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Phosphohistone H3 and Ki-67 as prognostic markers in metastatic small intestinal neuroendocrine tumours: A comparative, retrospective, cohort study
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Medicine and Pharmacy, Faculty of Medicine, Department of Medical Sciences, Endocrine Oncology. Department of Oncology, Ryhov County Hospital, Jönköping, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-5472-2322
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Medicine and Pharmacy, Faculty of Medicine, Department of Medical Sciences, Endocrine Oncology.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-4001-0572
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Medicine and Pharmacy, Faculty of Medicine, Department of Medical Sciences, Endocrine Oncology.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-1649-4880
2026 (English)In: Journal of neuroendocrinology, ISSN 0953-8194, E-ISSN 1365-2826, Vol. 38, no 5, article id e70188Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Ki-67 index and mitotic count form the basis of grading of small intestinal neuroendocrine tumours (siNET). We hypothesized that the mitosis-specific marker phosphohistone H3 (PHH3) might better correlate with cancer-specific survival (CSS) and with response to treatment. We evaluated the association between Ki-67 index, PHH3-estimated mitotic count, and survival outcomes in a retrospective cohort of 73 consecutive patients with metastatic siNET. Additionally, we estimated the optimal cut-off for PHH3 and cross-validated the outcome. Both markers adequately distinguished CCS when comparing lower and higher proliferation groups (Ki-67: 128 vs. 95 m; PHH3: 149 vs. 88 m). They were strongly associated with CSS as continuous (HR 1.18 [1.08–1.28] and 1.16 [1.09–1.25]), and dichotomous variables (HR 2.96 [1.31–6.67] and 3.11 [1.50–6.46]). The Cox model based on PHH3 displayed slightly better optimism-corrected Harrell's c-index (0.71 vs. 0.68) and Akaike information criterion (219 vs. 223). Additionally, PHH3 showed significant association with PFS after treatment with somatostatin analogues (HR 1.12 [1.03–1.21]), and borderline significant association with PFS after treatment with peptide receptor radionuclide therapy (HR 1.11 [1.00–1.24]). A cut-off of >2 mitoses per 10 high-power fields estimated by PHH3 seemed to have better discrimination power compared to the standard WHO cut-off (<2). Mitotic count based on PHH3 is associated with CSS and with PFS after treatment with first-line SSA and possibly with PRRT for metastatic siNET. It may be an alternative to Ki-67 for estimation of proliferation and grading. A cut-off of >2 mitoses per 10 HPF might better distinguish G1 and G2 tumours.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
John Wiley & Sons, 2026. Vol. 38, no 5, article id e70188
Keywords [en]
Ki-67, PHH3, phosphohistone H3, siNET, small intestinal neuroendocrine tumours
National Category
Cancer and Oncology
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-552490DOI: 10.1111/jne.70188ISI: 001761763400001PubMedID: 42108725Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105038462587OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-552490DiVA, id: diva2:1944724
Available from: 2025-03-15 Created: 2025-03-15 Last updated: 2026-05-20Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Small Intestinal neuroendocrine tumours Grade 2: Studies of tumour biology and treatment
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Small Intestinal neuroendocrine tumours Grade 2: Studies of tumour biology and treatment
2025 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Grade 2 small intestinal neuroendocrine tumours (G2 Si-NET) have higher proliferation index (PI) Ki-67 (3-20%) and more aggressive clinical course than more indolent G1 tumours. However they have not been studied separately. The aim of this thesis was to evaluate the efficiency of standard treatments and to explore prognostic markers in this population. 

In the first paper we showed that baseline chromogranin A (CgA) was associated with cancer-specific survival (CSS) irrespective of treatment, and with progression-free survival (PFS ) after peptide receptor radionuclide therapy (PRRT). Early CgA and 5-hydroxyindoleacetic acid (5-HIAA) reductions were prognostic of longer PFS after somatostatin analogues (SSA), but not after PRRT. In the second paper we found that treatment with SSA is effective in G2 Si-NET (median PFS 12.4m, similar to PFS for G1 patients in the PROMID trial). Dose intensification had modest effect. Importantly, in subgroups with lower (3-5%), intermediate (5-10%) and higher Ki-67 (10-20%), PFS for SSA declined with increasing Ki-67 (31, 18 and 10m) , whereas it was stable for PRRT (29, 25 and 25m). In the third paper, we evaluated an alternative estimation method of PI (phospho-histone H3, PHH3). Both Ki-67 and PHH3 separated groups of longer and shorter CSS (128 vs 95 and 149 vs 88m, HR: 1.18 and 1.16, respectively). PHH3 but not Ki-67-based PI was associated with PFS. A cut-off of >2 PHH3-estimated mitoses per 10 high-performance fields seemed to provide better discrimination. We finally investigated the prognostic value of inflammation scores after treatment with PRRT. We found that parameters based on CRP and albumin, but not derived neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, were associated with overall survival. After adding inflammation markers to a model of standard prognostic factors, the model based on hypoalbuminemia had better prognostic power. 

Collectively, these studies confirm the efficacy of standard medical treatments in G2 Si-NET, but underline that SSA might be less effective in the higher Ki-67 subgroup. Additionally, they investigate the prognostic value of tumour markers, inflammation and proliferation parameters, which can be used for patient counseling and as stratification factors in future clinical trials.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Uppsala: Acta Universitatis Upsaliensis, 2025. p. 70
Series
Digital Comprehensive Summaries of Uppsala Dissertations from the Faculty of Medicine, ISSN 1651-6206 ; 2132
Keywords
Small intestinal neuroendocrine tumours, Si-NET, Chromogranin A, CgA, 5-HIAA, Ki-67, somatostatin analogues, peptide receptor radionuclide therapy, PRRT, hypoalbuminemia, inflammatory markers, phospho-histone H3, PHH3
National Category
Cancer and Oncology
Research subject
Medical Science
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-552492 (URN)978-91-513-2422-7 (ISBN)
Public defence
2025-05-09, Enghoffsalen, Akademiska sjukhuset, ing 50, Uppsala, 13:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Funder
Swedish Cancer SocietyFuturum - Academy for Health and Care, Jönköping County Council, Sweden
Available from: 2025-04-14 Created: 2025-03-17 Last updated: 2025-04-14

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Papantoniou, DimitriosGrönberg, MalinTiensuu Janson, Eva

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