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Evolutionary Tempo, Supertaxa, and Living Fossils
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, Palaeobiology.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9007-4369
Univ Leeds, Sch Math, Dept Stat, Leeds LS2 9JT, England..ORCID iD: 0000-0003-0701-1274
2025 (English)In: Systematic Biology, ISSN 1063-5157, E-ISSN 1076-836X, Vol. 74, no 6, p. 917-934Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

A relationship between the rate of molecular change and diversification has long been discussed, on both theoretical and empirical grounds. However, the effect on our understanding of evolutionary patterns is yet to be fully explored. Here, we develop a new model, the Covariant Evolutionary Tempo model, with the aim of integrating patterns of diversification and molecular evolution within a framework of a continuously changing "tempo" variable that acts as a master control for molecular, morphological, and diversification rates. Importantly, tempo itself is treated as being variable at a rate proportional to its own value. This model predicts that diversity is dominated by a small number of extremely large clades at any historical epoch including the present; that these large clades are expected to be characterised by explosive early radiations accompanied by elevated rates of molecular evolution; and that extant organisms are likely to have evolved from species with unusually fast evolutionary rates. Under such a model, the amount of molecular change along a particular lineage is essentially independent of its height, which weakens the molecular clock hypothesis. Finally, our model explains the existence of "living fossil" sister groups to large clades that are species poor and exhibit slow rates of morphological and molecular change. Our results demonstrate that the observed historical patterns of evolution can be modelled without invoking special evolutionary mechanisms or innovations that are unique to specific times or taxa, even when they are highly nonuniform.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Oxford University Press, 2025. Vol. 74, no 6, p. 917-934
Keywords [en]
living fossils, molecular clocks, patterns of diversification
National Category
Evolutionary Biology
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-587095DOI: 10.1093/sysbio/syaf020ISI: 001542965800001PubMedID: 40324035Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105025211774OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-587095DiVA, id: diva2:2062671
Funder
Swedish Research CouncilAvailable from: 2026-05-26 Created: 2026-05-26 Last updated: 2026-05-26Bibliographically approved

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Budd, Graham E.

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