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Two Notorious Nodes: A Critical Examination of Relaxed Molecular Clock Age Estimates of the Bilaterian Animals and Placental Mammals
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, Palaeobiology.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9007-4369
Univ Leeds, Sch Math, Dept Stat, Leeds LS2 9JT, England..
2024 (English)In: Systematic Biology, ISSN 1063-5157, E-ISSN 1076-836X, Vol. 73, no 1, p. 223-234Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The popularity of relaxed clock Bayesian inference of clade origin timings has generated several recent publications with focal results considerably older than the fossils of the clades in question. Here, we critically examine two such clades: the animals (with a focus on the bilaterians) and the mammals (with a focus on the placentals). Each example displays a set of characteristic pathologies which, although much commented on, are rarely corrected for. We conclude that in neither case does the molecular clock analysis provide any evidence for an origin of the clade deeper than what is suggested by the fossil record. In addition, both these clades have other features (including, in the case of the placental mammals, proximity to a large mass extinction) that allow us to generate precise expectations of the timings of their origins. Thus, in these instances, the fossil record can provide a powerful test of molecular clock methodology, and why it goes astray, and we have every reason to think these problems are general.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Oxford University Press, 2024. Vol. 73, no 1, p. 223-234
Keywords [en]
Cambrian explosion, mammalian evolution, molecular clocks
National Category
Evolutionary Biology Zoology
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-541410DOI: 10.1093/sysbio/syad057ISI: 001071826900001PubMedID: 37695319OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-541410DiVA, id: diva2:1909583
Funder
Swedish Research Council, 2022-03522Available from: 2024-10-31 Created: 2024-10-31 Last updated: 2024-10-31Bibliographically approved

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Budd, Graham E.

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