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Rapid lake ice structure changes across Swedish lakes puts public ice safety at risk
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Biology, Department of Ecology and Genetics, Limnology.
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Biology, Department of Ecology and Genetics, Limnology.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-4013-2281
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Biology, Department of Ecology and Genetics, Limnology.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-5836-0602
Univ Gothenburg, Dept Earth Sci, Medicinaregatan 19, S-41390 Gothenburg, Sweden..
2025 (English)In: Ambio, ISSN 0044-7447, E-ISSN 1654-7209, Vol. 54, no 1, p. 122-134Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Lakes are rapidly losing ice under global warming, but little is known about ice structure changes. Ice structure is a key regulator of ice stability and thus safety, affecting activities on ice. Here, we analysed spatial and temporal variations in ice structure across 21 Swedish lakes, spanning from 55 to 69 degrees N, and over five decades. We found regional differences in ice structure, with fastest changes occurring in southern Sweden. The stable clear ice layer was particularly sensitive to warming, showing a rapid decline. The number of days when temperatures exceeded the freezing point during the ice cover period was identified as a strong driver for how ice was structured. Since there is a high risk for increased occurrences of unsafe ice conditions under predicted air temperature changes, we recommend re-establishing ice structure monitoring programmes, informing society on the increased risks of being on ice and including ice structure to safety guidelines.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Nature, 2025. Vol. 54, no 1, p. 122-134
Keywords [en]
Global warming, Ice structure, Ice thickness, Lake ice, Public safety
National Category
Infrastructure Engineering Oceanography, Hydrology and Water Resources Ecology
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-547897DOI: 10.1007/s13280-024-02067-8ISI: 001294391500001PubMedID: 39162994Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85201534037OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-547897DiVA, id: diva2:1929190
Funder
Swedish Research Council, 2020-03222Swedish Research Council Formas, 2020-01091Available from: 2025-01-20 Created: 2025-01-20 Last updated: 2025-01-20Bibliographically approved

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Vikström, KevinWeyhenmeyer, GesaJakobsson, Ellinor

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