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Raising the Floor?: Genetic Influences on Educational Attainment Through the Lens of the Evolving Swedish Welfare State
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Humanities and Social Sciences, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Government.ORCID iD: 0009-0006-6540-2790
2025 (English)In: Behavior Genetics, ISSN 0001-8244, E-ISSN 1573-3297, Vol. 55, no 3, p. 199-214Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Interest in the role of genetics in influencing key life outcomes such as educational attainment has grown quickly. However, the question of whether genetic influences on educational attainment, on average as well as in conjunction with socioeconomic circumstances, are moderated by macro-level factors has not yet received sufficient attention. This study combines polygenic indices for educational attainment (EA PGI) with high-quality register data in a large sample of Swedish twins of European ancestry born 1920–1999. Employing both conventional between-family and within-family models, the analyses suggest that the influences of education-related genetic propensities on educational attainment have increased in Sweden during the twentieth century, a period featuring major expansions of the Swedish educational system, and decreasing economic inequality. The analyses also suggest that the degree to which socioeconomic background enhances genetic influences on education has decreased across cohorts. Genetic influences on education do not appear to have translated into increased genetic influences on income. Additionally, there is some evidence of floor and ceiling effects in the analyses of dichotomous educational outcomes.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer, 2025. Vol. 55, no 3, p. 199-214
Keywords [en]
Genetics, education, gene-environment interaction, polygenic index, birth cohorts, equality of opportunity
National Category
Political Science (Excluding Peace and Conflict Studies)
Research subject
Political Science; Education
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-554349DOI: 10.1007/s10519-025-10219-zISI: 001444979300001PubMedID: 40088418Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105000141875OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-554349DiVA, id: diva2:1951579
Part of project
Nature via Nurture: Using novel methods to shed new light on how gene-environment interactions shape social, economic and political attitudes and behavior, Riksbankens JubileumsfondThe genetics of life course outcomes: Leveraging new methods to advance social-science genomics, Swedish Research Council
Funder
Riksbankens Jubileumsfond, P18-0782:1Swedish Research Council, 2019-00244Uppsala UniversityAvailable from: 2025-04-11 Created: 2025-04-11 Last updated: 2026-05-08Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Genetics and Politics: Gene-Environment Interplay for Social Life Outcomes and the Normative Implications of Social Science Genetics
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Genetics and Politics: Gene-Environment Interplay for Social Life Outcomes and the Normative Implications of Social Science Genetics
2026 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Explaining divergent life outcomes in modern societies is a core issue within social science, and of key relevance for policy makers. This debate has long been defined by an uncompromising struggle between "nature" and "nurture", with social and political science mostly preferring environmental explanations for life outcomes such as educational attainment and political participation. The molecular genetics revolution is now providing new insights into the genetics of complex social outcomes, but much stands to be learned about how genetic influences on life outcomes can be conditioned by the environment. Moreover, and surprisingly, we still know rather little about how genetic insights impacts on citizens' perceptions and attitudes towards inequality and government intervention. Building this knowledge is crucial given the complex and contentious nature of debates concerning genetics and social behavior. This thesis contributes with new insights about the interplay between genetics and different types of environments, operating in the fascinating intersection between social science and molecular genetics. The thesis also contributes by exploring the moral and empirical implications of genetic explanations for social life outcomes. The thesis relies on Swedish administrative registers and original survey data.

Study I explores how historical political and institutional changes related to equality of opportunity can be reflected in the association between genetics and educational attainment. Studying Swedish twins born across the 20th century, the paper suggests that the influence of education-related genetic propensities on education have increased across time, while the socioeconomic stratification of genetic effects has also decreased. 

Study II investigates the interaction between education-related genetic propensities and proximal social environments in the shaping of political participation. Contributing to debates concerning inequalities in political participation, the study shows that the effects of genetic resources on voting are lower when family and neighbourhood characteristics are more favourable in terms of socioeconomic status and political engagement.

Study III explores the public understanding of genetic explanations for socioeconomic outcomes, using a survey experiment fielded in the United States and Sweden. Contrary to expectation, the study shows some evidence that citizens increase their beliefs in the effectiveness, and the fairness, of the government reducing socioeconomic differences, as a result of an increased knowledge about how genetics contribute to shaping such differences.  

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Uppsala: Acta Universitatis Upsaliensis, 2026. p. 85
Series
Digital Comprehensive Summaries of Uppsala Dissertations from the Faculty of Social Sciences, ISSN 1652-9030 ; 244
Keywords
Genetics, Life outcomes, Educational attainment, Political participation, Gene-environment interaction, Polygenic indices, Twin data, Public attitudes, Survey experiment
National Category
Political Science (Excluding Peace and Conflict Studies)
Research subject
Political Science
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-585995 (URN)978-91-513-2876-8 (ISBN)
Public defence
2026-09-04, Brusewitzsalen, Östra Ågatan 19, Uppsala, 13:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2026-06-10 Created: 2026-05-08 Last updated: 2026-06-10

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Pettersson, Oskar

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