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Nonlinear responses in interannual variability of lake ice to climate change
SUNY Coll New Paltz, Biol Dept, New Paltz, NY 12561 USA..ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9374-9624
Apex Resource Management Solut, Ottawa, ON, Canada.;York Univ, Dept Biol, Toronto, ON, Canada..
Bangor Univ, Sch Ocean Sci, Anglesey, Wales..
York Univ, Dept Biol, Toronto, ON, Canada..
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2024 (English)In: Limnology and Oceanography, ISSN 0024-3590, E-ISSN 1939-5590, Vol. 69, no 4, p. 789-801Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Climate change is contributing to rapid changes in lake ice cover across the Northern Hemisphere, thereby impacting local communities and ecosystems. Using lake ice cover time-series spanning over 87 yr for 43 lakes across the Northern Hemisphere, we found that the interannual variability in ice duration, measured as standard deviation, significantly increased in only half of our studied lakes. We observed that the interannual variability in ice duration peaked when lakes were, on average, covered by ice for about 1 month, while both longer and shorter long-term mean ice cover duration resulted in lower interannual variability in ice duration. These results demonstrate that the ice cover duration can become so short that the interannual variability rapidly declines. The interannual variability in ice duration showed a strong dependency on global temperature anomalies and teleconnections, such as the North Atlantic Oscillation and El Nino-Southern Oscillation. We conclude that many lakes across the Northern Hemisphere will experience a decline in interannual ice cover variability and shift to open water during the winter under a continued global warming trend which will affect lake biological, cultural, and economic processes.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Association for the Sciences of Limnology and Oceanography, 2024. Vol. 69, no 4, p. 789-801
National Category
Climate Science Physical Geography Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-531591DOI: 10.1002/lno.12527ISI: 001170169000001OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-531591DiVA, id: diva2:1870421
Part of project
Rapid ice quality changes in the Northern Hemisphere and consequences for the achievement of several global sustainable development goals, Swedish Research Council
Funder
Swedish Research Council, 2020-03222Swedish Research Council Formas, 2020-01091Available from: 2024-06-14 Created: 2024-06-14 Last updated: 2025-11-17Bibliographically approved

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Weyhenmeyer, Gesa A.

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