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Climate-motivated rationing: On the political feasibility of consumer-oriented climate policies
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, Natural Resources and Sustainable Development. (Climate Change Leadership)ORCID iD: 0000-0001-5613-9923
2025 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

To avoid the worst consequences and risks of climate change, profound action is needed on both producer and consumer fronts. With regard to consumption, it is uncertain whether politicians have the will and capacity needed to pursue climate policies that limit individual consumption, and it has not been systematically studied whether individuals are willing to accept such policies. This thesis examines the political feasibility of climate policies that steer towards absolute consumption reductions, with a particular focus on public attitudes towards meat and fuel rationing. The study – using a variety of approaches, methods, and empirical data – paints a mixed picture of the possibility of introducing policies that limit individual consumption. On the one hand, absolute consumption reductions are given low priority in relation to technological development and increased efficiency in production in Swedish climate and energy policy. On the other hand, there is a significant variation in public attitudes towards rationing between individuals and countries. Higher levels of acceptability are observed among individuals from the middle-income countries India and South Africa, compared to the high-income countries Germany and the US. In high-income countries, acceptability is higher among those who are concerned over climate change, who lean to the political left, whose lifestyles would not be significantly affected by rationing, and among those who consider rationing fair and a reasonable limitation of personal freedom. Simultaneously, a significant proportion of individuals in the high-income countries Sweden, Germany, and the US express strong opposition towards the idea of rationing. This thesis enhances our understanding of the political feasibility of stringent consumer-oriented climate policies. By corroborating, generalizing, and deepening insights from prior research on climate policy attitudes, and by establishing causal relationships for how the specific design of rationing influences attitudes, this thesis strengthens our knowledge of why and when individuals are willing to accept stringent and restrictive consumer-oriented climate policies. These insights inform scientific and political debates on the limits and opportunities in pursuing stringent climate policy aimed at reducing the climate impact of consumption. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Uppsala: Acta Universitatis Upsaliensis, 2025. , p. 92
Series
Digital Comprehensive Summaries of Uppsala Dissertations from the Faculty of Science and Technology, ISSN 1651-6214 ; 2593
Keywords [en]
Rationing, Climate policy, Public opinion, Public acceptance, Public support, Attitudes, Climate mitigation, Carbon taxes, Consumption, Meat tax, Fuel tax, Climate change
National Category
Political Science (Excluding Peace and Conflict Studies) Other Earth Sciences
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-566921ISBN: 978-91-513-2601-6 (print)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-566921DiVA, id: diva2:1999020
Public defence
2025-11-10, Hambergsalen, Geocentrum, Villavägen 16, Uppsala, 13:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Funder
Mistra - The Swedish Foundation for Strategic Environmental Research, 2019/28Swedish Research Council Formas, 2021-00416Mistra - The Swedish Foundation for Strategic Environmental Research, 2023/8#329Available from: 2025-10-20 Created: 2025-09-18 Last updated: 2025-10-20
List of papers
1. Exploring sufficiency in energy policy: insights from Sweden
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Exploring sufficiency in energy policy: insights from Sweden
2023 (English)In: Sustainability: Science, Practice, & Policy, E-ISSN 1548-7733, Vol. 19, no 1, article id 2212501Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Energy efficiency and renewable energy strategies have been insufficient in achieving rapid and profound reductions of energy-related greenhouse-gas (GHG) emissions. Consequently, energy sufficiency has gained attention as a complementary strategy over the past two decades. Yet, most research on energy sufficiency has been theoretical and its implementation in policy limited. This study draws on the growing sufficiency literature to examine the presence of sufficiency as a strategy for reducing energy-related GHG emissions in Sweden, a country often regarded as a "climate-progressive" country. By conducting a keyword and content analysis of energy policies and parliamentary debates during four governmental terms of office (2006-2022), this research explores the extent to which sufficiency is integrated into Swedish energy policy, as well as potential barriers to its adoption. The analyses revealed a scarcity of sufficiency elements. Although some policies could potentially result in energy savings, they are infrequent and overshadowed by the prevailing emphasis on efficiency and renewable energy. Furthermore, Sweden lacks a target for sufficiency or absolute energy reductions. The main impediments to sufficiency implementation include the disregard of scientific evidence in the policy-making process and the perceived contradiction between sufficiency and industrial competitiveness. This study thus concludes that sufficiency at best remains at the periphery of Swedish energy policy. Given the reinforced ambitions within the European Union, this raises questions regarding the validity of Sweden's reputation as a climate-progressive country.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Taylor & Francis, 2023
Keywords
Sufficiency, rebound effects, energy, climate policy, energy efficiency
National Category
Peace and Conflict Studies Other Social Sciences not elsewhere specified Energy Systems
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-507439 (URN)10.1080/15487733.2023.2212501 (DOI)001009888800001 ()
Funder
Swedish Research Council Formas, 2021-00416
Available from: 2023-07-11 Created: 2023-07-11 Last updated: 2025-09-18Bibliographically approved
2. Fuel rationing and perceived fairness
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Fuel rationing and perceived fairness
(English)Manuscript (preprint) (Other academic)
National Category
Political Science
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-566918 (URN)
Available from: 2025-09-09 Created: 2025-09-09 Last updated: 2025-09-18
3. Public acceptability of climate-motivated rationing
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Public acceptability of climate-motivated rationing
2024 (English)In: Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, E-ISSN 2662-9992, Vol. 11, no 1, article id 1252Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Recent reports from climate scientists stress the urgency to implement more ambitious and stringent climate policies to stay below the 1.5 °C Paris Agreement target. These policies should simultaneously aim to ensure distributional justice throughout the process. A neglected yet potentially effective policy instrument in this context is rationing. However, the political feasibility of rationing, like any climate policy instrument, hinges to a large extent on the general public being sufficiently motivated to accept it. This study reports the first cross-country analysis of the public acceptability of rationing as a climate policy instrument by surveying 8654 individuals across five countries—Brazil, Germany, India, South Africa, and the US—on five continents. By comparing the public acceptability of rationing fossil fuels and high climate-impact foods with consumption taxes on these goods, the results reveal that the acceptability of fossil fuel rationing is on par with that of taxation, while food taxation is preferred over rationing across the countries. Respondents in low-and middle-income countries and those expressing a greater concern for climate change express the most favourable attitudes to rationing. As political leaders keep struggling to formulate effective and fair climate policies, these findings encourage a serious political and scientific dialogue about rationing as a means to address climate change and other sustainability-related challenges.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Nature, 2024
National Category
Political Science (excluding Public Administration Studies and Globalisation Studies) Economics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-540380 (URN)10.1057/s41599-024-03823-7 (DOI)001321946400001 ()
Funder
Swedish Research Council Formas, 2019-00916Swedish Research Council Formas, 2019-02005Swedish Research Council, 2016-03058Swedish Research Council Formas, 2021-00416Mistra - The Swedish Foundation for Strategic Environmental Research, DIA 2019/28Uppsala University
Available from: 2024-10-17 Created: 2024-10-17 Last updated: 2025-09-18Bibliographically approved
4. Cross-country evidence on the determinants of public acceptability of fossil fuel and meat rationing
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Cross-country evidence on the determinants of public acceptability of fossil fuel and meat rationing
(English)Manuscript (preprint) (Other academic)
National Category
Political Science
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-566919 (URN)
Available from: 2025-09-09 Created: 2025-09-09 Last updated: 2025-09-18
5. The impact of policy design on public opposition to restrictive climate policies
Open this publication in new window or tab >>The impact of policy design on public opposition to restrictive climate policies
2026 (English)In: Ecological Economics, ISSN 0921-8009, E-ISSN 1873-6106, Vol. 240, article id 108813Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

With the growing emergency of global warming and biodiversity loss, and difficulties to reduce the impact of consumption, some researchers and government authorities have raised the idea of using rationing to reduce individuals' climate impact. Yet public opinion research on such policies and whether policy design affects public attitudes remain scant. Surveying over 3000 Swedish citizens, we provide the first experimental test of people's attitudes towards the rationing of transportation fuels and red meat in two identical, but separate, conjoint experiments. Our results reveal that the vast majority of our sample have conditional preferences, meaning their support for rationing is contingent on its specific design. In contrast, 23 % of the sample remain strongly opposed to all fuel and meat rationing proposals, irrespective of their design. Opposition to rationing decreases if people are allowed to consume more, if the allocation takes people's needs into account, if people are allowed to consume similar amounts over time and if the price for consumption does not rise unchecked. We uncover clear heterogeneities in design preferences depending on respondent characteristics, particularly for perceived fairness and effectiveness of rationing and current consumption behavior. Our findings add to the growing evidence indicating that the design of climate policies matters for people, but they also uncover the limits of policy design when climate policies have clear material implications.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2026
Keywords
Climate change, Public opinion, Rationing, Survey, Climate policy, Policy support
National Category
Environmental Studies in Social Sciences Political Science (Excluding Peace and Conflict Studies)
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-566920 (URN)10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108813 (DOI)001586851100001 ()2-s2.0-105018045765 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2025-09-09 Created: 2025-09-09 Last updated: 2025-10-22Bibliographically approved

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