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20th Century Economic Warfare, Revisited: How Economic Harm Affects the Likelihood of Successful Sanctions
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Humanities and Social Sciences, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Peace and Conflict Research.
2025 (English)Independent thesis Basic level (degree of Bachelor), 10 credits / 15 HE creditsStudent thesis
Abstract [en]

As the Russian war in Ukraine expanded in 2022, it was made clear that the targeted sanctions directed at the power structure supporting Vladimir Putin had failed. This opened up for the question this paper attempts to answer, would more economically hurtful sanctions be more effective at stopping the Russian aggression? It is hypothesized that a resultsoriented study of the matter that eschews the formulaic restraints of the targeted vs. comprehensive sanctions debate could get to the bottom of this. Specifically, introducing GDP growth reduction as a metric for economic harm allowed for a quantitative study examining the variable’s relationship with the effectiveness of sanctions. Logistic regression returned a weak but existing relationship at the bivariate level, but as control variables were introduced to the regression this relationship softened beyond statistical significance. These findings suggest that although harsher sanctions on Russia could be a component of a strategy to dissuade continued aggression in Ukraine, as they have no demonstrated negative impact on the effectiveness of sanctions, such a strategy will need to be expanded beyond the targeting of GDP growth. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2025. , p. 29
Keywords [en]
sanctions, GDP, GDP growth, economic harm, Russia, economic sanctions, economic warfare
National Category
Other Social Sciences Peace and Conflict Studies
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-553882OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-553882DiVA, id: diva2:1949935
Subject / course
Peace and Conflict Studies
Educational program
Freestanding course
Available from: 2025-04-22 Created: 2025-04-04 Last updated: 2025-04-22Bibliographically approved

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CiteExportLink to record
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Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association
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  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
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  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
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