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Power grid vulnerability analysis using complex network theory: A topological study of the Nordic transmission grid
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Technology, Department of Electrical Engineering, Electricity. Centre of Natural Hazards and Disaster Science, 752 36 Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-9868-0571
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Technology, Department of Electrical Engineering, Electricity.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-7828-8516
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Technology, Department of Electrical Engineering, Electricity. Centre of Natural Hazards and Disaster Science, 752 36 Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-8509-512X
2023 (English)In: Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, ISSN 0378-4371, E-ISSN 1873-2119, Vol. 626, article id 129072Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

To reduce the vulnerability of power grids to high impact low probability (HILP) events, analysis methods can be applied to quantify the criticality of the nodes in the grid. The method implemented in this article is one originating from complex network theory. It is used to quantify the structural vulnerability of an open-source transmission grid model representing the Nordic transmission grid. The analytical measures used are clustering coefficient and betweenness, closeness, degree, and combined centrality, which are weighted with respect to the estimated values of the transmission lines’ series reactance. The results, which are presented in the form of geographic and network representations, show substantial differences in terms of criticality between the nodes. The most critical ones are highlighted in geographic representations and are further compared with an open-source system analysis performed by the Swedish transmission system operator (TSO). The outcome from this study is that the weighted and combined centrality measure performed the best in terms of identifying critical nodes in the Nordic transmission grid. Thus, the method can be used as a tool for assessing the structural vulnerability of a real transmission grid, even with limited access to electrical grid data. However, the results from this method should not be considered conclusive.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2023. Vol. 626, article id 129072
Keywords [en]
Centrality measure, Complex network, HILP event, Power grid, Vulnerability
National Category
Other Electrical Engineering, Electronic Engineering, Information Engineering
Research subject
Electrical Engineering with specialization in Systems Analysis
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-509622DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2023.129072ISI: 001070299800001OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-509622DiVA, id: diva2:1789933
Available from: 2023-08-21 Created: 2023-08-21 Last updated: 2023-10-06Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Power Grid Resilience to High Impact Low Probability Events
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Power Grid Resilience to High Impact Low Probability Events
2023 (English)Licentiate thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

The electrification of societies and the decarbonisation of electricity production are changing energy systems worldwide. A fast transition towards the replacement of fossil fuels by intermittent renewable energy sources is expected in the next decades to combat climate change. A significant share of the produced electricity is likely to be generated from offshore wind farms, due to the abundant wind resources in the offshore regions and the lack of available onshore sites. However, increased electricity dependence in combination with expanded offshore wind power generation introduce new vulnerabilities to the society. Specifically, the effects of high impact low probability (HILP) events are considered as potential threats to the power system, not least because of the increasing number of extreme weather events. Therefore, research on power grid vulnerability and power system resilience to HILP events are of significant interest.

This thesis presents results of studies investigating power grid vulnerability from a topological perspective, and resilience to storm conditions of power systems with varying dependencies on offshore wind. To achieve this, methods based on complex network theory and AC power flow analysis have been developed, tested, and evaluated. Further, geospatial wind data from historical extreme storm events have been used to generate realistic power production profiles from hypothetical offshore wind farms.

The results strengthen that complex network concepts can be used successfully in the context of power grid vulnerability analysis. Further, the results show that the resilience of power systems with large dependencies on offshore wind differ vastly depending on the grid properties and control strategies, which are further discussed in this thesis.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Uppsala: Uppsala University, 2023. p. 54
Keywords
Extreme weather, HILP events, offshore wind, power grid, resilience, vulnerability
National Category
Other Electrical Engineering, Electronic Engineering, Information Engineering
Research subject
Electrical Engineering with specialization in Systems Analysis
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-512049 (URN)
Presentation
2023-11-10, Evelyn Sokolowski, Ångströmlaboratoriet, Lägerhyddsvägen 1, Uppsala, 10:15 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2023-10-11 Created: 2023-09-22 Last updated: 2024-06-17Bibliographically approved

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Forsberg, SamuelThomas, KarinBergkvist, Mikael

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