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Statistical Identifiability of AgingModes in Lithium-ion Batteriesfor Electric Vehicles
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Mathematics and Computer Science, Department of Mathematics.
2025 (English)Independent thesis Advanced level (degree of Master (One Year)), 10 credits / 15 HE creditsStudent thesis
Abstract [en]

Lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) are essential for powering heavy electric vehicles due to their high energy density and efficiency. However, their performance declines over time due to complex aging processes. Accurately understanding and quantifying these effects is crucial for reliable lifetime prediction. This thesis focuses on identifying key aging parameters in LIBs using a model based on Open Circuit Voltage (OCV) data and discusses the sensitivity over different charging ranges.

An existing OCV-based model is used to estimate and optimize parameters such as the lithium capacity ratio between electrodes, initial lithium content in the positive electrode, and voltage limits. These are evaluated using capacity-voltage data from both full and partial state-of-charge (SOC) cycles.

To assess how well these parameters can be identified, a sensitivity analysis is performed using the Fisher Information Matrix (FIM) and the Cramér-Rao Lower Bound (CRLB) is used to quantify estimation uncertainty.The study also investigates how good parameter identifiability can be achieved even with incomplete OCV data such as the range accessible during typical vehicle operation. It emphasizes the importance of including data from the low SOC region, where the voltage response is particularly informative.

These insights contribute significantly to enhancing battery health diagnostics and lifetime modeling for heavy-duty electric vehicle applications, paving the way for more reliable and efficient energy solutions.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2025. , p. 28
Series
U.U.D.M. project report ; 2025:10
Keywords [en]
Lithium-ion batteries, battery aging, statistical identifiability, electric vehicles, Open Circuit Voltage modeling, parameter estimation, Fisher Information Matrix, Cramér-Rao Lower Bound, State-of-Charge, battery lifetime prediction, sensitivity analysis, battery health diagnostics, partial SOC cycles, heavy-duty electric vehicles, capacity-voltage data, lithium capacity ratio, positive electrode lithium content, low SOC region, estimation uncertainty, battery performance degradation
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics Control Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-558273OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-558273DiVA, id: diva2:1965161
External cooperation
Scania AB R&D
Educational program
Master Programme in Mathematics
Presentation
2025-04-23, Ångström Laboratory, 64119, 10:15 (English)
Supervisors
Examiners
Available from: 2025-06-09 Created: 2025-06-07 Last updated: 2025-06-09Bibliographically approved

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Citation style
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