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Energy planning for islands: Guiding island energy transition and decision-making
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, Wind Energy.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-7604-9383
2024 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Description
Abstract [en]

The importance and benefits of transitioning away from fossil fuel based energy systems is becoming ever clearer. The transition is especially crucial for geographic islands that typically have limited, or no, access to mainland energy networks. This limited access means that they must rely on costly, economically and environmentally, imported fossil fuels for energy production. This isolation and reliance on imported fuels makes islands particularly energy insecure, which is only expected to worsen because of climate change. At the same time, much of the current guidance and policy developed to help plan for islands’ energy transition is based on the conditions and circumstances present on the mainland or on energy planning that focuses primarily on technical or economic parameters. To plan for a smoother, more successful transition away from fossil fuel based energy production on islands, more data is needed about islanders themselves and their local circumstances as well as planning guidance flexible enough to fit the variable needs of island planners that goes beyond a techno-economic focus.

In this PhD Thesis and in response to these transition issues, an energy planning platform, REACT-DECARB, has been developed to specifically address the needs of island energy planners. This platform seeks to be holistic in its approach to facilitate the island energy transition planning procedure by considering typical island characteristics and energy transition processes while also including key technical, social, environmental and economic dimensions and granting planners flexibility in how they incorporate them. Additionally, surveys and interviews with island residents are conducted to gain an understanding of islanders’ motivations, priorities and awareness in relation to energy and energy transition as well as to determine if these can be of guidance to island energy transition planners.

The applications of the REACT-DECARB platform on geographic islands representing eight different countries from around the EU with varying populations, land areas and climates identified energy transition opportunities and obstacles specific to the islands where the platform was applied as well as to other islands seeking to transition their energy systems. Moreover, these applications of the planning platform demonstrated its ability to help island planners in the development of holistic energy transition paths. The platform takes island energy transition planning beyond a focus on techno-economics by including a wider range of planning dimensions allowing them to decide the methods best suited to their island’s needs. Further, the interactions with island residents demonstrated that their relationships to energy could be informative in the development of energy transition plans as well as likely being critical to their success. Islanders’ understandings, motivations, priorities and awareness were found to be not only directly useful in guiding planners during the designing of island energy transition plans but can also serve to inform planners in how best to educate local residents about and engage them in local energy transition projects. Ultimately, the work in this Thesis contributes to the efforts to make sure islands’, and islanders’, needs and perspectives are considered and included as a part of the wider energy transition.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Uppsala: Acta Universitatis Upsaliensis, 2024. , p. 58
Series
Digital Comprehensive Summaries of Uppsala Dissertations from the Faculty of Science and Technology, ISSN 1651-6214 ; 2358
Keywords [en]
Islands; Energy planning; Renewable Energy; Energy transition; Decarbonisation
National Category
Energy Systems
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-510328ISBN: 978-91-513-2014-4 (print)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-510328DiVA, id: diva2:1827740
Public defence
2024-03-13, E22, Cramérgatan 3, Visby, 10:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Funder
EU, Horizon 2020, 824395Available from: 2024-02-15 Created: 2024-01-15 Last updated: 2024-02-15
List of papers
1. Towards Self-Sustainable Island Grids through Optimal Utilization of Renewable Energy Potential and Community Engagement
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Towards Self-Sustainable Island Grids through Optimal Utilization of Renewable Energy Potential and Community Engagement
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2020 (English)In: Energies, E-ISSN 1996-1073, Vol. 13, no 13, article id 3386Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Solving the issue of energy security for geographical islands presents a one-of-a-kind problem that has to be tackled from multiple sides and requires an interdisciplinary approach that transcends just technical and social aspects. With many islands suffering in terms of limited and costly energy supply due to their remote location, providing a self-sustainable energy system is of utmost importance for these communities. In order to improve upon the status quo, novel solutions and projects aimed at increasing sustainability not only have to consider optimal utilization of renewable energy potentials in accordance with local conditions, but also must include active community participation. This paper analyzes both of these aspects for island communities and brings them together in an optimization scenario that is utilized to determine the relationship between supposed demand flexibility levels and achievable savings in a setting with variable renewable generation. The results, specifically discussed for a use case with real-world data for the La Graciosa island in Spain, show that boosting community participation and thus unlocking crucial demand flexibility, can be used as a powerful tool to augment novel generation technologies with savings from flexibility at around 7.5% of what is achieved purely by renewable sources.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
MDPI AG, 2020
Keywords
renewable energy, sustainability, island communities, demand flexibility, energy management, optimization
National Category
Energy Systems
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-419710 (URN)10.3390/en13133386 (DOI)000550367100001 ()
Funder
EU, Horizon 2020
Available from: 2020-09-28 Created: 2020-09-28 Last updated: 2024-01-15Bibliographically approved
2. Transition towards decarbonisation for islands: Development of an integrated energy planning platform and application
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Transition towards decarbonisation for islands: Development of an integrated energy planning platform and application
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2021 (English)In: Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments, ISSN 2213-1388, E-ISSN 2213-1396, Vol. 47, article id 101501Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

This paper presents REACT-DECARB, an energy planning decarbonisation platform employing renewable energy sources coupled with storage for islands. The paper implements the energy scenario creation and economic evaluation steps of the platform on eight geographic islands in seven countries within the EU. Twenty-one technologically feasible energy scenarios, applicable to the specific conditions of each island, are specified and their economic assessment via a levelized cost of energy (LCOE) calculation is then performed. The main aim of this application is to verify the noted steps of the platform as well as to test its flexibility across geographically, socially and dimensionally disparate islands with various scenario generation methods. The results of the economic analysis show a wide variation of LCOE depending primarily on whether full island autonomy is assumed. In some cases the islands’ scenarios’ costs approach current market prices but are never below them; some scenarios are, however, below the current price of the island’s thermal generation. The sensitivity and uncertainty of the economic performance results’ and the variables used to calculate them are evaluated and discussed for two of the islands. The overall analysis and application has shown that the REACT-DECARB platform is suitable for different islands, regardless of location and size and can be useful for island energy planners.

Keywords
Decarbonisation, Energy planning Islands, Levelized cost of energy, Renewable energy, Energy storage
National Category
Energy Systems
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-452333 (URN)10.1016/j.seta.2021.101501 (DOI)000712229100005 ()
Funder
EU, Horizon 2020, 824395
Available from: 2021-09-06 Created: 2021-09-06 Last updated: 2024-01-15Bibliographically approved
3. Decarbonisation of islands: A multi-criteria decision analysis platform and application
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Decarbonisation of islands: A multi-criteria decision analysis platform and application
2022 (English)In: Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments, ISSN 2213-1388, E-ISSN 2213-1396, Vol. 52, no Part B, article id 102115Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

In this paper the REACT-DECARB energy planning platform, designed to assist with the assessment of decarbonisation scenarios for islands’ electricity grids, is fully presented and applied to eight (8) EU islands. The scenarios were developed in the context of a Horizon 2020 EU project employing a renewable energy production forecasting and an optimisation mixed-integer linear programming model. The platform employs energy and economic modules, life-cycle assessment and multi-criteria decision analysis to facilitate the integrated evaluation of scenarios and enables decision makers to fully grasp the technical, environmental, economic and social aspects of energy systems’ decarbonisation. Results indicate that island electrical autonomy should be considered with caution and can be a valid option only if cost criteria are not prioritised. Further, it was determined that seeking autonomy in countries with low carbon costs for electricity production may be not be environmentally beneficial. A number of inter-island comparisons have been made and have shown that the REACT-DECARB platform can assist planners and decision-makers to identify the best available scenarios, define the sensitivity issues with respect to the criteria weights and, together with local communities, come to a common ground in order to establish a roadmap for the transition towards a decarbonised energy future for islands.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
ElsevierElsevier BV, 2022
Keywords
Sustainable Islands; Lifecycle assessment; Energy autonomy; Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis; PROMETHEE II
National Category
Environmental Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-459493 (URN)10.1016/j.seta.2022.102115 (DOI)000782163600003 ()
Projects
Horizon 2020 - Renewable Energy for self-sustAinable island CommuniTies (REACT)
Funder
EU, Horizon 2020, 824395
Available from: 2021-11-24 Created: 2021-11-24 Last updated: 2024-01-15Bibliographically approved
4. Energy scenarios for the Faroe Islands: A MCDA methodology including local social perspectives
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Energy scenarios for the Faroe Islands: A MCDA methodology including local social perspectives
2022 (English)In: Sustainable Futures, E-ISSN 2666-1888, Vol. 4, article id 100092Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Planning for the decarbonisation of island energy systems is both crucial and fraught with complexities. The process to develop and evaluate these plans needs to encompass not only technical and economic specifics but each plan's impacts on the environment and local inhabitants must also be considered. This inclusive planning involves multiple criteria and requires a means of handling them. In this paper a series of potential future energy systems are generated with the EnergyPlan software for the Faroe Islands before these systems are assessed using a set of criteria covering their environmental, social, technical and economic aspects. These criteria are used by two multi-criteria approaches, along with actual weights obtained from local stakeholders, to rank the energy systems. It is found that there is a clear shift in rankings towards systems employing offshore technologies due to the inclusion of social criteria specifically fitted to the Islands’ resident's preferences. This shift, however, was not sufficient for these offshore scenarios to outperform other scenarios that performed well on the other criteria. These findings indicate there is likely value in terms of local acceptance for transition planning on the Islands in adjusting to include greater quantities of offshore technologies in future energy strategies.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2022
Keywords
Energy planning, Faroe Islands, Decarbonization, EnergyPLAN, MCDA, PROMETHEE II, TOPSIS, Social criteria
National Category
Energy Systems
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-481000 (URN)10.1016/j.sftr.2022.100092 (DOI)000907773300006 ()
Funder
EU, Horizon 2020, 824395
Available from: 2022-08-25 Created: 2022-08-25 Last updated: 2024-01-15Bibliographically approved
5. Energy transition awareness: Can it guide local transition planning on islands?
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Energy transition awareness: Can it guide local transition planning on islands?
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2023 (English)In: Heliyon, E-ISSN 2405-8440, Vol. 9, no 9, article id e19960Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The consequences of climate change and reduced energy security are becoming increasingly apparent, especially on islands. At the same time, the energy transition is quickly spreading and its value to society becoming clearer. Two main obstacles to this transition, rigid policy and lack of local understanding, are particularly troubling on islands, where national policies often aren't flexible enough to consider local particularities and residents are exposed to different energy realities from those on the mainland. Using exploratory interviews and a survey on four islands, this article considers island residents' awareness of energy transition concepts and presents how it interacts with, and is potentially influenced by, relevant energy policies at the national level. The paper presents the comparative results for the geographically, demographically and climatologically diverse islands of Gotland (Sweden), Lesvos (Greece), La Réunion (France) and Mallorca (Spain) to focus on European island energy transitions. Differences were noted between the islands' residents with regards to awareness of and willingness to use specific energy transition tools or to join activities like energy communities. Additionally, differences were noted between the islands for what was the most important reason to consider when using demand response, though ‘Ease of use’ was important across all. The potential reasons for differences among the islands are discussed and suggestions to increase consumer engagement with energy transition activities on islands are given. Overall, the results show that while awareness of energy concepts isn't greater on these European islands, interest in prospective transition actions was high and provide an opportunity for planners to capitalize on. However, if there are potential policy obstacles, these higher levels of interest cannot ensure higher levels of willingness to engage. Taken together, these two findings indicate the potential for an acceleration of transition activity on these islands, and potentially beyond, should engagement with island residents be increased along with review, and amendment of policies impeding it.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2023
Keywords
Decarbonisation, Islands, Energy transition, Energy awareness, Consumer engagement
National Category
Peace and Conflict Studies Other Social Sciences not elsewhere specified Other Earth Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-510327 (URN)10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e19960 (DOI)001140589000001 ()37809593 (PubMedID)
Funder
EU, Horizon 2020, 824395
Available from: 2023-09-14 Created: 2023-09-14 Last updated: 2025-02-20Bibliographically approved

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