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New glacier thickness and bed topography maps for Svalbard
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, Air, Water and Landscape Sciences.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-4839-7900
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, Air, Water and Landscape Sciences.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-1053-3295
2025 (English)In: The Cryosphere, ISSN 1994-0416, E-ISSN 1994-0424, Vol. 19, no 1, p. 1-17Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Knowledge of the thickness, volume, and subglacial topography of glaciers is crucial for a range of glaciological, hydrological, and societal issues, including studies on climate-warming-induced glacier retreat and associated sea level rise. This is not in the least true for Svalbard, one of the fastest-warming places in the world. Here, we present new maps of the ice thickness and subglacial topography for every glacier on Svalbard. Using remotely sensed observations of surface height, ice velocity, rate of surface elevation change, and glacier boundaries in combination with a modelled mass balance product, we apply an inverse method that leverages state-of-the-art ice flow models to obtain the shape of the glacier bed. Specifically, we model large glaciers with the Parallel Ice Sheet Model (PISM) at 500 m resolution, while we resolve smaller mountain glaciers at 100 m resolution using the physics-informed deep-learning-based Instructed Glacier Model (IGM). Actively surging glaciers are modelled using a perfect-plasticity model. We find a total glacier volume (excluding the island Kvitøya) of 6800 ± 238 km3, corresponding to 16.3 ± 0.6 mm sea level equivalent. Validation against thickness observations shows high statistical agreement, and the combination of the three methods is found to reduce uncertainties. We discuss the remaining sources of errors, differences from previous ice thickness maps of the region, and future applications of our results.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Copernicus Publications, 2025. Vol. 19, no 1, p. 1-17
National Category
Physical Geography
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-547212DOI: 10.5194/tc-19-1-2025ISI: 001390529900001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85214316724OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-547212DiVA, id: diva2:1927515
Projects
189/18 SNSB / Glacier ice thickness estimation using satellite data
Part of project
Global glacier thickness and volume estimation, Swedish Research Council
Funder
Swedish National Space Board, 189/18Swedish Research Council, 2020-04319Swedish Research Council, 2022-06725Available from: 2025-01-15 Created: 2025-01-15 Last updated: 2025-11-12Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Revealing Glacier Bed Topography from Regional to Global Scales
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Revealing Glacier Bed Topography from Regional to Global Scales
2026 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Mountain glaciers and ice caps distinct from the ice sheets in Greenland and Antarctica, here-after “glaciers”, are melting and retreating around the World. Improving projections of glacier change and assessing associated Earth system impacts requires accurate knowledge of the bed topography beneath the ice. However, direct observations of the glacier bed exist for only a small fraction of the >200,000 glaciers globally. Thus, computational inversion methods are needed to infer bed properties from more accessible surface data. This thesis presents the development of a glacier bed and ice thickness inversion method and its applications on regional and global scales.

The newly developed inverse method is computationally efficient, robust, model agnostic and compatible with complex ice-flow physics on distributed grids. Tests on synthetic and real glaciers demonstrated strong performance, with benchmarks ranking it among the best available methods. The first regional application produced detailed bed topographies for Scandinavia, constraining total glacier volume to 0.32×103 km3, equivalent to 0.8 mm of global mean sea-level rise if melted. A subsequent application to all glaciers in Svalbard — where glacier dynamics are more complex — estimated a volume of 6.80×103 km3 (16.3 mm sea-level equivalent) and achieved improved agreement with observations compared to earlier studies. Finally, a global application yielded a total glacier volume of 149.41×103 km3 (316.1 mm sea-level equivalent). While the global total aligns with previous estimates, notable regional differences were identified. Beyond ice volume, the global study produced physically realistic bed topographies and mapped >50,000 potential future lakes in presently glacier-covered terrain, totaling 3,138 km3 in volume (2% of global glacier volume) and >40,000 km2 in area.

Methodologically, this thesis advances large-scale glacier thickness inversions, and presents the first global-scale application of higher-order ice-flow physics on distributed grids, enabled by physics-informed deep learning and parallelized code optimized for Graphic Processing Units. Practically, the regional and global ice volume estimates provide key data for adaptation and mitigation strategies in response to glacier mass loss and sea-level rise, while the derived bed maps support future research across the Earth sciences and improved projections of glacier change.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Uppsala: Acta Universitatis Upsaliensis, 2026. p. 81
Series
Digital Comprehensive Summaries of Uppsala Dissertations from the Faculty of Science and Technology, ISSN 1651-6214 ; 2611
Keywords
Glacier, Climate Change, Inversion, Machine Learning, Sea level rise, Topography, Modeling, Lakes, Svalbard, Field work.
National Category
Physical Geography
Research subject
Earth Science with specialization in Physical Geography
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-570124 (URN)978-91-513-2665-8 (ISBN)
Public defence
2026-02-06, Hambergsalen, Geocentrum, Villavägen 16, Uppsala, 10:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2026-01-15 Created: 2025-11-12 Last updated: 2026-01-15

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van Pelt, WardFrank, Thomas

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