built Environment.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-0051-4098
Izmir Inst Technol, Dept Chem Engn, Gulbahce Campus, TR-35430 Izmir, Turkiye.;Izmir Inst Technol, Dept Chem Engn, Gulbahce Campus, Izmir, Turkiye..
2024 (English)In: Journal of chemical technology and biotechnology (1986), ISSN 0268-2575, E-ISSN 1097-4660, Vol. 99, no 5, p. 1056-1068Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

BACKGROUND: Determination of a probability density function (PDF) is an area of active research in engineering sciences as it can improve process systems. A previously developed polynomial method-of-moments-based PDF estimation model has been applied in the research to produce accurate approximations to both standard and more complex PDF. A model with a different polynomial basis than a monomial is still to be developed and evaluated. This is the work that is undertaken in this study.

RESULTS: A set of standard PDF (Normal, Weibull, Log Normal and Bimodal) and more complex distributions (solutions to the Smoluchowski coagulation equation and Population Balance equation) were approximated by the method-of-moments using Chebyshev, Hermite and Lagrange polynomial-based density functions. Results show that Lagrange polynomial-based models improve the fit compared to monomial based-modeling in terms of RMSE and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test statistic estimates. The Kolmogorov-Smirnov test-statistics decreased by 19% and the RMSE values were improved by around 85% compared to the standard monomial basis when using Lagrange polynomial basis.

CONCLUSION: This study indicates that the procedure using Lagrange polynomials with method-of-moments is a more reliable reconstruction procedure that calculates the approximate distribution using lesser number of moments, which is desirable.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
John Wiley & Sons, 2024. Vol. 99, no 5, p. 1056-1068
Keywords [en]
mathematical modeling, modeling, dynamics, control
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-529866DOI: 10.1002/jctb.7600ISI: 001177924100001OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-529866DiVA, id: diva2:1863137
Available from: 2024-05-30 Created: 2024-05-30 Last updated: 2024-05-30Bibliographically approved

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Munkhammar, Joakim

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