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Uncertainty Quantification in Simulation-Based Inference Using Deep Generative Models
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Mathematics and Computer Science, Department of Information Technology.
2025 (English)Independent thesis Advanced level (degree of Master (Two Years)), 20 credits / 30 HE creditsStudent thesis
Abstract [en]

This thesis explores uncertainty quantification in simulation-based inference (SBI) using deep generative models. By focusing on probabilistic frameworks, the study addresses the inverse problem inherent in SBI, where traditional likelihood functions are often intractable. Four generative models are examined: two Conditional Variational Autoencoders (cVAEs), one Masked Autoregressive Flow (MAF), and one Neural Spline Flow (NSF). These models are evaluated for their effectiveness in learning benchmark posterior distributions. While individual assessments are conducted, all models are compared using the Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD) metric, with the MAF model demonstrating the best overall performance. The work concludes by suggesting future research directions involving alternative generative models and evaluation metrics.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2025. , p. 109
Series
IT ; IT mIA 25 008
National Category
Artificial Intelligence
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-562824OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-562824DiVA, id: diva2:1979914
Subject / course
Computer Systems Sciences
Educational program
Master's Programme in Industrial Analytics
Presentation
2025-06-18, 105190, Lägerhyddsvägen 1, Uppsala, 14:15 (English)
Supervisors
Examiners
Available from: 2025-07-01 Created: 2025-07-01 Last updated: 2025-07-01Bibliographically approved

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CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

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Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
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Output format
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